Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Bournemouth30%vs 36%-6%
- Draw25%vs 25%
- Aston Villa45%vs 40%+5%
Analysis
Our AI model analysis indicates Villa as favorites despite their recent struggles, primarily due to superior squad quality and tactical flexibility. The probability analysis suggests Villa's away experience and Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities create value for the visitors. However, Bournemouth's home advantage and Villa's recent poor form reduce confidence levels. Key factors include Villa's need for Champions League points and Bournemouth's ability to exploit defensive transitions.























