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Toulouse
Toulouse8th in Ligue 1 (8-5-6)
VS
Auxerre
Auxerre17th in Ligue 1 (3-3-13)

Toulouse vs Auxerre

Sunday, Feb 1, 2026 · --:--

Stadium de Toulouse

Final
Toulouse
0–0
Auxerre

Draw

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Toulouse vs Auxerre prediction highlights a crucial clash at Stadium de Toulouse between two teams with contrasting fortunes. This Ligue 1 preview features eighth-placed Toulouse (29 points) hosting relegation-threatened Auxerre (12 points, 17th). Toulouse enters with excellent home form, winning four of their last five at Stadium de Toulouse, including impressive victories over Nice (5-1) and Strasbourg (1-0). Their recent 2-0 away win at Brest demonstrates growing confidence. Auxerre arrives in dire straits, managing just one win in their last ten matches and sitting five points from safety. Key injuries plague both sides - Toulouse miss striker F. Magri and defender A. Francis, while Auxerre lose defender M. Senaya to suspension plus F. Sierralta to injury. The home advantage and superior form make Toulouse clear favorites in our expert picks, offering excellent football tips today for backing the hosts to secure vital points in their European qualification push.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Toulouse (6)Draws (2)Auxerre (2)
Sep 21, 25
(H)Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse(A)
H
Feb 9, 25
(H)Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse(A)
D
Dec 1, 24
(H)Toulouse2 - 0Auxerre(A)
H
May 27, 23
(H)Toulouse1 - 1Auxerre(A)
D
Jan 11, 23
(H)Auxerre0 - 5Toulouse(A)
A
Mar 19, 22
(H)Auxerre1 - 2Toulouse(A)
A
Oct 16, 21
(H)Toulouse6 - 0Auxerre(A)
H
Feb 2, 21
(H)Auxerre3 - 1Toulouse(A)
H
Sep 26, 20
(H)Toulouse3 - 1Auxerre(A)
H
Oct 26, 16
(H)Toulouse1 - 0Auxerre(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Toulouse significantly. In their last meeting this season, Auxerre won 1-0 at home in September 2025,...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Toulouse significantly. In their last meeting this season, Auxerre won 1-0 at home in September 2025, but Toulouse dominated the previous campaign with a 2-0 home victory in December 2024. The historical pattern shows Toulouse's superiority at Stadium de Toulouse, where they've consistently outperformed Auxerre. Over their last four encounters since 2022, Toulouse holds a 2-1-1 record, with both victories coming at home. This trend strongly supports the home team's chances.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted

Toulouse

13 of 15 in Ligue 1

W
W
W
L
W
W
W
D
L
D
D
D
L
W
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Toulouse Form Analysis

Trending

Toulouse showcases impressive recent form with three wins in their last five league matches. Their...

Toulouse showcases impressive recent form with three wins in their last five league matches. Their home fortress at Stadium de Toulouse has been particularly strong, remaining unbeaten in four of five recent home fixtures. The devastating 5-1 demolition of Nice demonstrated their attacking prowess, while the professional 1-0 victory over Strasbourg highlighted defensive solidity. Their 2-0 away triumph at Brest last weekend proves they're gaining momentum. However, the 3-0 home defeat to league leaders Lens remains a concern. Key absences include striker F. Magri and defender A. Francis through injury, potentially weakening both ends of the pitch. Captain and playmaker to watch.

Auxerre

14 of 15 in Ligue 1

L
L
L
L
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L

Form Rating

1.7/10

Auxerre Form Analysis

Analysis

Auxerre's form presents alarming reading for their survival hopes. Just one victory in ten league...

Auxerre's form presents alarming reading for their survival hopes. Just one victory in ten league matches has left them deep in relegation trouble, five points from safety. Their away record proves particularly concerning, with no wins in their last nine road trips. Recent defeats to PSG (1-0) and Lens (1-0) highlight their struggles against quality opposition. The 3-1 home victory over Metz represents their sole bright spot recently. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding regularly while struggling to create chances. Missing suspended defender M. Senaya and injured F. Sierralta further weakens their already fragile backline. Striker to watch for rare attacking threat.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Toulouse8-5-642.1%
Auxerre3-3-1315.8%
Goals Scored
Toulouse31
Auxerre14
Goals Conceded
Toulouse23
Auxerre29

shieldToulouse4

  • A. Francis profile photo

    A. Francis

    Broken Leg
    Out
  • F. Magri profile photo

    F. Magri

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • D. Methalie profile photo

    D. Methalie

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • I. Azizi profile photo

    I. Azizi

    Knee Injury
    Out
A. FrancisToulouse
F. MagriToulouse
D. MethalieToulouse
I. AziziToulouse

shieldAuxerre4

  • F. Sierralta profile photo

    F. Sierralta

    Injury
    Out
  • M. Senaya profile photo

    M. Senaya

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • N. Buayi-Kiala profile photo

    N. Buayi-Kiala

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • R. Matondo profile photo

    R. Matondo

    Knock
    Out
F. SierraltaAuxerre
M. SenayaAuxerre
N. Buayi-KialaAuxerre
R. MatondoAuxerre

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Toulouse+8
Auxerre-15

Toulouse vs Auxerre - Match Analysis

Why is Toulouse strongly favored against Auxerre in this match?

Toulouse enjoys significant advantages including superior league position (8th vs 17th), excellent home form with four wins in five at Stadium de Toulouse, and momentum from recent victories. Auxerre's relegation struggles, with just one win in ten matches and no away victories in nine attempts, create a massive gulf in quality and confidence between these sides.

What alternative bets should I consider for Toulouse vs Auxerre?

Draw No Bet: Toulouse provides excellent security given their home dominance. Both Teams to Score: No offers value considering Auxerre's attacking struggles away from home. Over 2.5 Goals appeals based on Toulouse's recent high-scoring displays and Auxerre's defensive frailties. Asian Handicap -1 Toulouse could provide enhanced odds for the confident.

How do recent injuries affect this Toulouse vs Auxerre prediction?

Both teams face key absences that could influence the outcome. Toulouse miss striker F. Magri and defender A. Francis, potentially affecting their attacking threat and defensive stability. Auxerre lose suspended defender M. Senaya and injured F. Sierralta, further weakening their already fragile backline. These absences favor Toulouse, who have greater squad depth to cope with missing players.

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