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Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano15th in La Liga (7-10-10)
VS
Levante
Levante19th in La Liga (5-7-15)

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante

Monday, Mar 16, 2026 · --:--

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Final
Rayo Vallecano
1–1
Levante

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Levante prediction centers on a crucial relegation battle at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. This La Liga preview highlights two teams fighting for survival, with Rayo (15th, 31 points) hosting bottom-placed Levante (19th, 22 points). The bookmaker consensus strongly favors the hosts at 55.5% probability, reflecting their superior league position and home advantage. Rayo's recent form shows resilience with wins over Atletico Madrid and Oviedo at home, while Levante arrives with just one win in their last ten matches. The visitors face a mounting injury crisis with six players unavailable, including key midfielder Dela through suspension. Both teams struggle offensively, combining for just 2.07 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair. Rayo's home record (4-7-2) provides crucial context - they're unbeaten in three home matches and desperately need points to pull clear of the relegation zone. Our expert picks favor the hosts based on superior form, home advantage, and Levante's personnel issues. These free tips highlight Rayo's value at current odds, making them our recommended football tips today.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Rayo Vallecano7-10-1025.9%
Levante5-7-1518.5%
Goals Scored
Rayo Vallecano27
Levante29
Goals Conceded
Rayo Vallecano33
Levante45
Goal Difference
Rayo Vallecano-6
Levante-16

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante - Match Analysis

Why is Rayo Vallecano strongly favored despite their modest league position?

Rayo's favoritism stems from multiple advantages: superior home form with three consecutive unbeaten matches, a 9-point gap over Levante in the table, and their opponent's extensive injury crisis. Their recent 3-0 victory over Atletico Madrid demonstrates their capability to perform in crucial matches. Additionally, Levante's woeful away record (3-2-8) and just one win in ten recent matches makes them vulnerable visitors.

How do Levante's injuries affect their chances in this match?

Levante's injury crisis is devastating, with six players unavailable including suspended midfielder Dela and several players with knee injuries. This depletes an already thin squad fighting relegation. Their limited squad depth means they cannot rotate effectively or replace key contributors. Combined with their poor away form and recent struggles, these absences significantly reduce their competitive capacity against a Rayo side desperate for points.

What alternative bets should I consider for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?

The standout alternative is 'Draw No Bet: Rayo Vallecano' which offers excellent value by removing draw risk while maintaining upside potential. Given both teams' tendency toward low-scoring matches (2.07 combined goals per game), 'Under 2.5 Goals' also presents value. For those seeking higher odds, 'Rayo to Win to Nil' capitalizes on Levante's attacking struggles and Rayo's recent defensive improvements at home.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Rayo Vallecano (5)Draws (1)Levante (4)
Oct 19, 25
(H)Levante0 - 3Rayo Vallecano(A)
A
May 20, 22
(H)Rayo Vallecano2 - 4Levante(A)
A
Sep 11, 21
(H)Levante1 - 1Rayo Vallecano(A)
D
May 4, 19
(H)Levante4 - 1Rayo Vallecano(A)
H
Dec 23, 18
(H)Rayo Vallecano2 - 1Levante(A)
H
May 6, 17
(H)Rayo Vallecano2 - 1Levante(A)
H
Dec 14, 16
(H)Levante1 - 0Rayo Vallecano(A)
H
May 15, 16
(H)Rayo Vallecano3 - 1Levante(A)
H
Jan 9, 16
(H)Levante2 - 1Rayo Vallecano(A)
H
Feb 28, 15
(H)Rayo Vallecano4 - 2Levante(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Rayo Vallecano significantly. In their only meeting from the last two years (October 2025), Rayo dominated...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Rayo Vallecano significantly. In their only meeting from the last two years (October 2025), Rayo dominated with a comprehensive 3-0 victory at Levante's home ground. This result demonstrates Rayo's tactical superiority over their opponents. Historically, these fixtures have been high-scoring affairs, but the recent encounter suggests Rayo has found an effective approach against Levante's defensive setup.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Rayo Vallecano

11 of 15 in La Liga

W
D
W
D
D
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
D
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Rayo Vallecano Form Analysis

Trending

Rayo Vallecano enters this match with encouraging recent momentum despite their modest league position. Their...

Rayo Vallecano enters this match with encouraging recent momentum despite their modest league position. Their home form has been particularly impressive lately, remaining unbeaten in three consecutive matches at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. The standout result was a stunning 3-0 victory over title-chasing Atletico Madrid, showcasing their ability to raise their game for crucial encounters. They followed this with a solid 3-0 win against fellow relegation battlers Oviedo. However, their attacking output remains concerning at just 1.0 goals per game. The main injury concern is D. Mendez, but this shouldn't significantly impact their tactical approach. Rayo's home record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses suggests they're difficult to beat at their compact venue.

Levante

13 of 15 in La Liga

D
W
L
L
L
L
D
W
L
D
W
D
L
L
W

Form Rating

4/10

Levante Form Analysis

Analysis

Levante's away form presents a stark contrast to their hosts, with the visitors managing just...

Levante's away form presents a stark contrast to their hosts, with the visitors managing just three wins from 13 away fixtures this season. Their recent record is particularly worrying, with only one victory in their last ten matches across all competitions. The 1-1 draw with Girona in their most recent outing represents a rare positive result. Their attacking struggles are evident with just 1.07 goals scored per game, while defensively they concede 1.67 goals per match. The injury list is extensive and damaging, with six players unavailable including suspended midfielder Dela and several key players with knee injuries. Their away record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses highlights the scale of their challenge. Levante desperately needs points but lacks the personnel and form to suggest they can deliver.

shieldRayo Vallecano1

  • D. Mendez profile photo

    D. Mendez

    Injury
    Out
D. MendezRayo Vallecano

shieldLevante8

  • Dela profile photo

    Dela

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • U. Elgezabal profile photo

    U. Elgezabal

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • R. Brugue profile photo

    R. Brugue

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • P. Martinez profile photo

    P. Martinez

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. A. Olasagasti profile photo

    J. A. Olasagasti

    Red Card
    Out
DelaLevante
U. ElgezabalLevante
R. BrugueLevante
P. MartinezLevante
J. A. OlasagastiLevante
C. AlvarezLevante
U. RaghouberLevante
K. TundeLevante

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.