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AI Predicted Winner
New England Revolution
39%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | New England Revolution✦ AI Pick | Draw | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Best Odds |
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New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire prediction: a near-dead-even Eastern Conference clash with both sides locked in a playoff seeding battle heading into the MLS regular season's closing stretch. New England sit third on 49 points, Chicago fourth on 48, separated by just one place and a razor-thin points-per-game gap.
New England arrive off a 3-2 away win over FC Cincinnati but have been wildly inconsistent, with five losses in their last ten outings and a leaky defense conceding 39 goals. Chicago counter with the division's best away record among mid-table sides this season and a similarly erratic recent run, including a 1-3 home loss to Philadelphia Union just two days before this fixture.
Both clubs are carrying fatigue, with only two rest days each following midweek matches, and both have multiple first-team absences through injury. Chicago will also be without Elliott through suspension.
With combined goals per game sitting at 3.43, goals look near-certain, but the draw rate between these two sides is uncharacteristically low at 17.9% this season despite their recent head-to-head meetings often ending level. Expect an open, high-scoring affair. New England's slight home edge and superior home record (nine wins from fourteen) give them a narrow advantage, but Chicago's attacking output on the road makes this anyone's game. A tight home win with goals at both ends is the most backable outcome.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met four times since late 2024, with New England winning once, Chicago winning once, and two draws...
These sides have met four times since late 2024, with New England winning once, Chicago winning once, and two draws — including a 2-2 stalemate in Boston last October. Chicago also edged the most recent meeting in September 2026, winning 2-1 at home. The head-to-head has consistently produced goals, with every meeting in this span featuring at least three combined goals, reinforcing the attacking trend between these two clubs.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
15 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5.7/10
New England have been streaky, winning three of their last five but conceding heavily along...
New England have been streaky, winning three of their last five but conceding heavily along the way, including a 0-3 home defeat to Seattle. Their attack has clicked recently with 10 goals in the last three matches, but the defense remains the issue at 1.39 conceded per game. Injuries to Campana, Fofana, Harrison, and Yusuf strip depth from both ends of the pitch. Home form is actually their strength this season — nine wins from fourteen — and that record should give them confidence despite the inconsistency. Watch for their attack to again be the differentiator against a shaky Chicago backline.
12 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
6/10
Chicago have also been up and down, losing their last match 1-3 to Philadelphia but...
Chicago have also been up and down, losing their last match 1-3 to Philadelphia but winning two of the three before that, including a statement win over Vancouver. Their away record this season is solid with five wins and five draws from fourteen matches, showing resilience on the road. Clean sheets have been more frequent than New England's (seven total), but the suspension of Elliott and a string of injuries including Franco, Lod, and Rogers weakens their options. Their goals-per-game rate of 1.82 is the division's better attacking mark between these two sides.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire - Match Analysis
The two sides sit just one spot and one point apart in the Eastern Conference table, with nearly identical points-per-game marks. Bookmaker odds reflect this tightness, pricing New England at just 38.9% and Chicago at 36.7%. Both teams have had wildly inconsistent recent form, trading wins and losses, which further supports treating this as a genuine coin-flip fixture rather than a clear favorite scenario.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams average well over 1.5 goals scored per game and have shaky defenses. Both Teams to Score is another strong option, supported by both sides' attacking output this season. For a safer hedge on the result, Draw No Bet on New England capitalizes on their home strength without the draw risk dragging down returns.
Both New England and Chicago are jostling for Eastern Conference playoff seeding with the regular season winding down. A win here could lift either side toward a higher seed, while a loss risks slipping behind rivals in a tightly bunched mid-table. With MLS Cup Playoffs approaching, every point in this stretch carries extra weight for positioning and potential home-field advantage in the postseason.
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