Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Lens55%vs 54%
- Draw25%vs 25%
- Rennes20%vs 22%-2%
Analysis
Our AI model strongly favors Lens based on superior home form and Rennes' recent struggles. Probability analysis shows Lens' home advantage is significant, having won seven of eight recent matches at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Rennes' fixture congestion and injury concerns to key midfielders weaken their chances considerably. The head-to-head pattern suggests a tight contest, but current form trends heavily favor the hosts. Lens' defensive solidity at home, combined with Rennes' away inconsistency, creates a clear value opportunity for the home victory.











