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Bournemouth
Bournemouth12th in Premier League (8-9-7)
VS
Aston Villa
Aston Villa3rd in Premier League (14-4-6)

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Saturday, Feb 7, 2026 · --:--

Vitality Stadium

Final
Bournemouth
1–1
Aston Villa

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction centers on Villa's superior quality and recent dominance in this fixture. This Premier League preview highlights a crucial clash between two mid-table sides with contrasting trajectories. Bournemouth enters with mixed form, having won two of their last five league matches but struggling defensively with 43 goals conceded in 24 games. Villa sits third in the table with 46 points, showcasing their Champions League credentials despite a recent dip. The Cherries face significant injury concerns with key players Kluivert, Tavernier, and Adams sidelined, while Villa miss influential midfielder Tielemans and captain McGinn. Our expert picks favor the visitors based on their superior squad depth and tactical flexibility. These free tips suggest Villa's quality will shine through at the Vitality Stadium, continuing their recent head-to-head dominance with football tips today pointing toward an away victory.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Bournemouth8-9-733.3%
Aston Villa14-4-658.3%
Goals Scored
Bournemouth40
Aston Villa35
Goals Conceded
Bournemouth43
Aston Villa26
Goal Difference
Bournemouth-3
Aston Villa+9

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - Match Analysis

Why is Aston Villa strongly favored against Bournemouth?

Villa's superiority stems from their third-place league position, recent 4-0 demolition of Bournemouth, and significantly better defensive record. They've conceded just 26 goals compared to Bournemouth's 43, while maintaining Champions League form. Villa's squad depth and tactical sophistication give them clear advantages, especially with Bournemouth missing key players like Kluivert, Tavernier, and Adams through injury. Their recent head-to-head dominance and ability to perform in pressure situations make them overwhelming favorites.

What alternative bets should I consider for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities and Villa's attacking quality. Both teams have shown goal-scoring ability, making Both Teams to Score attractive. Villa -1 Asian Handicap provides enhanced odds while reflecting their expected dominance. Correct Score markets like 2-1 or 3-1 to Villa capture their likely winning margin. These alternatives offer better value than straight win bets while capitalizing on the match dynamics.

How do the injury concerns affect this Premier League match?

Bournemouth's injury crisis significantly impacts their chances, losing creative midfielder Tavernier and striker Kluivert who are crucial to their attacking play. Defender Adams' absence weakens their already fragile defense. Villa's injuries to Tielemans and McGinn disrupt their midfield, but their superior squad depth provides adequate replacements. Watkins' questionable status could affect Villa's attack, but they have alternative options. Overall, Bournemouth's injuries are more damaging to their tactical setup and quality.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Bournemouth (4)Draws (2)Aston Villa (4)
Nov 9, 25
(H)Aston Villa4 - 0Bournemouth(A)
H
May 10, 25
(H)Bournemouth0 - 1Aston Villa(A)
A
Oct 26, 24
(H)Aston Villa1 - 1Bournemouth(A)
D
Apr 21, 24
(H)Aston Villa3 - 1Bournemouth(A)
H
Dec 3, 23
(H)Bournemouth2 - 2Aston Villa(A)
D
Mar 18, 23
(H)Aston Villa3 - 0Bournemouth(A)
H
Aug 6, 22
(H)Bournemouth2 - 0Aston Villa(A)
H
Feb 1, 20
(H)Bournemouth2 - 1Aston Villa(A)
H
Aug 17, 19
(H)Aston Villa1 - 2Bournemouth(A)
A
Apr 9, 16
(H)Aston Villa1 - 2Bournemouth(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Villa completely dominated the recent head-to-head encounter, crushing Bournemouth 4-0 at Villa Park in November 2025. This emphatic victory extended...

Villa completely dominated the recent head-to-head encounter, crushing Bournemouth 4-0 at Villa Park in November 2025. This emphatic victory extended Villa's recent superiority in this fixture, having won three of the last four meetings since 2024. The reverse fixture last season saw Villa secure a narrow 1-0 away victory, demonstrating their ability to grind out results on the south coast. Bournemouth's last victory came in May 2025, but Villa's recent dominance suggests they hold a significant psychological advantage heading into this encounter.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Bournemouth

14 of 15 in Premier League

W
W
D
L
W
L
D
L
D
D
D
L
L
D
L

Form Rating

4/10

Bournemouth Form Analysis

Trending

Bournemouth's recent form shows encouraging signs with victories over Wolves and Liverpool, but defensive frailties...

Bournemouth's recent form shows encouraging signs with victories over Wolves and Liverpool, but defensive frailties remain a major concern. The Cherries have conceded 43 goals in 24 league games, highlighting their vulnerability at the back. Their 3-2 home victory against Liverpool demonstrated their attacking threat, but the 4-1 defeat at Brentford exposed their away struggles. Key injuries to Kluivert, Tavernier, and Adams severely weaken their attacking options and defensive stability. At home, they've been more competitive, but inconsistency plagues their performances. Antoine Semenyo has emerged as their main attacking threat, but the absence of creative midfielder Tavernier limits their build-up play significantly.

Aston Villa

11 of 15 in Premier League

L
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

7.7/10

Aston Villa Form Analysis

Analysis

Aston Villa's form reflects their third-place position, though recent results show some inconsistency with just...

Aston Villa's form reflects their third-place position, though recent results show some inconsistency with just one win in their last three Premier League matches. Their 2-0 victory at Newcastle demonstrated their away capabilities, while the home defeat to Brentford was disappointing. Villa's European commitments add fixture congestion, but their squad depth should handle the workload. The absence of Tielemans and McGinn disrupts their midfield balance, forcing tactical adjustments. Ollie Watkins remains questionable with injury, potentially affecting their attacking potency. Despite recent wobbles, Villa's overall quality and tactical sophistication under their management gives them clear advantages. Their ability to control games through possession and create chances from wide areas makes them formidable opponents.

shieldBournemouth7

  • J. Kluivert profile photo

    J. Kluivert

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • T. Adams profile photo

    T. Adams

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • D. Brooks profile photo

    D. Brooks

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Tavernier profile photo

    M. Tavernier

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • B. Doak profile photo

    B. Doak

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
J. KluivertBournemouth
T. AdamsBournemouth
D. BrooksBournemouth
M. TavernierBournemouth
B. DoakBournemouth
M. AkinmboniBournemouth
J. SolerBournemouth

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldAston Villa6

  • B. Kamara profile photo

    B. Kamara

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • Y. Tielemans profile photo

    Y. Tielemans

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • J. McGinn profile photo

    J. McGinn

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • O. Watkins profile photo

    O. Watkins

    Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Garcia profile photo

    A. Garcia

    Thigh Injury
    Out
B. KamaraAston Villa
Y. TielemansAston Villa
J. McGinnAston Villa
O. WatkinsAston Villa
A. GarciaAston Villa
AlyssonAston Villa

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.