Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Toulouse65%vs 55%+10%
- Draw20%vs 27%-7%
- Auxerre15%vs 19%-4%
Analysis
Our AI model strongly favors Toulouse based on comprehensive probability analysis. The home team's superior league position, excellent home form, and Auxerre's relegation struggles create a clear advantage. Toulouse's three wins in five matches contrasts sharply with Auxerre's one victory in ten. The 17-point gap in the table reflects genuine quality differences. Stadium de Toulouse has proven a fortress recently, while Auxerre's woeful away record (no wins in nine) suggests continued struggles. Expected value calculations support the home victory at attractive odds.





















