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AI Predicted Winner
Real Madrid
73%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Real Madrid✦ AI Pick | Draw | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Marathonbet | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction: Los Blancos enter this La Liga clash as heavy favorites, and the underlying numbers back the market up. Real Madrid sit third with 18 points from seven games, scoring 2.57 goals per game while conceding just 1.14, and they've won all three home fixtures this season without dropping a point.
Sevilla arrive in decent shape at fifth, four points back, but their away form tells a mixed story — two wins, one draw, and no losses on the road, though their attack has managed only 1.43 goals per game. A midweek Champions League loss to Aston Villa-level friendly opposition aside, Sevilla's overall trajectory has been solid, even if their squad is missing key defensive pieces like Marcao through injury.
Real Madrid's own injury list is longer and more concerning — Militao, Mendy, Rodrygo, Asencio, and a suspended Huijsen all unavailable — which thins their defensive options considerably. Still, their attacking output has been too strong to ignore, and Sevilla have never won in Madrid across their last several meetings.
Expect Real Madrid to control possession and territory, with the home side's superior firepower proving decisive. The recent head-to-head trend overwhelmingly favors the hosts, and with bookmakers pricing Real Madrid at odds-on, this looks like a routine home win with goals at both ends given Sevilla's leaky defense.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Real Madrid have dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings since late 2024, including a 2-0...
Real Madrid have dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings since late 2024, including a 2-0 home win in December 2025. Sevilla's only positive result in that stretch was a 1-1 draw in October 2023, outside the two-year window. Real Madrid have not lost to Sevilla at home in any of the recent encounters, reinforcing their status as strong favorites again here.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted
8 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
8.3/10
Real Madrid have won five of their last seven matches, scoring freely at 2.57 goals...
Real Madrid have won five of their last seven matches, scoring freely at 2.57 goals per game and conceding just 1.14. Their only blemishes were away defeats to Atletico Madrid and Real Betis, while at home they've been flawless with three wins from three. Numerous defensive absences — Militao, Mendy, Asencio, and suspended Huijsen — will test squad depth, but the attack remains potent with 18 goals scored already. Expect a reshuffled backline to be compensated for by relentless pressure going forward, with the front line carrying the Champions League-chasing momentum into this fixture.
8 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
6/10
Sevilla have won four of seven matches this season, sitting fifth with a healthy away...
Sevilla have won four of seven matches this season, sitting fifth with a healthy away record of two wins and a draw from three games. Their attack has been modest at 1.43 goals per game, but they've kept two clean sheets and conceded under 1.3 per match on average. Injuries to Marcao, Vargas, and Stassin weaken an already stretched squad heading into Madrid. Sevilla's away resilience offers some hope, but facing a Real Madrid side this clinical at home represents a significant step up in quality.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Analysis
Real Madrid's home record is flawless this season — three wins from three — and they've outscored opponents by double digits in goal difference. Sevilla, despite solid away form, have struggled to score consistently at just 1.43 goals per game. Combined with Real Madrid's dominant recent head-to-head record against Sevilla, the bookmakers' 75.1% implied probability reflects a clear quality gap between these two sides.
Sevilla haven't lost away all season, picking up two wins and a draw in three road trips, which offers some encouragement. However, injuries to Marcao, Vargas, and Stassin weaken their options, and they've never beaten Real Madrid at home in recent meetings. While an upset isn't impossible, the quality gap and historical trend make it a significant underdog scenario.
Given Real Madrid's short odds, Real Madrid -1 Asian Handicap offers better value while still reflecting their dominance. Over 2.5 Goals is also compelling with a 4.0 combined goals-per-game average and Sevilla's defensive injuries. For safer coverage, Draw No Bet: Real Madrid protects against an unlikely draw while still capturing most of the expected value from backing the hosts.
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