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Geodis Park
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AI Predicted Winner
Nashville SC
64%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Nashville SC✦ AI Pick | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|---|
BetanoBest Odds | |||
BetVictor | |||
Bet365 | |||
| Best Odds |
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Nashville SC host the New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer on November 1, with the home side entering as clear favorites. Our model gives Nashville a 64% chance of victory, with the draw at 20% and a Red Bulls win at 16%. That sits in line with the bookmaker consensus of roughly 63%, and confidence in the call is high.
The foundation of the pick is Nashville's league-leading record. They top the standings with 71 points, and their defense is the standout feature, conceding just 0.72 goals per match. That kind of organization at the back, combined with strong home form, makes them difficult to break down and gives them a reliable platform to control the game.
New York present a much shakier profile on the other end. The Red Bulls sit tenth in the table and concede 1.84 goals per game, a significant gap compared with Nashville's defensive numbers. Against a side that rarely gives up chances, that vulnerability could prove costly if Nashville's attack finds an early opening.
For bettors, the main angle is Nashville on the moneyline, with the market price broadly matching our probability. Those wanting alternatives might consider Nashville to keep a clean sheet or lower-scoring lines, given the home side's defensive record. No confirmed key absences or rotation have surfaced, so check team news closer to kickoff before committing.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Nashville hold a clear recent edge in this fixture. They won 1-0 in August 2026 and 2-1 at home in...
Nashville hold a clear recent edge in this fixture. They won 1-0 in August 2026 and 2-1 at home in May 2025, while the Red Bulls' only recent win came 2-0 at home in March 2025. Older meetings produced several low-scoring draws, but within the last two years Nashville have won two of three. Expect another tight contest, with Nashville's home strength the decisive factor.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
14 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
7.3/10
Nashville have been outstanding, winning 21 of 32 league games and losing only three. At...
Nashville have been outstanding, winning 21 of 32 league games and losing only three. At Geodis Park they are unbeaten with 14 wins and two draws. Their last five include two wins by four goals, a 2-0 away win at Montreal and a 1-1 draw at San Jose, before a goalless draw with Philadelphia last time out. The defense is elite at 0.72 conceded per game with 16 clean sheets, while the attack averages 2.06 goals per game. Presthus is out and Camara is a doubt, but the squad has depth. Rest is three days, a medium fatigue risk.
15 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
4/10
New York Red Bulls have struggled for consistency, winning 11 of 32 with 15 defeats....
New York Red Bulls have struggled for consistency, winning 11 of 32 with 15 defeats. Their recent run reads two wins in the last five, including a 2-0 home win over Inter Miami, but they lost 3-2 at New England on October 28 and 2-0 to Toronto before that. Defensively they concede 1.84 goals per game with just five clean sheets, a worrying sign against Nashville's attack. Away form is modest at five wins from 16. Che is injured and Donkor and Nealis are suspended, hurting their defensive options on short rest.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls - Match Analysis
Nashville lead the league on 71 points, are unbeaten at home with 14 wins and two draws, and concede only 0.72 goals per game. New York sit tenth with a negative goal difference and 1.84 goals conceded per game. Bookmakers price Nashville at about 63%, and form, standings and the Red Bulls' defensive absences all back that.
Nashville -1 Asian Handicap is a good option given their attacking output and the Red Bulls' weak defense. Double chance Nashville or Draw offers a safer hedge, while a Nashville clean sheet suits a team with 16 shutouts this season. The Red Bulls' recent form makes any bet on them risky.
Nashville top the standings and are looking to protect first place heading into the playoffs, with seeding and home advantage at stake. New York Red Bulls are tenth on 39 points, outside the playoff places, so every point matters if they hope to climb. That motivation gap favors Nashville, who are more consistent.
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