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New England Revolution
New England Revolution2nd in Major League Soccer (14-4-9)
VS
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders7th in Major League Soccer (10-8-9)

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026 · --:--

Gillette Stadium

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AI Confidence: 53%
New England Revolution53%Draw 24%Seattle Sounders23%

AI Predicted Winner

New England Revolution

53%

#Confidence

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SportsbookNew England Revolution✦ AI PickDrawSeattle Sounders
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AI Match Analysis

New England Revolution host Seattle Sounders at Gillette Stadium in a matchup between the Eastern Conference's second-place side and a Western Conference club fighting to climb clear of mid-table. This New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders prediction leans toward the hosts, who sit five places and nearly a third of a point per game above their visitors.

New England have been excellent at Gillette Stadium, winning nine of 13 home games with a strong goal difference, and they arrive on the back of a recent win over Orlando City despite a rough trip to Real Salt Lake in their last outing. Seattle have stabilized after a miserable mid-season stretch, winning their last two matches and drawing heavily through August and September, a pattern of grinding out points rather than dominating games.

Injuries complicate things for both sides, with New England missing several squad players through injury and international duty, while Seattle's absentee list includes key attacking pieces. Neither club looks fully at strength.

Given New England's superior home form, better points-per-game average, and the bookmaker consensus strongly favoring the hosts, the Revolution should edge this one. Seattle's resilience and draw tendency keep a stalemate firmly in play, but the value sits with New England covering at home against a side still finding consistency on the road.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
New England Revolution14-4-951.9%
Seattle Sounders10-8-937.0%
Goals Scored
New England Revolution45
Seattle Sounders35
Goals Conceded
New England Revolution36
Seattle Sounders35
Goal Difference
New England Revolution+9
Seattle Sounders0

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

New England Revolution (2)Draws (6)Seattle Sounders (2)
Jul 7, 24
(H)Seattle Sounders2 - 0New England Revolution(A)
H
Apr 7, 21
(H)New England Revolution - Seattle Sounders(A)
D
Aug 10, 19
(H)Seattle Sounders3 - 3New England Revolution(A)
D
Jul 7, 18
(H)New England Revolution0 - 0Seattle Sounders(A)
D
Apr 30, 17
(H)Seattle Sounders3 - 3New England Revolution(A)
D
May 28, 16
(H)New England Revolution2 - 1Seattle Sounders(A)
H
Mar 9, 15
(H)Seattle Sounders3 - 0New England Revolution(A)
H
May 11, 14
(H)New England Revolution5 - 0Seattle Sounders(A)
H
Apr 13, 13
(H)Seattle Sounders0 - 0New England Revolution(A)
D
Jun 30, 12
(H)New England Revolution2 - 2Seattle Sounders(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The only meeting between these clubs in the past two years came in July 2024, when Seattle won 2-0 as...

The only meeting between these clubs in the past two years came in July 2024, when Seattle won 2-0 as the away side. That result offers limited sample size for current form assessment. Historically this fixture has produced plenty of draws, including three in their nine most recent meetings dating back over a decade, suggesting these two have often been evenly matched regardless of conference or standings gaps in a given season.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted

New England Revolution

13 of 15 in Major League Soccer

L
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
W
D
D
D

Form Rating

5.7/10

New England Revolution Form Analysis

Trending

New England have won nine of their last 13 league fixtures at Gillette Stadium, conceding...

New England have won nine of their last 13 league fixtures at Gillette Stadium, conceding just 12 goals across those matches. Their recent form is mixed on the road but their home form per the standings has been dominant with only two home losses all season. Multiple squad players are unavailable through injury and international call-ups, testing their depth, though the attack has still produced four goals in a recent home win over Orlando City. Carles Gil remains the creative focal point to watch when fit, driving their 1.67 goals-per-game scoring rate this season.

Seattle Sounders

12 of 15 in Major League Soccer

W
W
W
D
D
D
D
D
L
L
L
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

4.3/10

Seattle Sounders Form Analysis

Analysis

Seattle have found their footing lately, winning their last two matches after a stretch dominated...

Seattle have found their footing lately, winning their last two matches after a stretch dominated by draws through August and September. Their away record is unremarkable though, with only three wins in 13 road trips and a tendency to split points rather than take maximum value. Several key contributors are sidelined through injury, which could blunt their attacking threat on the road. Seattle's defense has also been solid, posting seven clean sheets across the campaign, keeping goals against manageable even in a difficult travel schedule.

shieldNew England Revolution7

  • L. Campana profile photo

    L. Campana

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • J. Harrison profile photo

    J. Harrison

    Lower-Body Injury
    Out
  • A. Yusuf profile photo

    A. Yusuf

    Injury
    Out
  • D. Turgeman profile photo

    D. Turgeman

    International duty
    Out
  • I. Feingold profile photo

    I. Feingold

    International duty
    Out
L. CampanaNew England Revolution
J. HarrisonNew England Revolution
A. YusufNew England Revolution
D. TurgemanNew England Revolution
I. FeingoldNew England Revolution
B. RainesNew England Revolution
P. MillerNew England Revolution

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldSeattle Sounders7

  • D. Joveljic profile photo

    D. Joveljic

    International duty
    Out
  • P. de La Vega profile photo

    P. de La Vega

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • J. Ferreira profile photo

    J. Ferreira

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • H. Dotson profile photo

    H. Dotson

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • P. Rothrock profile photo

    P. Rothrock

    Tendon Injury
    Out
D. JoveljicSeattle Sounders
P. de La VegaSeattle Sounders
J. FerreiraSeattle Sounders
H. DotsonSeattle Sounders
P. RothrockSeattle Sounders
N. PetkovicSeattle Sounders
S. BrunellSeattle Sounders

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders - Match Analysis

Why is New England Revolution strongly favored against Seattle Sounders?

New England sit second in the Eastern Conference with a dominant home record, winning nine of 13 matches at Gillette Stadium this season. Their points-per-game average outpaces Seattle's by a comfortable margin, and the bookmaker consensus of 53.7% reflects that quality gap. Seattle's modest away form, with only three wins in 13 road games, adds further weight to backing the hosts in this matchup.

What alternative bets should I consider for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?

Draw No Bet on New England Revolution offers strong value, protecting against a surprise stalemate while still capturing the home side's edge. Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing, with both teams' combined scoring rate near three goals per game this season. Bettors wanting safer exposure could also consider New England's home win total or a goal-line market given their attacking home form.

How does recent form affect the prediction for this match?

Seattle have won their last two games after a long run of draws, showing improved form heading into this trip. New England, meanwhile, beat Orlando City in their last home game but lost away to Real Salt Lake. Both teams show some inconsistency, but New England's superior home record outweighs Seattle's modest recent upswing, keeping the hosts as the stronger pick here.

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