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Rennes
Rennes5th in Ligue 1 (5-1-4)
VS
Lille
Lille2nd in Ligue 1 (6-3-1)

Rennes vs Lille

Sunday, Nov 8, 2026 · --:--

Roazhon Park

Final
Rennes
1–2
Lille

Lille won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Rennes host Lille in Ligue 1 on 8 November 2026, and our model leans toward the home side, though only narrowly. Rennes are given a 42% chance of victory, with Lille at 30% and the draw at 28%. Bookmaker consensus sits close to that view, backing the hosts as slight favourites.

The main driver is attacking output. Rennes' expected goals total of 16.6 comfortably outstrips Lille's 11.3, which fits with their higher goal production this season. Their strong home record adds weight to that edge, and the hosts should have the greater share of dangerous chances.

Team news also favours Rennes. Lille are without four players in Sahraoui, Ueda, Santos and Igamane, which thins their attacking options and could blunt their ability to create from open play. Rennes have just one absentee in Lepaul, so they should be able to field a largely settled side. Mild, sunny conditions mean the weather is unlikely to play any part.

Lille remain a difficult opponent. Their defence is among the best in the league, conceding just 0.67 goals per game, and their points-per-game return is stronger than Rennes'. That keeps a draw or away result firmly in play. Confidence in this call is low, so a cautious angle may suit: Rennes on the double chance, or a tight, low-scoring contest if backing the Lille defence to hold firm.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Rennes (1)Draws (4)Lille (5)
Mar 15, 26
(H)Rennes1 - 2Lille(A)
A
Jan 3, 26
(H)Lille0 - 2Rennes(A)
A
Feb 16, 25
(H)Rennes0 - 2Lille(A)
A
Nov 24, 24
(H)Lille1 - 0Rennes(A)
H
Mar 10, 24
(H)Lille2 - 2Rennes(A)
D
Sep 16, 23
(H)Rennes2 - 2Lille(A)
D
Feb 4, 23
(H)Rennes1 - 3Lille(A)
A
Nov 6, 22
(H)Lille1 - 1Rennes(A)
D
May 21, 22
(H)Lille2 - 2Rennes(A)
D
Dec 1, 21
(H)Rennes1 - 2Lille(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Lille have the upper hand in recent meetings. Of the last three encounters since late 2024, Lille won two, including...

Lille have the upper hand in recent meetings. Of the last three encounters since late 2024, Lille won two, including a 2-1 victory at Rennes in March 2026, and Rennes won the other, 2-0 away in January 2026. Lille have won both of their last two visits to Roazhon Park in the league. The pattern shows tight, low-margin games decided by a single goal, with the visitors holding a slight psychological edge.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted

Rennes

9 of 15 in Ligue 1

D
L
W
D
L
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
D
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Rennes Form Analysis

Trending

Rennes' home form is excellent: four wins and a draw from five league games at...

Rennes' home form is excellent: four wins and a draw from five league games at Roazhon Park, with 13 goals scored. Their overall record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses sits alongside a leaky defence, conceding over two goals per game and losing 5-2 at Nice and 4-3 at Paris FC. They drew 0-0 with Olympiakos in the Europa League on Wednesday, so rest is three days. Three players were missing for that fixture: Ait Boudlal, Lepaul and Rongier. Their attack is the major strength, averaging 2.22 goals per game.

Lille

9 of 15 in Ligue 1

D
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
D

Form Rating

5.7/10

Lille Form Analysis

Analysis

Lille are the league's most defensively solid side, conceding just six goals in nine games...

Lille are the league's most defensively solid side, conceding just six goals in nine games and keeping five clean sheets. They have lost only once in the league, winning five and drawing three, though a 1-0 home win over Lens was followed by a 0-0 Champions League draw at Bodo/Glimt. Away from home they have two wins, one draw and one defeat. The squad is stretched, with Igamane, Santos, Ueda and Bentaleb flagged absent for the Champions League game and Mbappe suspended after a red card. Goals have been harder to come by, at 1.33 per game.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Rennes5-1-355.6%
Lille5-3-155.6%
Goals Scored
Rennes20
Lille12
Goals Conceded
Rennes19
Lille6

shieldRennes3

  • V. Rongier profile photo

    V. Rongier

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • E. Lepaul profile photo

    E. Lepaul

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • A. Ait Boudlal profile photo

    A. Ait Boudlal

    Injury
    Out
V. RongierRennes
E. LepaulRennes
A. Ait BoudlalRennes

shieldLille5

  • N. Bentaleb profile photo

    N. Bentaleb

    Illness
    Out
  • A. Ueda profile photo

    A. Ueda

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • H. Igamane profile photo

    H. Igamane

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • T. Santos profile photo

    T. Santos

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • E. Mbappe profile photo

    E. Mbappe

    Red Card
    Out
N. BentalebLille
A. UedaLille
H. IgamaneLille
T. SantosLille
E. MbappeLille

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Rennes+1
Lille+6

Rennes vs Lille - Match Analysis

Why is Rennes slightly favored against Lille?

Rennes are favored mainly because of home advantage and an excellent home record of four wins and a draw from five league games, with 13 goals scored. Lille also arrive with a stretched squad after a midweek Champions League trip and several absentees, including a suspended Mbappe. However, the edge is narrow: Lille have the better points per game and the league's best defence, so this is far from a one-sided call.

What alternative bets should I consider for Rennes vs Lille?

Draw No Bet on Rennes protects against the draw, which is a realistic outcome at around 26-28%. Both Teams to Score is another sensible angle, since Rennes have scored in eight of nine league matches and concede over two goals per game, while Lille have scored in every league game this season. Over 2.5 Goals carries more risk because of Lille's strong defensive record.

What are the stakes of this game for both teams?

Lille sit second on 18 points and a win keeps them in the chase at the top, close to Paris Saint Germain on 20. Rennes are fifth on 16 points and a victory would lift them level with or above Lille, strengthening their European push. With only two points separating the sides, the result will reshape the upper part of the Ligue 1 table.

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