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Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad7th in La Liga (11-8-11)
VS
Alaves
Alaves15th in La Liga (8-8-14)

Real Sociedad vs Alaves

Saturday, Apr 11, 2026 · --:--

Reale Arena

Final
Real Sociedad
3–3
Alaves

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Real Sociedad vs Alaves prediction centers on the home team's significant advantages in this La Liga preview. Real Sociedad sits 7th with 41 points, eight places above 15th-placed Alaves (32 points), creating a substantial quality gap. The hosts average 1.37 points per game compared to Alaves' 1.07, while their superior attacking output (1.53 vs 1.07 goals per game) provides another edge. Bookmaker consensus strongly favors Real Sociedad at 54.7% probability, reflecting their home advantage and better league position. Recent form shows Real Sociedad winning three of their last five matches at the Reale Arena, including impressive victories over Barcelona and Osasuna. Alaves struggles away from home with just three wins in 15 road matches this season. Key injuries affect both sides, with Real Sociedad missing several players including Zubeldia (questionable), while Alaves has Garces suspended. Our expert picks favor the home team based on superior form, league position, and home advantage. These football tips today suggest Real Sociedad should capitalize on their quality advantage, with free tips pointing toward a comfortable home victory in this encounter.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Real Sociedad11-8-1136.7%
Alaves8-8-1426.7%
Goals Scored
Real Sociedad46
Alaves32
Goals Conceded
Real Sociedad45
Alaves43
Goal Difference
Real Sociedad+1
Alaves-11

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Real Sociedad vs Alaves - Match Analysis

Why is Real Sociedad strongly favored against Alaves?

Real Sociedad enjoys significant advantages including an eight-place league position gap (7th vs 15th), superior home form with eight wins from 15 matches, and better attacking output averaging 1.53 goals per game. Their recent victories over Barcelona and Osasuna at home demonstrate their ability to perform against quality opposition, while Alaves struggles away from home with just three road wins all season.

What alternative bets should I consider for Real Sociedad vs Alaves?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking tendencies and combined average of 2.6 goals per game. Real Sociedad's home matches often feature multiple goals, while Alaves' defensive vulnerabilities away from home support this selection. Draw No Bet: Real Sociedad provides additional security by removing the draw risk while maintaining good odds on the home team's superior quality.

How does recent head-to-head history affect this prediction?

Recent encounters show competitive matches with both teams capable of scoring. Real Sociedad won 3-2 away in the Copa del Rey but lost 1-0 at home in December's league meeting, proving Alaves can trouble higher-ranked opponents. However, the venue change to Real Sociedad's home ground, combined with their superior league position and form, tips the balance significantly in favor of the hosts for this encounter.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Real Sociedad (4)Draws (2)Alaves (4)
Feb 4, 26
(H)Alaves2 - 3Real Sociedad(A)
A
Dec 6, 25
(H)Alaves1 - 0Real Sociedad(A)
H
Apr 23, 25
(H)Alaves1 - 0Real Sociedad(A)
H
Aug 28, 24
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 2Alaves(A)
A
Jul 20, 24
(H)Alaves1 - 1Real Sociedad(A)
H
Mar 31, 24
(H)Alaves0 - 1Real Sociedad(A)
A
Jan 2, 24
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 1Alaves(A)
D
Mar 13, 22
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 0Alaves(A)
H
Jan 2, 22
(H)Alaves1 - 1Real Sociedad(A)
D
Jul 24, 21
(H)Real Sociedad3 - 1Alaves(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these teams show an intriguing pattern. In their last meeting this season, Real Sociedad won 3-2 away...

Recent encounters between these teams show an intriguing pattern. In their last meeting this season, Real Sociedad won 3-2 away at Alaves in the Copa del Rey quarter-finals, demonstrating their ability to perform in high-pressure situations. However, Alaves shocked Real Sociedad 1-0 at home in December's league encounter, proving they can trouble their higher-ranked opponents. The head-to-head record over the past two years shows a competitive rivalry with both teams capable of getting results against each other.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Real Sociedad

11 of 15 in La Liga

W
L
W
L
W
W
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

Real Sociedad Form Analysis

Trending

Real Sociedad enters this match with encouraging momentum, having won their last home fixture 2-0...

Real Sociedad enters this match with encouraging momentum, having won their last home fixture 2-0 against Levante. Their home record of eight wins from 15 matches demonstrates solid form at the Reale Arena, where they've scored 29 goals while conceding 21. Recent performances include impressive victories over Barcelona (2-1) and Osasuna (3-1) at home, showcasing their ability to raise their game against quality opposition. The team averages 1.53 goals per game overall, indicating decent attacking threat. However, injuries to key players including the questionable Zubeldia and suspended J. Martin could impact their defensive stability. Midfielder Y. Herrera's calf injury also removes a creative option from their midfield.

Alaves

13 of 15 in La Liga

D
W
D
L
L
D
D
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
D

Form Rating

4.3/10

Alaves Form Analysis

Analysis

Alaves arrives in poor away form, managing just three wins from 15 road matches this...

Alaves arrives in poor away form, managing just three wins from 15 road matches this season while conceding 25 goals. Their recent 2-2 draw with Osasuna showed fighting spirit but highlighted defensive vulnerabilities. The team struggles for goals away from home, averaging only 0.87 goals per away match compared to 1.27 at home. Their last away victory came in a thrilling 4-3 win at Celta Vigo, but such high-scoring encounters often favor teams with better attacking quality. Key suspension to F. Garces weakens their defensive options, while C. Protesoni remains questionable with a muscle injury. Their league position of 15th reflects ongoing struggles, sitting just three points above the relegation zone.

shieldReal Sociedad7

  • A. Odriozola profile photo

    A. Odriozola

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • Y. Herrera profile photo

    Y. Herrera

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • I. Zubeldia profile photo

    I. Zubeldia

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Gorrotxategi profile photo

    J. Gorrotxategi

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • I. Ruperez profile photo

    I. Ruperez

    Knee Injury
    Out
A. OdriozolaReal Sociedad
Y. HerreraReal Sociedad
I. ZubeldiaReal Sociedad
J. GorrotxategiReal Sociedad
I. RuperezReal Sociedad
J. OchiengReal Sociedad
J. MartinReal Sociedad

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldAlaves2

  • C. Protesoni profile photo

    C. Protesoni

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • F. Garces profile photo

    F. Garces

    Suspended
    Out
C. ProtesoniAlaves
F. GarcesAlaves

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.