Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Lens65%vs 68%-3%
- Draw20%vs 19%
- Le Havre15%vs 13%+2%
Analysis
Our AI model strongly favors Lens based on comprehensive probability analysis of current form, home advantage, and head-to-head superiority. The 25-point gap between these teams reflects genuine quality differences, with Lens averaging 1.74 points per game compared to Le Havre's 1.05. Home fortress statistics show Lens conceding just 0.44 goals per game at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, while Le Havre's away defensive record is concerning. Expected value calculations indicate significant value in backing the hosts, despite their recent Marseille setback showing they remain vulnerable to quality opposition.























