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Estadio Eva Peron
Sarmiento Junin won
This Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan prediction centers on a tight Liga Profesional Argentina clash at Estadio Eva Peron, where the home side sit 11th and Huracan occupy 7th with a four-place gap between them.
Sarmiento arrive off back-to-back league wins over Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia, showing they can score against mid-table opposition, but their season includes 11 losses in 20 games and a leaky defense conceding 1.4 goals per game. Home form is their saving grace with six wins from ten at Estadio Eva Peron.
Huracan's away record is built on resilience rather than firepower, drawing six of twelve road trips while conceding under a goal per game on average. Their balanced form, eight wins and eight draws in 22 matches, reflects a side that rarely loses control of games.
Bookmakers make Huracan narrow favorites at 35.7% against Sarmiento's 30.2%, with the draw close behind at 34.1%. Given the tight points-per-game gap and Huracan's superior defensive record, a low-scoring, competitive match looks likely. The draw carries genuine weight here given how evenly matched both sides are on paper, but Huracan's road consistency and better underlying numbers edge this prediction their way in a tight affair.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two recent meetings between these sides both went to Huracan, including a 3-1 away win in October 2024 and...
The two recent meetings between these sides both went to Huracan, including a 3-1 away win in October 2024 and a narrow 1-0 victory in February 2026, also played away from home. That continues a longer pattern where Huracan have dominated this fixture, winning comfortably on the road in previous encounters too. Sarmiento have struggled to find any h2h success recently, with a solitary scoreless draw back in 2021 standing as their best recent result against this opponent.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLiga Profesional Argentina matches highlighted
13 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina
Form Rating
5/10
Sarmiento Junin have won two straight, beating Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia, but those victories...
Sarmiento Junin have won two straight, beating Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia, but those victories mask a rocky campaign with 11 defeats in 20 games. Their home form is genuinely strong, though, with six wins from ten at Estadio Eva Peron and 19 points overall in the standings. Defensively they're vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per game and keeping just five clean sheets all season. No specific injury concerns are noted in the available data. Their attacking output relies on efficient finishing rather than dominance, averaging just over a goal per game while needing to control matches from the front given their leaky backline.
13 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina
Form Rating
5.7/10
Huracan's form reads WDLW-D across recent matches, including a routine 2-0 win over San Lorenzo...
Huracan's form reads WDLW-D across recent matches, including a routine 2-0 win over San Lorenzo and a goalless draw with Atletico Tucuman. Their away form is defined by consistency rather than spectacle, six draws in twelve road games, but crucially just three defeats. Defensively they're the standout in this matchup, conceding only 0.82 goals per game with ten clean sheets from 22 matches. No major injury issues are flagged in the data. Huracan's discipline and low-scoring approach on the road make them tough to break down, and their points-per-game of 1.45 comfortably outstrips Sarmiento's 1.19.
2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Moderate
Moderate
Even
Low
Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan - Match Analysis
Huracan hold a points-per-game edge (1.45 vs 1.19) and a much stronger defensive record, but Sarmiento's excellent home form (six wins from ten at Estadio Eva Peron) closes the gap significantly. The bookmakers reflect this tightness with Huracan at just 35.7% compared to Sarmiento's 30.2%, and a draw close behind at 34.1%. This is far from a one-sided matchup on paper.
Under 2.5 Goals looks appealing given the combined goals per game sits at just 2.14 and Huracan's defense concedes under a goal per game on average. Draw No Bet: Huracan is also worth considering for bettors who like Huracan's underlying edge but want protection against the draw, which carries real weight at 34.1% implied probability in this matchup.
Sarmiento's two straight wins provide momentum, but their season-long record of 11 losses in 20 games and shaky defense tempers optimism. Huracan's unbeaten stretch in recent matches, including a comfortable win over San Lorenzo, reflects a more stable side overall. Their ability to draw frequently on the road (six of twelve away games) suggests they rarely collapse, which supports backing them narrowly here.
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