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Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia M. won
This all-Gimnasia derby sees Gimnasia L.P. host Gimnasia M. at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, with the home side sitting fifth in the standings against their visitors down in eleventh. Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. prediction models lean toward the hosts, who carry a +0.43 points-per-game advantage and a stronger home record of six wins from ten this season.
Gimnasia L.P. arrive off a mixed run, having lost heavily to Estudiantes L.P. in their last league outing but showing real quality earlier in August with wins over Barracas Central and Aldosivi. Their home form (six wins, one draw, three losses) is the backbone of their case here.
Gimnasia M. have been solid on the road relative to expectations but remain inconsistent, with just one win in ten away fixtures this season. They did beat Talleres Cordoba 3-1 in their last match, showing they can score against mid-table sides, but their away record raises real doubts about performing at Zerillo.
With both sides averaging just over two combined goals per game and the home side's superior underlying numbers, Gimnasia L.P. are the deserved favorites. Expect a competitive but home-leaning affair, with the hosts' superior home record and recent attacking output tipping the balance in their favor for this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture.
Last 1 head-to-head matchups
The two Gimnasia sides met once in the last two years, back in February 2026, when Gimnasia M. edged a...
The two Gimnasia sides met once in the last two years, back in February 2026, when Gimnasia M. edged a 1-0 home win. That single data point offers limited insight given the reversed venue this time. With no extended head-to-head sample available, this derby prediction leans far more heavily on current league form and home/away splits than historical patterns between these two clubs.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLiga Profesional Argentina matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina
Form Rating
7/10
Gimnasia L.P. sit sixth with 26 points from 23 games, boasting a healthy 1.65 points-per-game...
Gimnasia L.P. sit sixth with 26 points from 23 games, boasting a healthy 1.65 points-per-game rate. Their recent form is streaky — a heavy 4-0 loss to Estudiantes L.P. was followed by confidence-building wins over Barracas Central and Aldosivi. Their home record this season stands at six wins, one draw, and three losses from ten games, scoring freely with 1.13 goals per game overall. Defensively they've conceded 28 in 23 matches, keeping eight clean sheets. The medium fatigue rating after a midweek Copa Argentina draw with Deportivo Riestra is a minor concern, but three days' rest should be sufficient heading into this derby.
14 of 15 in Liga Profesional Argentina
Form Rating
5/10
Gimnasia M. are eleventh with 19 points from 21 games and a modest 1.19 points-per-game...
Gimnasia M. are eleventh with 19 points from 21 games and a modest 1.19 points-per-game average. Their away form is the standout weakness — just one win, three draws, and six losses in ten road matches, with only 0.95 goals scored per game overall. They ended a rough patch with a 3-1 win over Talleres Cordoba last time out, offering some momentum. Still, a -8 goal difference and inconsistent away output make this a tough away trip. With four days' rest and low fixture congestion, fatigue shouldn't be a factor, but their road struggles remain the biggest red flag against a in-form home side.
2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
Low
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. - Match Analysis
Gimnasia L.P. hold a clear edge in points-per-game (1.65 vs 1.33) and sit five places higher in the table. Their home record of six wins from ten this season contrasts sharply with Gimnasia M.'s struggles on the road, where they've won just once in ten away matches. Combined with a slightly better attacking output, these factors make Gimnasia L.P. the deserved favorites for this fixture.
Draw No Bet: Gimnasia L.P. is a strong alternative, protecting against a draw while still backing the stronger side. Under 2.5 Goals also appeals given both teams' moderate scoring rates and combined goals per game just above 2.0. These alternative markets offer better risk management than the straight moneyline while still reflecting the match's likely flow.
Gimnasia M.'s away record is arguably the most important factor here — just one win, three draws, and six losses in ten road games this season. That poor travel form, combined with a -8 goal difference overall, significantly reduces their chances of an upset at Zerillo, even though they enter on the back of a confidence-boosting 3-1 win at home over Talleres Cordoba.
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