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Soldier Field
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AI Predicted Winner
Draw
29%
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Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution prediction: this Major League Soccer clash at Soldier Field pits two teams separated by just two spots and 0.03 points per game, making it one of the tighter matchups on this week's slate. Chicago sit fifth in the Eastern Conference with 39 points, while New England occupy third with 40, both firmly locked into playoff positioning with little separating them in quality.
Chicago arrive off a run of three straight draws, including a wild 4-4 thriller at Toronto, showing an attack capable of scoring freely but a defense leaking goals too easily. New England enter in decent shape, winning their last outing 2-1 at New York City FC after mixed results through August.
Both sides carry injury concerns, with Chicago missing three players including defenders Franco and Mbokazi, while New England could be without Campana and have Yusuf as a doubt. With combined goals per game sitting at 3.53, this fixture profiles as a shootout rather than a cagey affair.
Given the tight points-per-game gap and history of high-scoring, draw-heavy meetings between these sides, expect an open contest. The data points toward a narrow home edge, but the away team's better road form and comparable underlying numbers keep this firmly competitive. Over 2.5 goals looks like the standout angle regardless of the winner.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These teams have met regularly in recent seasons, with October 2025's meeting in New England ending 2-2 and Chicago winning...
These teams have met regularly in recent seasons, with October 2025's meeting in New England ending 2-2 and Chicago winning 3-2 at home in September 2025. An earlier US Open Cup clash saw New England win 3-1. Draws have been a recurring theme across their broader history, and both recent MLS meetings produced goals at both ends, reinforcing the trend of entertaining, closely contested fixtures between these two Eastern Conference rivals.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
6.7/10
Chicago Fire have drawn three consecutive matches, including high-scoring stalemates against Inter Miami, Toronto, and...
Chicago Fire have drawn three consecutive matches, including high-scoring stalemates against Inter Miami, Toronto, and Seattle, reflecting an attack that's firing but a defense that's been porous. Their home record of seven wins, one draw, and three losses from eleven matches shows real quality at Soldier Field, and they've scored freely with 1.91 goals per game. However, three absences—including two defenders in Franco and Mbokazi—will test squad depth defensively. Watch for their attacking players to press for a breakthrough after three straight draws, though the leaky backline makes clean sheets unlikely against a well-organized New England side.
13 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5/10
New England Revolution bounced back from a loss with a 2-1 win at New York...
New England Revolution bounced back from a loss with a 2-1 win at New York City FC, continuing an inconsistent but productive stretch. Their away record is modest at four wins, two draws, and six losses from twelve games, a clear contrast to their stronger home form. Goals have been shared around the squad, with 1.62 scored per game and a tidier defense conceding just 1.25. Campana's hamstring injury is a blow to their attacking options, and Yusuf is questionable, but a top-three position with 40 points shows this squad has quality capable of causing problems on the road.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution - Match Analysis
The prediction signals show almost no separation between these teams—just a 0.03 points-per-game difference and two league spots. Chicago has home advantage and a stronger scoring rate, but New England boasts a tighter defense and sits above them in the standings. With both teams drawing recently and comparable underlying numbers, this genuinely looks like one of the closest matchups on the MLS schedule this week.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out given the 3.53 combined goals per game and both teams' recent high-scoring matches, including Chicago's 4-4 draw at Toronto. Both Teams to Score is another strong option considering both sides' leaky defenses. For bettors wanting safety, Draw No Bet on Chicago Fire hedges against the draw while still leaning on home advantage.
Both clubs sit inside playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference, with Chicago fifth and New England third, separated by just one point. With the regular season winding down, every result matters for seeding heading into the playoffs. A win here could push either side up the table, while a loss risks late-season pressure as rivals below continue chasing postseason spots.
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