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Avaya Stadium
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers prediction: this Major League Soccer clash at Avaya Stadium pits a fifth-placed home side against a Timbers team still chasing playoff security in ninth. San Jose sit on 42 points with a 1.62 points-per-game rate, four places and nearly half a point per game clear of Portland's 1.23 mark.
San Jose's recent form is mixed — a draw with LA FC and wins over Houston and San Diego sandwich some inconsistency, but they've lost only once in their last five. Portland arrive off a home loss to Atlanta and have won just one of their last five, though their away form (2 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses) is a genuine concern heading into this trip.
Both defenses are leaky — San Jose concede 1.46 per game, Portland 1.85 — which points toward goals at both ends. Portland's injury list is longer and includes several defensive absences, adding to San Jose's edge at home, where the Quakes have taken 18 points from 13 games.
Bookmakers make San Jose clear favorites at 47.8%, and the underlying numbers support that view. Expect a competitive, goal-heavy match with San Jose's home advantage and superior form proving decisive for the win.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
High
2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
San Jose have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters since 2025, including a 4-1 rout and...
San Jose have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters since 2025, including a 4-1 rout and a 3-2 friendly win. The lone blemish was a 1-1 draw in Portland in June 2025. Earlier this year, San Jose won away in MLS play 3-1. The pattern favors the Earthquakes even on the road, and hosting this one adds further weight to their case.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
13 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
3.3/10
San Jose have won 12, drawn 6, and lost 8 this season, sitting fifth with...
San Jose have won 12, drawn 6, and lost 8 this season, sitting fifth with 42 points. Their recent stretch shows resilience — a draw with LA FC and back-to-back wins over Houston and San Diego — though a rough patch in August saw four losses in five games. Goals have flowed at both ends, with 46 scored and 38 conceded. Injuries to Adimabua and Jones limit squad depth, and several players are away on international duty, but the core attacking group remains intact. Watch for San Jose to control tempo at home, where they've been considerably stronger than on the road defensively this season.
12 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5.7/10
Portland sit ninth with 32 points, held back by a poor away record of just...
Portland sit ninth with 32 points, held back by a poor away record of just two wins from twelve. Their recent run has been shaky — a loss to Atlanta, a loss at Dallas, and only one win in their last five outings. They can score, averaging 1.81 goals per game, but their defense has been porous, managing only one clean sheet all season. A lengthy injury list including Bye, Mosquera, and Muse further weakens an already stretched squad. Their away struggles make this a tough away day against a stronger, in-form San Jose side.
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers - Match Analysis
San Jose hold a clear edge in league position (fifth vs ninth), points-per-game (1.62 vs 1.23), and home strength. Portland's away record is particularly weak, with just two wins in twelve road games this season. Combined with recent head-to-head dominance and a healthier squad, the data strongly supports San Jose as favorites at Avaya Stadium.
Beyond the straight win, Over 2.5 Goals looks attractive given both teams' leaky defenses and a combined 3.58 goals-per-game average. Draw No Bet: San Jose Earthquakes is another sound alternative market, protecting against a draw while still backing the favorite. Both offer solid value alongside the main prediction.
San Jose have lost just once in their last five, showing resilience even amid inconsistency. Portland, meanwhile, have won only once in their last five and continue to struggle away from home. This form gap reinforces the statistical edge San Jose already holds in points-per-game and defensive solidity, strengthening the case for a home win.
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