Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Stade Brestois 2930%vs 42%-12%
- Draw25%vs 30%-5%
- Lorient45%vs 28%+17%
Analysis
Our AI model analysis indicates Lorient as favorites based on superior recent form and attacking momentum. The probability analysis shows the visitors' three-match winning streak against Brest's struggles creates a clear form differential. Lorient's ability to score against quality opposition like Monaco and Rennes suggests they can exploit Brest's defensive issues. While home advantage typically provides a boost, Brest's recent home performances haven't been convincing enough to overcome the current form gap. The model weighs recent results heavily, favoring teams with positive momentum.






