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Subaru Park
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AI Predicted Winner
Philadelphia Union
47%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Philadelphia Union✦ AI Pick | Draw | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Best Odds |
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This Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction centers on a classic form-versus-table clash at Subaru Park. Philadelphia sit sixth in the Eastern Conference but have been the hottest team in MLS lately, riding a stretch of five wins from their last six league outings including a 5-0 rout of FC Cincinnati and a 4-3 shootout win over Sporting Kansas City.
New England sit third, three places and a shade higher on points per game, but their away form tells a different story. The Revolution have lost seven of fifteen road matches this season and arrive with four key absences, a significant blow to squad depth for a trip to Chester.
Philadelphia's home record is excellent — seven wins, five draws, only three losses — and they've scored freely at Subaru Park all year. New England can still hurt teams on the counter and have scored in most of their recent matches, but defensive consistency away from Gillette Stadium has been their undoing.
Expect goals at both ends given the attacking numbers on show, with combined scoring averages pointing well above 3.5 goals per game between these two sides historically this season. The home team's superior current form, favorable home splits, and New England's injury-depleted backline tilt this toward a narrow Philadelphia win, though the away side's quality means this is far from a one-sided assignment.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Philadelphia Union have dominated this fixture over the past two years, winning three of the last four meetings including a...
Philadelphia Union have dominated this fixture over the past two years, winning three of the last four meetings including a 1-0 win in September 2025 and a 5-1 thrashing in July 2024. New England's only win in this span came away in May 2026. The pattern favors the Union at home, though New England has shown it can find the net in these clashes, with several matches producing goals at both ends.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
7.7/10
Philadelphia have been electric recently, winning five of their last six league matches and scoring...
Philadelphia have been electric recently, winning five of their last six league matches and scoring heavily throughout — including 5-0, 5-0, and 4-3 results. Their home record of seven wins, five draws and three losses this season reflects a side that rarely loses at Subaru Park. The attack has been the standout feature, averaging over two goals per game, though the defense has occasionally been porous, conceding in bunches during high-scoring affairs. J. Bueno is out with a hamstring injury, but the squad's depth and attacking rhythm make them a tough home draw for any Eastern Conference rival right now.
15 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
6/10
New England Revolution sit third in the East with a healthy points-per-game mark, but their...
New England Revolution sit third in the East with a healthy points-per-game mark, but their away form is their biggest weakness — just six wins from fifteen road trips with seven losses. Recent form is mixed: wins over Chicago and Cincinnati sandwiched around a heavy 0-3 defeat to Seattle. Four players are missing through injury, including Fofana and Campana, which significantly weakens their options heading into a tough road fixture. They can still score goals in bunches on their day, but defensive fragility away from home is a real concern against an in-form Philadelphia attack.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution - Match Analysis
New England's higher table position comes largely from home performances, while their away record shows seven losses in fifteen road matches. Philadelphia, by contrast, have been the form team in MLS recently, winning five of their last six games with explosive attacking output. Combined with New England missing four players through injury, Philadelphia's home advantage and current momentum outweigh the small gap in season-long points per game.
Over 2.5 Goals is the standout alternative market given both teams' attacking output and a combined scoring rate near 3.7 goals per game this season. Draw No Bet: Philadelphia Union is also worth considering for bettors wanting protection from a draw while still backing the in-form hosts. Both markets align better with the match's goal-heavy profile than a straight moneyline wager.
New England are missing four players, including Fofana and Campana, which thins out their squad depth for a tough road trip. Combined with their already shaky away record of six wins and seven losses this season, these absences add further risk to their chances of containing a Philadelphia side that has been scoring freely and riding strong momentum into this fixture.
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