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Sevilla
Sevilla14th in La Liga (7-4-12)
VS
Alaves
Alaves15th in La Liga (7-4-12)

Sevilla vs Alaves

Saturday, Feb 14, 2026 · --:--

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Final
Sevilla
1–1
Alaves

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Sevilla vs Alaves prediction centers on a crucial La Liga preview featuring two teams desperate for points in their fight against relegation. Sevilla sits 14th with 25 points, while Alaves occupies 15th with an identical tally, making this a six-pointer at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Both sides have endured inconsistent campaigns, but recent form suggests a tight encounter. Sevilla's home advantage could prove decisive, having won two of their last five at home including victories over Athletic Club and Osasuna. However, Alaves arrives with confidence after beating Real Betis and Espanyol in recent weeks. Key injuries plague both squads - Sevilla miss Marcao, Januzaj, and Vargas, while Alaves are without Koski and Protesoni. The head-to-head record favors neither side significantly, with recent meetings producing entertaining affairs. Our expert picks lean toward a narrow home victory, though this represents excellent value for football tips today given the competitive nature of this relegation battle.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Sevilla7-4-1230.4%
Alaves7-4-1230.4%
Goals Scored
Sevilla30
Alaves20
Goals Conceded
Sevilla38
Alaves29
Goal Difference
Sevilla-8
Alaves-9

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Sevilla vs Alaves - Match Analysis

Why is Sevilla favored despite both teams having identical points?

Sevilla's home advantage at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán proves decisive in our analysis. They've won two of their last three home matches, including victories over Athletic Club and Osasuna, while Alaves have managed just two away wins all season. The historical pattern also shows Sevilla performing better in direct confrontations at home, making them slight favorites despite the identical league positions.

What alternative bets should I consider for Sevilla vs Alaves?

Both Teams to Score offers excellent value given both sides' defensive vulnerabilities and attacking capabilities. Over 2.5 Goals also appeals, considering their head-to-head history of entertaining encounters and both teams' desperate need for points. Draw No Bet on Sevilla provides a safer option, protecting against the stalemate while capitalizing on home advantage in this crucial relegation battle.

What are the stakes of this game for both teams?

This represents a genuine six-pointer in the relegation battle, with both teams sitting on 25 points in 14th and 15th positions respectively. Victory could provide crucial breathing space from the drop zone, while defeat would increase pressure significantly. With teams like Valencia and Rayo Vallecano below them also fighting for points, every match becomes vital in determining who avoids the dreaded relegation positions come season's end.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Sevilla (3)Draws (3)Alaves (4)
Dec 17, 25
(H)Alaves1 - 0Sevilla(A)
H
Sep 20, 25
(H)Alaves1 - 2Sevilla(A)
A
Apr 20, 25
(H)Sevilla1 - 1Alaves(A)
D
Sep 20, 24
(H)Alaves2 - 1Sevilla(A)
H
Jan 12, 24
(H)Sevilla2 - 3Alaves(A)
A
Aug 21, 23
(H)Alaves4 - 3Sevilla(A)
H
Jan 17, 23
(H)Alaves0 - 1Sevilla(A)
A
Mar 4, 22
(H)Alaves0 - 0Sevilla(A)
D
Nov 20, 21
(H)Sevilla2 - 2Alaves(A)
D
May 23, 21
(H)Sevilla1 - 0Alaves(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides have been closely contested affairs. In their last meeting in December's Copa del Rey, Alaves...

Recent encounters between these sides have been closely contested affairs. In their last meeting in December's Copa del Rey, Alaves secured a 1-0 victory at home, demonstrating their ability to frustrate Sevilla. However, the previous La Liga clash in September saw Sevilla win 2-1 away at Mendizorrotza. The historical pattern shows alternating results with both teams capable of scoring, as evidenced by their thrilling encounters including a 4-3 Alaves victory and 3-2 Sevilla win in previous seasons.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Sevilla

13 of 15 in La Liga

D
L
W
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

3.7/10

Sevilla Form Analysis

Trending

Sevilla's recent form has been erratic, managing just one win in their last five league...

Sevilla's recent form has been erratic, managing just one win in their last five league matches. Their home record offers more encouragement, with victories over Athletic Club (2-1) and Osasuna (1-0) showing they can still deliver at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. The 4-0 thrashing of Oviedo highlighted their attacking potential when confidence flows. However, concerning defeats to Levante (0-3) and Celta Vigo (0-1) at home expose defensive frailties. Key absences include defender Marcao and winger Januzaj through injury, while striker Vargas remains sidelined. Youssef En-Nesyri will be crucial to their attacking threat.

Alaves

11 of 15 in La Liga

L
L
W
W
L
W
L
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

4.3/10

Alaves Form Analysis

Analysis

Alaves have shown resilience in recent weeks, securing impressive victories over Real Betis (2-1) and...

Alaves have shown resilience in recent weeks, securing impressive victories over Real Betis (2-1) and Espanyol (2-1) to climb away from immediate relegation danger. Their Copa del Rey run, including wins over Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, demonstrates growing confidence under pressure. However, away form remains problematic with just two wins from eleven road trips this season. The 2-0 defeat to Getafe in their last outing highlighted ongoing defensive concerns. Missing defender Koski and midfielder Protesoni through injury, Luis García's side will rely on striker Kike García and midfielder Jon Guridi to provide the creative spark needed for a crucial away result.

shieldSevilla5

  • Marcao profile photo

    Marcao

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Januzaj profile photo

    A. Januzaj

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • R. Vargas profile photo

    R. Vargas

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • Castrin profile photo

    Castrin

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • Oso profile photo

    Oso

    Calf Injury
    Out
MarcaoSevilla
A. JanuzajSevilla
R. VargasSevilla
CastrinSevilla
OsoSevilla

shieldAlaves4

  • M. Diaz profile photo

    M. Diaz

    Coach's decision
    Out
  • C. Protesoni profile photo

    C. Protesoni

    Injury
    Out
  • Jonny Otto profile photo

    Jonny Otto

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • V. Koski profile photo

    V. Koski

    Injury
    Out
M. DiazAlaves
C. ProtesoniAlaves
Jonny OttoAlaves
V. KoskiAlaves

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.