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Osasuna
Osasuna10th in La Liga (8-6-10)
VS
Real Madrid
Real Madrid1st in La Liga (19-3-2)

Osasuna vs Real Madrid

Saturday, Feb 21, 2026 · --:--

Estadio El Sadar

Final
Osasuna
2–1
Real Madrid

Osasuna won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Osasuna vs Real Madrid prediction sees Los Blancos as strong favorites despite traveling to the challenging Estadio El Sadar. This La Liga preview highlights Real Madrid's exceptional form with five consecutive wins, including a dominant 4-1 victory over Real Sociedad and a crucial Champions League triumph at Benfica. The league leaders sit two points clear of Barcelona and have been ruthless in attack, netting 53 goals in 24 matches. Osasuna enters this clash with mixed recent form, showing resilience at home with wins over Oviedo and Alaves but struggling for consistency. Key injuries could impact both sides, with Real Madrid missing Jude Bellingham and Eder Militao, while Osasuna lacks defensive stalwarts I. Benito and F. Boyomo. Our expert picks favor Real Madrid's superior quality and title momentum, making this one of today's most compelling football tips today. The visitors' perfect away record of eight wins from 12 matches suggests they can handle Pamplona's hostile atmosphere and secure another crucial three points in their championship pursuit.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Osasuna (0)Draws (3)Real Madrid (7)
Aug 19, 25
(H)Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna(A)
H
Feb 15, 25
(H)Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid(A)
D
Nov 9, 24
(H)Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna(A)
H
Mar 16, 24
(H)Osasuna2 - 4Real Madrid(A)
A
Oct 7, 23
(H)Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna(A)
H
May 6, 23
(H)Real Madrid2 - 1Osasuna(A)
H
Feb 18, 23
(H)Osasuna0 - 2Real Madrid(A)
A
Oct 2, 22
(H)Real Madrid1 - 1Osasuna(A)
D
Apr 20, 22
(H)Osasuna1 - 3Real Madrid(A)
A
Oct 27, 21
(H)Real Madrid0 - 0Osasuna(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters heavily favor Real Madrid, who have dominated this fixture with four wins and one draw in their last...

Recent encounters heavily favor Real Madrid, who have dominated this fixture with four wins and one draw in their last five meetings since 2024. The most telling result came in November 2024 when Madrid crushed Osasuna 4-0 at the Bernabeu, showcasing their attacking superiority. However, Osasuna did manage a creditable 1-1 draw at home in February 2025, proving they can compete at El Sadar. Madrid's clinical finishing has been evident, scoring 13 goals across these five matches while conceding just three, demonstrating their quality gap over the Navarrese side.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Osasuna

12 of 15 in La Liga

D
W
D
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
L
W
W
D
L

Form Rating

6/10

Osasuna Form Analysis

Trending

Osasuna's recent form tells a tale of home resilience mixed with away struggles. They've shown...

Osasuna's recent form tells a tale of home resilience mixed with away struggles. They've shown character at El Sadar with impressive victories over Oviedo (3-2) and Alaves (3-0), plus a valuable point against third-placed Villarreal (2-2). However, their away form remains concerning, managing just a goalless draw at Elche in their last road trip. The hosts have been competitive in most matches, rarely suffering heavy defeats, but lack the cutting edge needed against elite opposition. With I. Benito and F. Boyomo sidelined through injury, their defensive stability faces a stern test. Key player Ante Budimir will need to be at his sharpest to trouble Madrid's backline and give the home crowd something to cheer about.

Real Madrid

8 of 15 in La Liga

W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

8/10

Real Madrid Form Analysis

Analysis

Real Madrid arrives in Pamplona in scintillating form, riding a five-match winning streak that includes...

Real Madrid arrives in Pamplona in scintillating form, riding a five-match winning streak that includes emphatic victories and crucial Champions League progression. Their 4-1 demolition of Real Sociedad demonstrated their attacking prowess, while the 1-0 triumph at Benfica showcased their big-game mentality. Los Blancos have been particularly impressive away from home, winning eight of 12 La Liga road trips this season. The absence of Jude Bellingham and Eder Militao through hamstring injuries is concerning, with Rodrygo also questionable due to muscle problems. However, their squad depth remains formidable, with Vinicius Jr., Kylian Mbappe, and veteran Luka Modric providing the creative spark. Their defensive solidity, conceding just 19 goals in 24 league matches, gives them confidence of keeping another clean sheet.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Osasuna8-6-1033.3%
Real Madrid19-3-279.2%
Goals Scored
Osasuna28
Real Madrid53
Goals Conceded
Osasuna28
Real Madrid19

shieldOsasuna2

  • F. Boyomo profile photo

    F. Boyomo

    Injury
    Out
  • I. Benito profile photo

    I. Benito

    Knee Injury
    Out
F. BoyomoOsasuna
I. BenitoOsasuna

shieldReal Madrid3

  • Eder Militao profile photo

    Eder Militao

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • Rodrygo profile photo

    Rodrygo

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Bellingham profile photo

    J. Bellingham

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
Eder MilitaoReal Madrid
RodrygoReal Madrid
J. BellinghamReal Madrid

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Osasuna0
Real Madrid+34

Osasuna vs Real Madrid - Match Analysis

Why is Real Madrid strongly favored despite playing away at Osasuna?

Real Madrid's exceptional away form this season (8 wins from 12 matches) combined with their recent dominance over Osasuna makes them clear favorites. Los Blancos have won four of the last five meetings, including a 4-0 thrashing earlier this season. Their superior squad depth, title-chasing momentum, and clinical finishing give them significant advantages even at the challenging El Sadar stadium. Osasuna's key defensive injuries further tilt the odds in Madrid's favor.

What alternative bets should I consider for Osasuna vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid -1 Asian Handicap offers excellent value, as they've won by multiple goals in recent meetings and possess superior attacking quality. Over 2.5 Goals is another strong alternative, given both teams' recent scoring patterns and Madrid's prolific attack. Both Teams to Score could also provide value, as Osasuna typically finds the net at home while Madrid's attacking firepower is virtually unstoppable. These markets offer better odds while capitalizing on the likely match dynamics.

How do the injury concerns affect this match prediction?

Injuries impact both sides but favor Real Madrid overall. While Los Blancos miss key players Bellingham and Militao, their squad depth allows quality replacements like Camavinga and Tchouameni to step up. Osasuna's defensive injuries to Benito and Boyomo are more problematic, weakening their backline against Madrid's potent attack. The visitors' ability to rotate quality players gives them a crucial advantage, while Osasuna's limited options could be exposed by Madrid's relentless attacking pressure throughout the match.

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