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Osasuna
Osasuna9th in La Liga (7-4-10)
VS
Villarreal
Villarreal4th in La Liga (13-2-5)

Osasuna vs Villarreal

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026 · --:--

Estadio El Sadar

Final
Osasuna
2–2
Villarreal

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Osasuna vs Villarreal prediction centers on a compelling La Liga preview featuring two teams in contrasting form. Osasuna sits 9th with 25 points, showing resilience at home with recent wins over Oviedo and Alaves at El Sadar. However, they face a Villarreal side currently 4th with 41 points, despite suffering consecutive defeats to Real Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen. The Yellow Submarine's injury crisis is severe, missing key defenders Foyth, Costa, and Kambwala, while facing fixture fatigue with just two days' rest. Osasuna's home advantage becomes crucial, having won six of eleven home matches this season. Our expert picks favor the hosts to capitalize on Villarreal's defensive vulnerabilities and travel fatigue. These free tips highlight Osasuna's strong home record against a depleted away side struggling for consistency.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Osasuna7-4-1033.3%
Villarreal13-2-565.0%
Goals Scored
Osasuna24
Villarreal37
Goals Conceded
Osasuna25
Villarreal21
Goal Difference
Osasuna-1
Villarreal+16

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Osasuna vs Villarreal - Match Analysis

Why is Osasuna favored despite being lower in the table than Villarreal?

Osasuna's strong home advantage at El Sadar, combined with Villarreal's extensive injury crisis and fixture fatigue, creates favorable conditions for the hosts. The Yellow Submarine are missing three key defenders and played just two days ago in Germany, while Osasuna have had a full week to prepare. Home form often trumps league position in these circumstances.

What alternative bets should I consider for Osasuna vs Villarreal?

Draw No Bet on Osasuna offers excellent value, covering both home win and draw scenarios with approximately 65% confidence. Over 2.5 Goals is another strong option given both teams' recent high-scoring matches and defensive vulnerabilities. Both Teams to Score also appeals, as Villarreal typically find the net despite their defensive issues.

How significant is Villarreal's injury crisis for this match?

Extremely significant. Missing Juan Foyth, Logan Costa, and Willy Kambwala removes three key defensive players, forcing tactical adjustments that could be exploited by Osasuna's home attacking threat. Combined with only two days' rest after their Champions League defeat, these factors heavily favor the home side in our prediction model.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Osasuna (3)Draws (2)Villarreal (5)
Sep 20, 25
(H)Villarreal2 - 1Osasuna(A)
H
May 3, 25
(H)Villarreal4 - 2Osasuna(A)
H
Nov 24, 24
(H)Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal(A)
D
May 25, 24
(H)Osasuna1 - 1Villarreal(A)
D
Nov 26, 23
(H)Villarreal3 - 1Osasuna(A)
H
Mar 19, 23
(H)Osasuna0 - 3Villarreal(A)
A
Oct 17, 22
(H)Villarreal2 - 0Osasuna(A)
H
Mar 5, 22
(H)Osasuna1 - 0Villarreal(A)
H
Oct 17, 21
(H)Villarreal1 - 2Osasuna(A)
A
Apr 11, 21
(H)Villarreal1 - 2Osasuna(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Villarreal, who won 2-1 at home in September 2025. The previous season saw a thrilling 4-2...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Villarreal, who won 2-1 at home in September 2025. The previous season saw a thrilling 4-2 Villarreal victory and a 2-2 draw at El Sadar. Historically, Villarreal has dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings. However, Osasuna has shown they can compete at home, securing draws and occasional victories. The pattern suggests high-scoring affairs, with both teams regularly finding the net in their encounters.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Osasuna

11 of 15 in La Liga

W
W
L
L
D
W
W
L
W
W
D
L
L
D
W

Form Rating

5.7/10

Osasuna Form Analysis

Trending

Osasuna enters this match with mixed recent form, winning three of their last five league...

Osasuna enters this match with mixed recent form, winning three of their last five league games. Their home fortress at El Sadar has been crucial, securing victories over Oviedo (3-2) and Alaves (3-0) while drawing with Athletic Club. The Rojillos have struggled away from home but remain dangerous at their compact stadium. Key injury concerns include I. Benito (knee) being ruled out, while A. Oroz remains questionable with a leg problem. Ante Budimir has been their main attacking threat, providing crucial goals in recent home wins. Their defensive solidity at home contrasts sharply with away struggles.

Villarreal

9 of 15 in La Liga

L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Villarreal Form Analysis

Analysis

Villarreal arrives in poor form, suffering back-to-back defeats to Real Madrid (0-2) and Bayer Leverkusen...

Villarreal arrives in poor form, suffering back-to-back defeats to Real Madrid (0-2) and Bayer Leverkusen (0-3). The Yellow Submarine's injury list is extensive, missing Juan Foyth (Achilles), Logan Costa (knee), and Willy Kambwala (hamstring) - all key defensive players. Their recent Champions League exertions have taken a toll, with only two days' rest before this fixture. Despite sitting 4th in La Liga, their away form has been inconsistent this season. Gerard Moreno remains their primary goal threat, but the team's creativity has suffered without key midfielders. The defensive crisis could prove decisive against Osasuna's home attacking threat.

shieldOsasuna2

  • A. Oroz profile photo

    A. Oroz

    Leg Injury
    Questionable
  • I. Benito profile photo

    I. Benito

    Knee Injury
    Out
A. OrozOsasuna
I. BenitoOsasuna

shieldVillarreal6

  • J. Foyth profile photo

    J. Foyth

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • A. Perez profile photo

    A. Perez

    Injury
    Questionable
  • L. Costa profile photo

    L. Costa

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Gonzalez profile photo

    A. Gonzalez

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • W. Kambwala profile photo

    W. Kambwala

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
J. FoythVillarreal
A. PerezVillarreal
L. CostaVillarreal
A. GonzalezVillarreal
W. KambwalaVillarreal
P. CabanesVillarreal

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.