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Le Havre
Le Havre13th in Ligue 1 (6-8-9)
VS
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain1st in Ligue 1 (17-3-3)

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 · --:--

Stade Océane

Final
Le Havre
0–1
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction sees the league leaders as overwhelming favorites at Stade Océane. This Ligue 1 preview highlights PSG's dominance with 54 points from 23 games, sitting 28 points clear of 13th-placed Le Havre. The champions have won 17 of 23 matches, averaging 2.26 goals per game while conceding just 0.83. Le Havre's struggles continue with only six wins all season and a concerning -9 goal difference. PSG's recent 3-0 victory over Metz showcased their attacking prowess despite missing Ousmane Dembélé through injury. Le Havre showed resilience with consecutive home wins over Toulouse and Strasbourg but face their toughest test. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors PSG at 73.8% probability, reflecting the massive quality gap. Our expert picks align with this assessment, making PSG excellent football tips today despite the short odds.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Le Havre6-8-926.1%
Paris Saint Germain17-3-373.9%
Goals Scored
Le Havre20
Paris Saint Germain52
Goals Conceded
Le Havre29
Paris Saint Germain19
Goal Difference
Le Havre-9
Paris Saint Germain+33

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain - Match Analysis

Why is Paris Saint Germain so heavily favored against Le Havre?

PSG sits 28 points clear of Le Havre in the table with a vastly superior goal difference (+33 vs -9). The champions average 2.26 goals per game compared to Le Havre's 0.87, while their defensive record is also significantly better. Recent head-to-head meetings show PSG winning 4-1 and 3-0, demonstrating the massive quality gap between these sides. The 73.8% bookmaker probability reflects this reality.

What alternative bets should I consider for Le Havre vs PSG?

Focus on goals markets rather than the match result. 'Over 2.5 Goals' offers value given PSG's attacking prowess and the teams' combined 3.13 goals per game average. 'PSG -1 Asian Handicap' provides better odds than the straight win while covering comfortable victories. For those seeking insurance, 'Le Havre +2.5 Asian Handicap' could provide protection against a heavy defeat, though recent meetings suggest even this carries risk.

How might Le Havre's recent home form affect this prediction?

Le Havre's back-to-back home wins over Toulouse and Strasbourg show improved defensive organization at Stade Océane, conceding just 11 goals in 12 home games. However, facing PSG represents a completely different challenge than mid-table opposition. While their home form provides some confidence, the quality gap remains enormous. PSG's away record includes seven wins from 12 games, showing they travel well despite occasional slip-ups.

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Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Le Havre (0)Draws (1)Paris Saint Germain (6)
Nov 22, 25
(H)Paris Saint Germain3 - 0Le Havre(A)
H
Apr 19, 25
(H)Paris Saint Germain2 - 1Le Havre(A)
H
Aug 16, 24
(H)Le Havre1 - 4Paris Saint Germain(A)
A
Apr 27, 24
(H)Paris Saint Germain3 - 3Le Havre(A)
D
Dec 3, 23
(H)Le Havre0 - 2Paris Saint Germain(A)
A
Jul 21, 23
(H)Paris Saint Germain2 - 0Le Havre(A)
H
Jul 12, 20
(H)Le Havre0 - 9Paris Saint Germain(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

PSG completely dominates this fixture with four wins from their last four competitive meetings since 2024. The reverse fixture in...

PSG completely dominates this fixture with four wins from their last four competitive meetings since 2024. The reverse fixture in November saw PSG cruise to a 3-0 victory at Parc des Princes. Earlier this season, PSG won 4-1 at Stade Océane in the season opener. The 2024 encounters produced 12 goals in PSG's favor across two matches, underlining their superiority. Le Havre's only positive result was a 3-3 draw in 2024, but that remains an outlier in this lopsided head-to-head record.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted

Le Havre

14 of 15 in Ligue 1

L
W
W
L
D
D
W
L
L
D
L
L
D
D
W

Form Rating

4.3/10

Le Havre Form Analysis

Trending

Le Havre's recent form shows glimpses of improvement with back-to-back home victories over Toulouse (2-1)...

Le Havre's recent form shows glimpses of improvement with back-to-back home victories over Toulouse (2-1) and Strasbourg (2-1). However, their overall record remains concerning with just six wins from 23 league matches. At home, they've managed five wins from 12 games, scoring 15 goals while conceding 11 - a respectable defensive record at Stade Océane. Their 0.87 goals per game average highlights persistent attacking struggles. Key injuries to A. Sangante (suspended), A. Seko (ribs), and A. Touré (knee) weaken their squad depth. The positive is their recent defensive solidity at home, keeping clean sheets in wins over quality opposition. André Ayew remains their main attacking threat.

Paris Saint Germain

7 of 15 in Ligue 1

D
W
W
L
W
W
D
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

Paris Saint Germain Form Analysis

Analysis

PSG arrives in excellent form despite a recent 3-1 loss at Rennes, which was their...

PSG arrives in excellent form despite a recent 3-1 loss at Rennes, which was their first league defeat since early season. They've won 17 of 23 matches, including seven away victories from 12 road games. Their 2.26 goals per game and 0.83 conceded demonstrates their attacking dominance and defensive stability. The 3-0 win over Metz showcased their depth even without key players. Ousmane Dembélé's calf injury is their main concern, but Kylian Mbappé and Bradley Barcola provide ample firepower. Their away record shows occasional vulnerability with three defeats, but the quality gap here is enormous. Fabián Ruiz's knee injury also sidelines a key midfielder, though their squad depth remains impressive.

shieldLe Havre6

  • A. Toure profile photo

    A. Toure

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Seko profile photo

    A. Seko

    Ribs Injury
    Out
  • E. Youte Kinkoue profile photo

    E. Youte Kinkoue

    Health problems
    Out
  • A. Sangante profile photo

    A. Sangante

    Red Card
    Out
  • G. Zohouri profile photo

    G. Zohouri

    Injury
    Out
A. ToureLe Havre
A. SekoLe Havre
E. Youte KinkoueLe Havre
A. SanganteLe Havre
G. ZohouriLe Havre
S. ZagadouLe Havre

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldParis Saint Germain4

  • O. Dembele profile photo

    O. Dembele

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • F. Ruiz profile photo

    F. Ruiz

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • S. Mayulu profile photo

    S. Mayulu

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • Q. Ndjantou profile photo

    Q. Ndjantou

    Muscle Injury
    Out
O. DembeleParis Saint Germain
F. RuizParis Saint Germain
S. MayuluParis Saint Germain
Q. NdjantouParis Saint Germain

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.