Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Arsenal75%vs 79%-4%
- Draw15%vs 15%
- Sunderland10%vs 6%+4%
Analysis
Our AI model strongly favors Arsenal based on multiple factors converging in their favor. The probability analysis shows Arsenal's home dominance, superior league position, and attacking quality create significant advantages. Sunderland's woeful away record of just two wins from 12 matches contrasts sharply with Arsenal's home fortress mentality. The 46-point gap in the table reflects the genuine quality difference between these sides. Arsenal's expected value calculations show strong positive returns, with their home scoring average of 2.3 goals per game against Sunderland's away defensive frailties creating multiple goal-scoring opportunities.















