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Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Newells Old Boys won
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra prediction: this Liga Profesional Argentina clash at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa pits two struggling sides near the bottom of the table against each other. Newells sit 14th with 15 points from 20 games, while Riestra are just below in 15th with 11 points, though the gap in quality is narrow.
Newells have been erratic, with just four wins all season and a defense conceding 1.6 goals per game. Their recent home form shows two wins, five draws and three losses, hinting at a team that rarely loses at home but also struggles to close out matches convincingly.
Riestra bring the division's tightest defense, conceding only 0.75 goals per game with eight clean sheets in 20 outings, though they've managed just three wins and continue to misfire in front of goal. Their away record is winless this season, a significant concern heading into Rosario.
Bookmakers install Newells as favorites at 39.9%, with the draw close behind at 33.3% and Riestra the outsider at 26.9%. Given both teams' tendency to draw over a third of their matches and a modest combined scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game, this looks set to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Expect Newells to nose ahead at home, but Riestra's defensive resilience makes an upset or stalemate a real possibility.
Last 3 head-to-head matchups
The two sides met earlier this year in February 2026, sharing the points in a 1-1 draw. Going back to...
The two sides met earlier this year in February 2026, sharing the points in a 1-1 draw. Going back to September 2024, another meeting in the league also finished level at 3-3, showing a pattern of high draw frequency between these clubs. A 2024 Copa Argentina tie saw Riestra's home side edge a narrow 1-0 win. Across these recent meetings, draws have been the most common outcome, reinforcing the market's respect for a stalemate here.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLiga Profesional Argentina matches highlighted
14 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina
Form Rating
4.3/10
Newells have won just once in their last five league matches, drawing twice and losing...
Newells have won just once in their last five league matches, drawing twice and losing twice, including a damaging 1-2 defeat away to Defensa y Justicia. Their attack has flattered to deceive, scoring under one goal per game on average, and they've failed to score in seven of 20 matches this season. Defensively they remain fragile, shipping 32 goals in 20 games. At home, though, they've lost just three of ten, built on five draws that suggest resilience without conviction. Keeping games tight will be key, and their finishing in the final third needs to sharpen against a well-organized Riestra backline.
8 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina
Form Rating
4.3/10
Riestra arrive having won one and lost one of their last two league games, sandwiched...
Riestra arrive having won one and lost one of their last two league games, sandwiched around a Copa Argentina draw, continuing a pattern of tight, low-scoring results all season. Their standout trait is defensive solidity — eight clean sheets and just 0.75 goals conceded per game, best in the relegation zone. However, they've won zero of nine away matches this season, a serious red flag against a home side desperate for points. Goals remain a problem too, with only 11 scored in 20 games. Their away form suggests they'll set up cautiously, prioritizing a point over a win in Rosario.
2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
Low
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra - Match Analysis
Both teams have drawn frequently this season — Newells 35% of games, Riestra 40% — and their last two head-to-head meetings both ended level. Combined with modest scoring output from both sides (1.5 combined goals per game projected), the match profile strongly supports a cagey, low-scoring result. Bookmakers price the draw at 33.3%, only narrowly behind Newells as favorites, reflecting this balance.
Despite home advantage, Newells have won only two of ten home games this season, relying heavily on draws for points. Riestra's defense is the division's stingiest, conceding just 0.75 goals per game with eight clean sheets. That combination of Newells' inconsistent finishing and Riestra's defensive discipline makes a routine home win far from guaranteed, even against a side without an away win all season.
Under 2.5 Goals looks appealing given both teams' low scoring rates and Riestra's defensive record. Draw No Bet: Newells Old Boys is another sensible option, hedging against the high draw probability while still backing the home side's slight edge. Both markets suit the tactical, low-event nature this matchup is likely to produce.
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