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Arsenal
Arsenal1st in Premier League (18-7-3)
VS
Chelsea
Chelsea5th in Premier League (12-9-6)

Arsenal vs Chelsea

Sunday, Mar 1, 2026 · --:--

Emirates Stadium

Final
Arsenal
2–1
Chelsea

Arsenal won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

This Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction highlights a fascinating London derby between the Premier League leaders and fourth-placed Blues. Arsenal sits atop the table with 58 points from 27 games, boasting an impressive home record of 10 wins in 13 matches at Emirates Stadium. Chelsea occupies fourth place with 45 points, showing inconsistent away form with six wins from 13 road trips. The Gunners have dominated recent encounters, winning both League Cup semi-final legs this season with a 4-1 aggregate victory. Arsenal's attacking prowess has been evident with 52 goals scored, while their defensive solidity shows just 20 conceded. Key injuries could impact both sides, with Arsenal missing Kai Havertz and Martin Ødegaard, while Chelsea's Levi Colwill remains doubtful. Our expert picks favor Arsenal's home advantage and superior league position, making this Premier League preview essential for football tips today.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Arsenal18-7-364.3%
Chelsea12-9-644.4%
Goals Scored
Arsenal56
Chelsea48
Goals Conceded
Arsenal21
Chelsea31
Goal Difference
Arsenal+35
Chelsea+17

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Analysis

Why is Arsenal strongly favored against Chelsea in this match?

Arsenal leads the Premier League table by 14 points over Chelsea and boasts an exceptional home record of 10 wins in 13 Emirates Stadium matches. The Gunners recently defeated Chelsea 4-1 on aggregate in the League Cup semi-finals, demonstrating clear tactical superiority. Their defensive solidity (20 goals conceded in 27 games) combined with consistent attacking output makes them overwhelming favorites for this London derby encounter.

What alternative bets should I consider for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking capabilities and their recent high-scoring encounters, including a 5-goal League Cup thriller. Both Teams to Score appeals considering Chelsea's away scoring record and Arsenal's occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Arsenal Draw No Bet provides safer coverage while Arsenal -1 Asian Handicap offers enhanced odds for confident backers of the home side's superiority.

How do recent injuries affect this Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction?

Arsenal's missing key players Kai Havertz and Martin Ødegaard could impact their attacking fluidity, but their squad depth remains strong with Saka and Martinelli available. Chelsea's defensive concerns are more significant with Levi Colwill doubtful and Mykhailo Mudryk suspended, potentially exposing their backline further. Arsenal's 10-day rest advantage should help compensate for missing personnel while Chelsea's shorter preparation time adds pressure.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Arsenal (7)Draws (3)Chelsea (0)
Feb 3, 26
(H)Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea(A)
H
Jan 14, 26
(H)Chelsea2 - 3Arsenal(A)
A
Nov 30, 25
(H)Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal(A)
D
Mar 16, 25
(H)Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea(A)
H
Nov 10, 24
(H)Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal(A)
D
Apr 23, 24
(H)Arsenal5 - 0Chelsea(A)
H
Oct 21, 23
(H)Chelsea2 - 2Arsenal(A)
D
May 2, 23
(H)Arsenal3 - 1Chelsea(A)
H
Nov 6, 22
(H)Chelsea0 - 1Arsenal(A)
A
Jul 24, 22
(H)Arsenal4 - 0Chelsea(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Arsenal has dominated this fixture recently, winning three of their last four meetings since 2024. The Gunners secured a comprehensive...

Arsenal has dominated this fixture recently, winning three of their last four meetings since 2024. The Gunners secured a comprehensive 4-1 aggregate victory in the League Cup semi-finals just weeks ago, winning 3-2 at Stamford Bridge and 1-0 at Emirates Stadium. Their last Premier League encounter ended 1-1 at Stamford Bridge in November 2025, but Arsenal's home dominance is clear with victories in their last two Emirates meetings.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Arsenal

9 of 15 in Premier League

W
D
W
D
W
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
W
D
W

Form Rating

8/10

Arsenal Form Analysis

Trending

Arsenal enters this match in exceptional form, leading the Premier League table with 58 points...

Arsenal enters this match in exceptional form, leading the Premier League table with 58 points from 27 games. The Gunners have been particularly dominant at Emirates Stadium, winning 10 of 13 home matches this season while conceding just eight goals. Recent results show resilience with draws against Wolves and Brentford, plus impressive victories over Sunderland (3-0) and Leeds (4-0). Their attacking output remains strong despite missing key players, with Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli providing consistent threats. The 10-day rest period since their last match should benefit squad rotation and recovery.

Chelsea

9 of 15 in Premier League

D
W
D
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
D
D

Form Rating

6.7/10

Chelsea Form Analysis

Analysis

Chelsea's form has been inconsistent, sitting fourth with 45 points from 27 matches. The Blues...

Chelsea's form has been inconsistent, sitting fourth with 45 points from 27 matches. The Blues have struggled for consistency away from home, managing just six wins in 13 away fixtures. Recent performances show mixed results including a 1-1 draw with Burnley and impressive victories over Wolves (3-1) and Crystal Palace (3-1). Their attacking threat remains potent with Cole Palmer and Nicolas Jackson in good form, but defensive vulnerabilities persist. The absence of Levi Colwill through injury could expose their backline further, while Mykhailo Mudryk's suspension removes another attacking option.

shieldArsenal4

  • K. Havertz profile photo

    K. Havertz

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • B. White profile photo

    B. White

    Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Merino profile photo

    M. Merino

    Leg Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Dowman profile photo

    M. Dowman

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
K. HavertzArsenal
B. WhiteArsenal
M. MerinoArsenal
M. DowmanArsenal

shieldChelsea8

  • W. Fofana profile photo

    W. Fofana

    Red Card
    Out
  • M. Cucurella profile photo

    M. Cucurella

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • M. Mudryk profile photo

    M. Mudryk

    Suspended
    Out
  • L. Colwill profile photo

    L. Colwill

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Jorgensen profile photo

    F. Jorgensen

    Injury
    Questionable
W. FofanaChelsea
M. CucurellaChelsea
M. MudrykChelsea
L. ColwillChelsea
F. JorgensenChelsea
J. GittensChelsea
D. EssugoChelsea
Chelsea

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.