Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Lyon55%vs 47%+8%
- Draw25%vs 27%-2%
- Lille20%vs 27%-7%
Analysis
Our AI model heavily favors Lyon based on multiple factors converging in their favor. The probability analysis shows Lyon's home dominance as the decisive factor, with their seven wins from nine home matches creating a fortress-like atmosphere. Both teams' high fatigue risk from European commitments levels the playing field regarding rest, but Lyon's superior squad depth provides an advantage. The injury list favors neither side, though Lille's loss of striker Igamane proves more damaging than Lyon's midfield absences. Lyon's recent head-to-head superiority and current league position four points ahead reinforces the model's confidence in a home victory.






















