Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Real Sociedad55%vs 58%-3%
- Draw25%vs 24%
- Elche20%vs 18%+2%
Analysis
Our AI model favors Real Sociedad based on superior home form and historical dominance in this fixture. The probability analysis shows the hosts' quality advantage, despite injury concerns. Real Sociedad's recent victories over top opposition like Barcelona demonstrate their capability when motivated. Elche's poor away record and defensive frailties on the road support the home win prediction. The three-point gap between the teams understates Real Sociedad's superior squad depth and tactical flexibility under pressure.























