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Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys14th in Liga Profesional Argentina (3-6-7)
VS
Banfield
Banfield12th in Liga Profesional Argentina (5-3-8)

Newells Old Boys vs Banfield

Sunday, Aug 23, 2026 · --:--

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

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AI Confidence: 42%
Newells Old Boys42%Draw 30%Banfield28%

AI Predicted Winner

Newells Old Boys

42%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

This Newells Old Boys vs Banfield prediction centers on two mid-table Argentine sides both scrapping to escape the lower half of the Liga Profesional Argentina table. Newells sit 14th with just 15 points from 21 games, while Banfield are two places and three points better off in 12th.

Newells arrive off a confidence-boosting 2-0 home win over Deportivo Riestra but remain wildly inconsistent, having lost, drawn, or won with no discernible pattern across their last five outings. Their home record of three wins, five draws, and three losses shows they're hard to beat at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa but rarely dominant.

Banfield beat Racing Club 1-0 away in their last outing, showing resilience despite conceding fewer goals per game than their hosts. Their away form is a concern, though, with just two wins in eleven road trips this season.

Both teams have identical goals-scored rates (1.0 per game), and combined scoring sits at exactly 2.0 goals per match, pointing toward a tight, low-scoring affair. Bookmakers slightly favor Newells at home, but with the draw priced at 30.3%, this looks like a genuine coin-flip. Expect a cagey, low-event match where the home side's slight edge in home form just about tips the balance, though a draw remains a live outcome given how evenly matched these two are on paper.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

Low

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Newells Old Boys5-7-923.8%
Banfield7-4-1033.3%
Goals Scored
Newells Old Boys21
Banfield21
Goals Conceded
Newells Old Boys32
Banfield24
Goal Difference
Newells Old Boys-11
Banfield-3
check_circle

No reported injuries or suspensions for either team

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Newells Old Boys (3)Draws (3)Banfield (4)
Feb 21, 26
(H)Banfield3 - 0Newells Old Boys(A)
H
Jul 20, 25
(H)Newells Old Boys1 - 2Banfield(A)
A
Jan 27, 25
(H)Banfield3 - 0Newells Old Boys(A)
H
Jun 4, 24
(H)Banfield2 - 0Newells Old Boys(A)
H
Feb 19, 23
(H)Newells Old Boys2 - 0Banfield(A)
H
Jun 4, 22
(H)Banfield1 - 2Newells Old Boys(A)
A
Apr 20, 22
(H)Newells Old Boys1 - 0Banfield(A)
H
Dec 7, 21
(H)Newells Old Boys0 - 0Banfield(A)
D
Apr 19, 20
(H)Banfield - Newells Old Boys(A)
D
Oct 4, 19
(H)Newells Old Boys0 - 0Banfield(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Banfield have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since 2025, including a 3-0 away win...

Banfield have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since 2025, including a 3-0 away win in February 2026 and a 2-1 victory in July 2025. Newells haven't beaten Banfield in any of their last three encounters. This recent trend runs contrary to the current market pricing, which favors Newells at home — a pattern worth noting given Banfield's psychological edge in this specific matchup.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLiga Profesional Argentina matches highlighted

Newells Old Boys

14 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina

W
L
D
L
W
D
D
W
D
W
L
W
L
D
L

Form Rating

5/10

Newells Old Boys Form Analysis

Trending

Newells sit 14th with only 15 points from 21 games, conceding 32 goals — a...

Newells sit 14th with only 15 points from 21 games, conceding 32 goals — a defensive record that undermines any hope of consistency. Their recent form swings wildly: a 2-0 win over Riestra was followed by a narrow home draw against Boca and a road loss to Independiente. Home form is their saving grace, unbeaten in enough matches to suggest resilience at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, though clean sheets remain rare (only four all season). Their attack has struggled to find fluency, managing just one goal per game on average. Newells will need a much sharper defensive display than their season average to contain Banfield's counters.

Banfield

13 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina

W
L
D
W
L
W
W
D
D
L
L
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

5/10

Banfield Form Analysis

Analysis

Banfield sit 12th with 18 points, a marginally better points-per-game than their hosts. Their away...

Banfield sit 12th with 18 points, a marginally better points-per-game than their hosts. Their away form is inconsistent — just two wins in eleven road matches — but they arrive fresh off a professional 1-0 win at Racing Club. Defensively they've been tighter than Newells, conceding 24 goals compared to 32, and boast six clean sheets this season. Their attack mirrors the hosts at exactly one goal per game, so they're unlikely to be prolific, but their recent head-to-head dominance over Newells offers real encouragement heading into this trip.

Newells Old Boys vs Banfield - Match Analysis

Why isn't Newells Old Boys a stronger favorite despite home advantage?

Newells sit 14th with a shaky defensive record, conceding 32 goals in 21 games, and their form has been erratic all season. Banfield, despite sitting only two places higher, boast a tighter defense and have beaten Newells in three of the last four meetings. This head-to-head trend and Banfield's superior points-per-game explain why the market only gives Newells a 41.7% chance despite playing at home.

What alternative bets should I consider for Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

Given both teams average just 1.0 goals scored per game, Under 2.5 Goals looks like a smart bet with solid expected value. Draw No Bet: Newells Old Boys is also worth considering as a hedge, protecting against the sizable 30.3% draw probability while still backing the slight home favorite to eventually get the win.

How does recent head-to-head form affect this prediction?

Banfield have won three of the last four meetings against Newells since 2025, including two convincing away victories. This recent dominance tempers confidence in Newells despite their home advantage and slightly better market odds. It's a key reason the draw probability sits so high at 30.3%, reflecting genuine uncertainty about which side's current form will prevail.

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