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Nantes
Nantes16th in Ligue 1 (3-5-12)
VS
Lyon
Lyon4th in Ligue 1 (12-3-5)

Nantes vs Lyon

Saturday, Feb 7, 2026 · --:--

Stade de la Beaujoire

Final
Nantes
0–1
Lyon

Lyon won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Nantes vs Lyon prediction highlights a stark contrast in current form and league position. Lyon, sitting 4th with 39 points, arrives at Stade de la Beaujoire on a perfect five-game winning streak, while Nantes languishes in 16th place with just 14 points, deep in relegation trouble. This Ligue 1 preview reveals Lyon's attacking prowess with 33 goals scored compared to Nantes' meager 19. The visitors have been exceptional recently, dismantling Metz 5-2 and beating Lille 1-0, showcasing their Champions League qualification ambitions. Nantes' desperate situation is evident from their recent 2-1 loss to Lorient, extending their poor run. Lyon's superior quality, combined with Nantes' defensive frailties (36 goals conceded), makes this our top football tips today. Expert picks favor the away side heavily, with Lyon's clinical finishing and tactical discipline under pressure. Free tips suggest backing Lyon's victory as they seek to maintain their European push against relegation-threatened opposition.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Nantes (1)Draws (3)Lyon (6)
Nov 30, 25
(H)Lyon3 - 0Nantes(A)
H
Jan 26, 25
(H)Nantes1 - 1Lyon(A)
D
Oct 6, 24
(H)Lyon2 - 0Nantes(A)
H
Apr 7, 24
(H)Nantes1 - 3Lyon(A)
A
Dec 20, 23
(H)Lyon1 - 0Nantes(A)
H
Apr 5, 23
(H)Nantes1 - 0Lyon(A)
H
Mar 17, 23
(H)Lyon1 - 1Nantes(A)
D
Jan 11, 23
(H)Nantes0 - 0Lyon(A)
D
May 14, 22
(H)Lyon3 - 2Nantes(A)
H
Aug 27, 21
(H)Nantes0 - 1Lyon(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters strongly favor Lyon, who dominated their last meeting with a commanding 3-0 victory at home in November...

Recent head-to-head encounters strongly favor Lyon, who dominated their last meeting with a commanding 3-0 victory at home in November 2025. The previous season saw a 1-1 draw at Nantes, but Lyon's overall superiority is clear with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five meetings. Lyon has scored 9 goals to Nantes' 4 in recent encounters, demonstrating their attacking edge in this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted

Nantes

13 of 15 in Ligue 1

L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

2.7/10

Nantes Form Analysis

Trending

Nantes enters this match in dire straits, sitting 16th with just 14 points from 20...

Nantes enters this match in dire straits, sitting 16th with just 14 points from 20 games and facing serious relegation concerns. Their recent form has been catastrophic, managing only one win in their last 15 league matches. The 2-1 defeat to Lorient last weekend epitomized their struggles, conceding late after taking the lead. Defensively, they've been porous, shipping 36 goals this season - the third-worst record in Ligue 1. Key injury concerns include F. Guilbert lacking match fitness and D. Machado questionable with injury. Their home record offers little comfort, with just one win in their last seven at Stade de la Beaujoire. Moses Simon remains their main creative threat, but lacks consistent support.

Lyon

8 of 15 in Ligue 1

W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
D

Form Rating

9/10

Lyon Form Analysis

Analysis

Lyon arrives in exceptional form, winning five consecutive matches across all competitions and sitting comfortably...

Lyon arrives in exceptional form, winning five consecutive matches across all competitions and sitting comfortably in 4th place with Champions League qualification within reach. Their recent 1-0 victory over Lille demonstrated their defensive solidity, while the 5-2 thrashing of Metz showcased their attacking firepower. Alexandre Lacazette leads their front line with clinical finishing, supported by the pace and creativity of Malick Fofana. However, they face several injury concerns with M. Fofana, O. Mangala, E. Nuamah, and N. Tagliafico all ruled out, while R. Ghezzal and C. Tolisso remain questionable. Despite these absences, their squad depth and tactical flexibility under Pierre Sage have been impressive. Their away form has been solid with four wins in their last six road trips.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Nantes3-5-1215.0%
Lyon12-3-560.0%
Goals Scored
Nantes19
Lyon33
Goals Conceded
Nantes36
Lyon20

shieldNantes2

  • D. Machado profile photo

    D. Machado

    Injury
    Questionable
  • F. Guilbert profile photo

    F. Guilbert

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Out
D. MachadoNantes
F. GuilbertNantes

shieldLyon6

  • C. Tolisso profile photo

    C. Tolisso

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • N. Tagliafico profile photo

    N. Tagliafico

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • R. Ghezzal profile photo

    R. Ghezzal

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • O. Mangala profile photo

    O. Mangala

    Injury
    Out
  • E. Nuamah profile photo

    E. Nuamah

    Knee Injury
    Out
C. TolissoLyon
N. TagliaficoLyon
R. GhezzalLyon
O. MangalaLyon
E. NuamahLyon
M. FofanaLyon

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Nantes-17
Lyon+13

Nantes vs Lyon - Match Analysis

Why is Lyon so heavily favored against Nantes in this match?

Lyon's overwhelming favoritism stems from their perfect recent form (five straight wins) compared to Nantes' relegation battle. The visitors sit 4th with Champions League ambitions, while Nantes languish in 16th place with just 14 points. Lyon's superior goal difference (+13 vs -17), attacking quality, and recent 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture highlight the massive quality gap between these sides.

What alternative bets should I consider for Nantes vs Lyon?

Consider Lyon -1 Asian Handicap for enhanced value, as their recent dominance suggests they'll win comfortably. Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent prospects given Lyon's attacking firepower and Nantes' defensive vulnerabilities (36 goals conceded). Both Teams to Score 'No' could also provide value, as Nantes have struggled to find the net consistently while Lyon have tightened defensively.

How critical is this match for both teams' season objectives?

This fixture carries enormous stakes for both sides but in opposite directions. Lyon desperately need points to maintain their Champions League qualification push, sitting just behind the top three. For Nantes, every point is crucial in their relegation battle, as they're only two points above the automatic relegation zone. However, Lyon's superior quality and form make them overwhelming favorites to secure the vital three points.

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