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Q2 Stadium
Nashville SC won
Austin vs Nashville SC prediction: a clash between a mid-table Austin side treading water and a runaway Eastern Conference leader in red-hot form. Nashville SC sit top of MLS with 60 points from 27 games, boasting a remarkable unbeaten home record and the league's best goal difference at plus-34.
Austin, by contrast, sit 13th with just 31 points and a minus-12 goal difference, winning only seven of 27 league games. Their recent form shows six draws in their last ten outings, a pattern of competitiveness without conviction, and they've lost two of their last five.
Nashville arrive unbeaten in their last two matches, scoring five goals without reply against Toronto FC and Chicago Fire. Their away form is more modest with five wins, five draws and three losses, but their overall quality gap over Austin is significant. The bookmakers rate Nashville clear favorites at 51.8% implied probability, and the underlying numbers back that up.
Expect goals in this one given Austin's leaky defense (1.74 conceded per game) meeting Nashville's clinical attack (2.04 scored per game). Nashville SC are the pick to win, but Austin's knack for drawing games at home suggests this won't be a straightforward away victory, with goals at both ends likely.
Last 6 head-to-head matchups
These two have met six times recently, with Nashville winning three, Austin winning one, and two draws across various competitions....
These two have met six times recently, with Nashville winning three, Austin winning one, and two draws across various competitions. In their most recent US Open Cup meeting in October 2025, Nashville won 2-1 away from home. The pattern favors the away side slightly in recent head-to-head meetings, though competition context varies and limits direct relevance to this league fixture.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5.7/10
Austin have been stuck in a rut of draws, picking up six stalemates in their...
Austin have been stuck in a rut of draws, picking up six stalemates in their last ten matches across competitions, including back-to-back 0-0 and 3-3 results against FC Dallas and San Diego. Their home record is solid at four wins, six draws and three losses, but they've struggled for consistency going forward, scoring just 1.3 goals per game. Defensive injuries to Z. Kolmanic compound an already leaky backline conceding 1.74 per game. J. Rosales is suspended through yellow card accumulation. Watch for Austin's ability to frustrate stronger sides at Q2 Stadium, where they've avoided defeat in their last several outings.
12 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
6.3/10
Nashville SC have been MLS's standout team this season, topping the table with an imposing...
Nashville SC have been MLS's standout team this season, topping the table with an imposing plus-34 goal difference and a perfect home record of 13 wins and one draw from 14 games. They've won two straight, outscoring opponents 5-0 in that span, and boast 13 clean sheets across the campaign. Several squad members missed recent fixtures due to international duty, though most should be available here. Their away form is more pedestrian with three defeats, but the quality gap over Austin remains stark. Their attacking depth, averaging over two goals per game, makes them a threat regardless of venue.
2026 Season
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Austin vs Nashville SC - Match Analysis
Nashville SC lead MLS with 60 points and an unbeaten home record, but it's their overall quality that travels well too. They average 2.04 goals scored and just 0.78 conceded per game, compared to Austin's 1.3 and 1.74. The 12-place standings gap and recent five-goal, two-game scoring run further cement Nashville as deserving favorites in this matchup.
Austin have drawn six of their last ten matches, showing they can grind out results against stronger opposition at home. Their defensive record at Q2 Stadium (four wins, six draws, three losses) suggests they're difficult to beat on home turf, even if they struggle to win outright. Nashville's away form, while solid, includes three losses this season, hinting at some vulnerability on the road.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out given a combined 3.34 goals per game average and Austin's leaky defense facing Nashville's clinical attack. Draw No Bet: Nashville SC is a strong hedge against Austin's frequent draws while still backing the superior side. Both Teams to Score is also worth considering, as both sides have shown attacking output even in tougher matchups this season.
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