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Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
PEN 7–6
Saint Etienne won on penalties
Saint Etienne host Rodez at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in this Ligue 1 encounter, with the home side holding a statistical edge despite recent disappointments. The hosts have demonstrated superior attacking metrics this season, recording an impressive expected goals figure of 35.9 that highlights their consistent chance creation throughout the campaign.
Home advantage proves crucial in this matchup, as Saint Etienne's familiar surroundings and supportive crowd should provide the necessary boost to overcome any lingering effects from their recent semi-final elimination. The statistical foundation remains solid, with the hosts maintaining better underlying numbers across key performance indicators compared to their visiting opponents.
Rodez arrive as underdogs but cannot be completely dismissed, particularly given Saint Etienne's potential vulnerability following their cup disappointment. However, the visitors lack the consistent quality to trouble a home side that has shown resilience in bouncing back from setbacks throughout the season.
Weather conditions show mild temperatures with patchy rain expected, but these factors are unlikely to significantly alter the tactical approach from either manager. The betting markets reflect Saint Etienne's superiority, with the home win representing solid value given their statistical dominance and the psychological advantage of playing at their fortress. This fixture should see the hosts claim all three points through their superior attacking threat and home comfort.
Last 9 head-to-head matchups
Recent encounters favor Saint Etienne with four wins in their last six meetings since 2024. The home side dominated with...
Recent encounters favor Saint Etienne with four wins in their last six meetings since 2024. The home side dominated with victories of 4-0 and 2-0 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, while Rodez claimed a crucial 2-1 win in their most recent clash on May 2nd. Saint Etienne has proven particularly strong at home in this fixture, winning three of four encounters at their ground. The aggregate goal tally shows attacking intent from both sides, with most matches producing multiple goals.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
0 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
6/10
Saint Etienne's recent form has been erratic, winning just two of their last five matches....
Saint Etienne's recent form has been erratic, winning just two of their last five matches. Their 5-0 demolition of Amiens showcased their attacking potential, but three consecutive defeats prior to that victory exposed defensive vulnerabilities. The team has struggled for consistency, alternating between impressive victories and disappointing losses. Key injuries to F. Tardieu and N. El Jamali weaken their midfield options significantly. At home, they've shown greater resilience historically, though their recent domestic form suggests tactical adjustments may be needed. The attacking display against Amiens proves they can deliver when the pressure mounts.
1 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
8.3/10
Rodez arrives in excellent form, winning three consecutive matches including their impressive 3-2 victory over...
Rodez arrives in excellent form, winning three consecutive matches including their impressive 3-2 victory over RED Star FC 93 in their last outing. Their attacking output has been exceptional, scoring eight goals across their last three games while maintaining defensive solidity. The team's away record shows confidence, having secured victories in challenging environments. With fewer injury concerns than their opponents, Rodez can field close to their strongest XI. Their recent 2-1 victory over Saint Etienne demonstrates they can compete effectively against today's opposition. The momentum and tactical flexibility give them genuine belief in causing an upset.
2025/2026 Season
Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries
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Saint Etienne vs Rodez - Match Analysis
Saint Etienne's home advantage at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard is crucial, having won four of their last five meetings at this venue. The knockout format and home crowd support typically favor the hosts in elimination matches. Their recent 5-0 victory over Amiens also demonstrates they can deliver commanding performances when the stakes are highest, suggesting they'll rise to this semi-final occasion.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out as the top alternative, given both teams' attacking output and the 3.0 combined goals average. Both Teams to Score also offers value, considering Rodez's recent scoring form and Saint Etienne's defensive vulnerabilities. For a safer option, Saint Etienne Draw No Bet provides insurance against a potential upset while maintaining decent odds.
Saint Etienne's injury list is concerning, particularly the absence of F. Tardieu and N. El Jamali who provide midfield creativity and stability. However, their squad depth should cope with a single knockout match, and the home advantage often compensates for missing players. Rodez's lighter injury list gives them a slight tactical edge, but Saint Etienne's experience in pressure situations remains their strongest asset.
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