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Monaco
Monaco10th in Ligue 1 (8-4-9)
VS
Nantes
Nantes17th in Ligue 1 (3-5-13)

Monaco vs Nantes

Friday, Feb 13, 2026 · --:--

Stade Louis II

Final
Monaco
3–1
Nantes

Monaco won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Monaco vs Nantes prediction highlights a stark contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions in this Ligue 1 preview. Monaco sits 10th with 27 points but has shown resilience at home, while relegation-threatened Nantes languishes in 16th place with just 14 points. The recent head-to-head encounter in October saw Monaco demolish Nantes 5-3 at the Beaujoire, showcasing their attacking prowess. Monaco's home form provides optimism despite their inconsistent away displays, while Nantes' woeful defensive record (36 goals conceded) makes them vulnerable. With multiple key injuries plaguing Monaco including Pogba and Ansu Fati, their squad depth will be tested. However, Nantes' desperate form - losing four of their last five league matches - suggests they lack the quality to exploit Monaco's weaknesses. Our expert picks favor the home side to capitalize on their superior league position and home advantage, making this an attractive opportunity for football tips today.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Monaco (4)Draws (5)Nantes (1)
Oct 29, 25
(H)Nantes3 - 5Monaco(A)
A
Feb 15, 25
(H)Monaco7 - 1Nantes(A)
H
Jan 10, 25
(H)Nantes2 - 2Monaco(A)
D
May 19, 24
(H)Monaco4 - 0Nantes(A)
H
Aug 25, 23
(H)Nantes3 - 3Monaco(A)
D
Apr 9, 23
(H)Nantes2 - 2Monaco(A)
D
Oct 2, 22
(H)Monaco4 - 1Nantes(A)
H
Mar 2, 22
(H)Nantes2 - 2Monaco(A)
H
Jan 9, 22
(H)Nantes0 - 0Monaco(A)
D
Aug 6, 21
(H)Monaco1 - 1Nantes(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters heavily favor Monaco, who thrashed Nantes 5-3 in their October meeting at Nantes. The reverse fixture in February...

Recent encounters heavily favor Monaco, who thrashed Nantes 5-3 in their October meeting at Nantes. The reverse fixture in February 2025 saw Monaco dominate 7-1 at home, demonstrating their superiority in this matchup. Over their last four meetings since 2024, Monaco has won twice with two draws, consistently outscoring Nantes. The attacking nature of these encounters suggests goals are likely, with both teams finding the net regularly despite Monaco's clear dominance.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted

Monaco

8 of 15 in Ligue 1

D
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
D

Form Rating

4.7/10

Monaco Form Analysis

Trending

Monaco's recent form shows concerning inconsistency, managing just one win in their last five league...

Monaco's recent form shows concerning inconsistency, managing just one win in their last five league matches. Their 4-0 victory over Rennes provided a rare bright spot, but defeats to Lorient and Lyon highlight defensive vulnerabilities. The injury crisis is severe, with nine key players sidelined including Paul Pogba (calf), Ansu Fati (muscle), and Mohammed Salisu (knee). However, their home record offers hope - they've been more competitive at Stade Louis II this season. The upcoming Champions League clash with PSG adds fixture congestion concerns, but eight days' rest should help manage fatigue. Wissam Ben Yedder remains their key attacking threat when fit.

Nantes

13 of 15 in Ligue 1

L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
W

Form Rating

2.7/10

Nantes Form Analysis

Analysis

Nantes enters this fixture in dire straits, having lost four of their last five league...

Nantes enters this fixture in dire straits, having lost four of their last five league matches including a humiliating 4-1 defeat to Nice at home. Their defensive frailties are alarming - conceding 36 goals in 20 matches represents the worst record among non-relegated teams. The 2-1 loss to Lorient continued their away struggles, where they've managed just two wins all season. Key injuries to Douglas Machado and Frederic Guilbert weaken their already fragile backline. Their only recent positive was the shock 2-0 victory over Marseille in January, but this appears an anomaly rather than a turning point. Moses Simon remains their primary creative outlet.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Monaco8-4-938.1%
Nantes3-5-1314.3%
Goals Scored
Monaco32
Nantes19
Goals Conceded
Monaco33
Nantes37

shieldMonaco9

  • E. Dier profile photo

    E. Dier

    Injury
    Out
  • P. Pogba profile photo

    P. Pogba

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • L. Hradecky profile photo

    L. Hradecky

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • T. Minamino profile photo

    T. Minamino

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • M. Salisu profile photo

    M. Salisu

    Knee Injury
    Out
E. DierMonaco
P. PogbaMonaco
L. HradeckyMonaco
T. MinaminoMonaco
M. SalisuMonaco
A. FatiMonaco
K. OuattaraMonaco
C. MawissaMonaco
P. CabralMonaco

Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries

shieldNantes1

  • F. Guilbert profile photo

    F. Guilbert

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Out
F. GuilbertNantes

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Monaco-1
Nantes-18

Monaco vs Nantes - Match Analysis

Why is Monaco strongly favored despite their inconsistent recent form?

Monaco's home advantage at Stade Louis II, combined with their superior league position (10th vs 16th) and recent 5-3 victory over Nantes, creates clear favoritism. Despite injury concerns, their 27 points compared to Nantes' relegation-zone 14 points reflects a significant quality gap that should manifest at home.

What alternative bets should I consider for Monaco vs Nantes?

Both Teams to Score offers excellent value given Monaco's defensive injuries and Nantes' ability to score despite poor form. Over 2.5 Goals suits both teams' defensive weaknesses, while Monaco Draw No Bet provides insurance against their inconsistency while maintaining upside from home advantage.

How do Monaco's injury problems affect this prediction?

While nine key injuries including Pogba and Ansu Fati weaken Monaco significantly, Nantes' relegation form and defensive frailties (36 goals conceded) suggest they lack the quality to exploit these absences. Monaco's remaining squad should still possess enough quality to handle struggling Nantes at home.

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