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Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
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AI Predicted Winner
Stade Brestois 29
39%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Auxerre | Draw | Stade Brestois 29✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Marathonbet | |||
Betano | |||
| Best Odds |
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Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction: this Ligue 1 clash pits a struggling home side against a Brest team unbeaten in their last three league outings. Auxerre have lost three straight, shipping 11 goals in that span, including a 3-1 defeat to Lens and a 3-1 loss to Angers, leaving them 13th with a goal difference of -6.
Brest sit seventh, unbeaten across their opening three league matches with two draws and a win, and they arrive with genuine momentum after edging Le Havre 2-1. Their defense has been shakier away from home in the past, but they've scored in every match this season.
Auxerre's defensive injury list is a major concern, with five players sidelined including two experienced center-backs, which explains why they've conceded so freely. That backline fragility against a Brest side averaging two goals per game is the story of this fixture.
Expect goals at both ends given the combined scoring rate near 3.3 per game, but Brest's superior form and away-day composure should be enough to edge this. The bookmaker consensus favors Brest, and the underlying data — points per game, goal difference, and injury context — supports that lean, though Auxerre's home comforts keep the draw firmly alive.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met four times since 2022, with Auxerre winning twice, Brest once, and one draw. The most recent...
These sides have met four times since 2022, with Auxerre winning twice, Brest once, and one draw. The most recent meeting in March 2026 saw Auxerre win 3-0 at home, but Brest claimed a 2-0 away win back in January. The head-to-head record is fairly balanced recently, with home advantage playing a noticeable role — both home wins in the last four meetings were decisive, suggesting whoever controls tempo at home has an edge.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
8 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
5.3/10
Auxerre have lost three consecutive league matches, conceding 11 goals in that stretch while managing...
Auxerre have lost three consecutive league matches, conceding 11 goals in that stretch while managing just four of their own. Their solitary win in the sample came against Nice at home, but the defensive record — 3.67 goals conceded per game — points to a side there for the taking. Five injuries, including two defenders in Okoh and Senaya, have gutted their backline options. Winger and forward depth remain, but without settled defensive partnerships, Auxerre have struggled to keep any clean sheets this season. Confidence looks low, and home advantage alone may not be enough to arrest the slide against a well-organized away side.
9 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4/10
Brest are unbeaten in three league games, drawing twice and winning once, with a plus-one...
Brest are unbeaten in three league games, drawing twice and winning once, with a plus-one goal difference showing balance at both ends. Their 2-1 win over Le Havre suggests a team capable of grinding out results even without full firepower. Four injuries are notable, including defensive absences, but Brest's away form — one win and one draw from two trips — has been solid. Averaging two goals scored per game, they carry a real attacking threat on the road. Their disciplined approach and steady points return make them the form side heading into this fixture, even amid squad disruptions.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 - Match Analysis
Yes — Auxerre have home advantage and a recent 3-0 win over Brest in their last meeting, showing they can raise their level at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. Brest's away form, while solid, hasn't yet been tested against a desperate home side fighting to end a losing run. If Auxerre tighten up defensively despite injuries, an upset remains plausible given the tight market odds.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' defensive issues and attacking output, with a combined scoring rate of 3.33 goals per game this season. Draw No Bet: Stade Brestois 29 is another sound alternative, backing their form edge while insuring against a stalemate. Both markets offer better value than a straight moneyline bet given the tightness of this contest.
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