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Roazhon Park
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AI Predicted Winner
Rennes
63%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Rennes✦ AI Pick | Draw | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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This Rennes vs Auxerre prediction centers on a Ligue 1 clash at Roazhon Park where the hosts enter as clear favorites. Rennes sit fifth with 10 points from five games, boasting a strong home record of two wins and a draw without defeat this season. Their attack has clicked at 1.6 goals per game, even if the defense has leaked goals in transition.
Auxerre arrive in tenth place, well off the pace with six points and a negative goal difference of minus five. Two wins on the bounce have lifted spirits, but conceding 2.4 goals per game on average, and a winless away record this season, paint a concerning picture on the road.
Injuries complicate Auxerre's task further, with several first-team contributors sidelined through knee and muscle issues, thinning their defensive options against a Rennes side with low fatigue risk and eight days of rest.
Bookmakers price Rennes at 66.1% to win, and the underlying numbers support that view: a five-place table gap, a 0.80 points-per-game edge, and a superior home record all point the same direction. Expect Rennes to control proceedings and convert their home advantage into three points, with goals likely at both ends given the combined scoring rate of three per game this season.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two sides have split results recently, with Auxerre winning 3-0 at home in February 2026 and the reverse fixture...
The two sides have split results recently, with Auxerre winning 3-0 at home in February 2026 and the reverse fixture at Roazhon Park finishing 2-2 in October 2025. That draw snapped a run where Rennes had dominated at home previously. With both encounters from the last two years producing different outcomes, history offers little edge here, though Rennes have generally been the stronger side across their head-to-head meetings over a longer horizon.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
6 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4.3/10
Rennes have won three of their last five across competitions, with home form standing out:...
Rennes have won three of their last five across competitions, with home form standing out: two wins and a draw from three matches at Roazhon Park this season. Their attack has produced eight goals in five Ligue 1 games, though a shaky defense has shipped nine in return, including a damaging 4-0 loss at Lyon. Injury concerns around D. Cisse and questionable fitness for A. Nordin and G. Oliveira add minor uncertainty, but the squad depth should absorb those absences. Watch for the front line to exploit space against a leaky Auxerre backline, with Rennes' home scoring rate of exactly two goals per game a strong indicator of attacking intent in this fixture.
7 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
6/10
Auxerre have won their last two matches, lifting momentum after an opening run of three...
Auxerre have won their last two matches, lifting momentum after an opening run of three straight losses. Still, their away form remains the concern: no wins, two defeats, and a goal difference of minus five overall this season point to defensive fragility on the road. Four separate injuries, including knee and muscle issues, have hit the squad hard, thinning options at the back. Despite scoring in every match this term, Auxerre concede at a rate of 2.4 per game, making clean sheets rare. Their resilience in attack keeps them dangerous on the counter, but containing a well-rested Rennes side away from home looks a tall order.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Rennes vs Auxerre - Match Analysis
Rennes hold a commanding edge across nearly every metric: fifth place versus Auxerre's tenth, an unbeaten home record this season, and a 0.80 points-per-game advantage. Bookmakers have priced them at 66.1% to win, reflecting both tactical and situational factors like Auxerre's defensive injuries and poor away form. Combined with low fatigue risk from extra rest days, Rennes look well-placed to control this match from start to finish.
Auxerre arrive with some momentum, having won their last two matches and scoring in every game this season. Their attacking threat on the counter could trouble a Rennes defense that has conceded nine goals in five matches. However, Auxerre's winless away record and multiple defensive injuries make an upset unlikely, though a narrow result or draw isn't completely out of the question given recent head-to-head volatility.
Beyond the straight win market, Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive frailties, with a combined scoring rate of three goals per game this season. Both Teams to Score is another strong option since Auxerre have scored in every match this term. For safer coverage, Draw No Bet: Rennes protects against a surprise draw while still capturing most of the value in backing the home side.
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