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Oviedo
Oviedo20th in La Liga (3-9-15)
VS
Valencia
Valencia12th in La Liga (8-8-11)

Oviedo vs Valencia

Saturday, Mar 14, 2026 · --:--

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Final
Oviedo
1–0
Valencia

Oviedo won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Oviedo vs Valencia prediction centers on a crucial La Liga preview where relegation-threatened Oviedo hosts mid-table Valencia at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. The bookmaker consensus slightly favors Valencia (36.8%) over the home side (32.6%), with a significant draw probability (30.6%) reflecting the tight nature of this matchup. Oviedo sits bottom of the table with just 18 points, averaging 0.67 points per game and struggling with the league's worst attack (0.63 goals per game). Valencia occupies 12th position with 32 points, showing marginally better form but still inconsistent with 1.19 points per game. Both teams have high draw rates (Oviedo 33.3%, Valencia 29.6%) and low-scoring tendencies, combining for just 1.74 goals per game. Valencia's injury crisis includes key defenders Diakhaby and Foulquier, while Oviedo has five questionable players including striker Borbas. This represents excellent football tips today for value-seeking bettors, with our expert picks focusing on the draw market given the evenly-matched nature and defensive struggles of both sides.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Oviedo3-9-1511.1%
Valencia8-8-1129.6%
Goals Scored
Oviedo17
Valencia30
Goals Conceded
Oviedo44
Valencia41
Goal Difference
Oviedo-27
Valencia-11

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Oviedo vs Valencia - Match Analysis

Why is Valencia only slightly favored despite being 8 positions higher?

Valencia's poor away record (2 wins in 13 games) significantly reduces their advantage, while Oviedo has shown home resilience with draws against quality opposition. The extensive injury list affecting Valencia's defense, combined with Oviedo's psychological edge from their earlier 2-1 victory at Mestalla, creates a more balanced contest than league positions suggest.

What alternative bets should I consider for Oviedo vs Valencia?

Focus on low-scoring markets given their combined 1.74 goals per game. Under 2.5 Goals offers excellent value, while Both Teams to Score No capitalizes on Oviedo's attacking struggles. Draw No Bet on Valencia removes draw risk while maintaining value, and the Double Chance covering home win or draw reflects the fixture's unpredictable nature.

How do the extensive injury lists affect this prediction?

Both teams face significant absences that favor defensive play. Valencia miss key defenders Diakhaby and Foulquier, weakening their already poor away defensive record. Oviedo's attacking concerns deepen with striker Borbas questionable, potentially limiting their goal threat. These injuries support low-scoring predictions and increase the likelihood of a cagey, tactical encounter.

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Last 1 head-to-head matchups

Oviedo (1)Valencia (0)
Sep 30, 25
(H)Valencia1 - 2Oviedo(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Oviedo, who secured a memorable 2-1 victory at Valencia's Mestalla earlier this season. That September result...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Oviedo, who secured a memorable 2-1 victory at Valencia's Mestalla earlier this season. That September result saw Oviedo come from behind to claim all three points, demonstrating their ability to compete against Valencia despite their league positions. The reverse fixture provides psychological confidence for the home side, though Valencia will be eager to exact revenge on their travels.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Oviedo

15 of 15 in La Liga

D
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
D
D
L
D
L
D

Form Rating

3/10

Oviedo Form Analysis

Trending

Oviedo's season has been a relegation battle, managing just three wins in 27 matches with...

Oviedo's season has been a relegation battle, managing just three wins in 27 matches with a concerning 0.63 goals per game. Their recent form shows glimpses of resilience - drawing with Espanyol and Real Sociedad while securing a rare home victory against Girona. At Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, they've been slightly more competitive with two wins and five draws from 13 home games. Key injury concerns surround striker Borbas and midfielder Ejaria, both questionable for this fixture. The team's defensive record (1.63 goals conceded per game) suggests vulnerability, but their high draw rate (33.3%) indicates they can frustrate better teams. Captain Costas remains a doubt with a muscle injury, potentially weakening their already limited attacking options.

Valencia

12 of 15 in La Liga

W
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
D
L
D
W
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Analysis

Valencia's campaign reflects mid-table mediocrity, collecting 32 points from 27 matches with inconsistent performances throughout....

Valencia's campaign reflects mid-table mediocrity, collecting 32 points from 27 matches with inconsistent performances throughout. Recent results show both promise and fragility - beating Alaves 3-2 at home before losing to Villarreal away. Their away record is particularly concerning with just two wins in 13 road trips, scoring only 0.92 goals per away game. The injury list is extensive, with defender Diakhaby and right-back Foulquier ruled out, while striker Beltran remains questionable. Valencia's 29.6% draw rate and tendency to concede late goals (1.52 per game) suggests defensive instability. However, their superior attacking output (1.11 goals per game) gives them an edge over Oviedo's porous defense, making them slight favorites despite their travel troubles.

shieldOviedo5

  • L. Dendoncker profile photo

    L. Dendoncker

    Injury
    Questionable
  • O. Ejaria profile photo

    O. Ejaria

    Injury
    Questionable
  • D. Costas profile photo

    D. Costas

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • L. Ahijado profile photo

    L. Ahijado

    Injury
    Questionable
  • T. Borbas profile photo

    T. Borbas

    Injury
    Questionable
L. DendonckerOviedo
O. EjariaOviedo
D. CostasOviedo
L. AhijadoOviedo
T. BorbasOviedo

shieldValencia5

  • M. Diakhaby profile photo

    M. Diakhaby

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • L. Beltran profile photo

    L. Beltran

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • D. Foulquier profile photo

    D. Foulquier

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Copete profile photo

    J. Copete

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • J. Agirrezabala profile photo

    J. Agirrezabala

    Knee Injury
    Out
M. DiakhabyValencia
L. BeltranValencia
D. FoulquierValencia
J. CopeteValencia
J. AgirrezabalaValencia

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.