Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Osasuna65%
- Draw25%
- Oviedo10%
Analysis
Our AI model heavily favors Osasuna based on probability analysis showing clear home advantage and quality differential. The model considers Osasuna's superior home record, Oviedo's disastrous away form, and the significant gap in league positions. Key factors include Osasuna's recent home victories against similarly positioned teams and Oviedo's inability to score consistently away from home. The hosts' defensive stability at El Sadar contrasts sharply with Oviedo's road vulnerabilities. Expected value calculations strongly support the home win, with Oviedo's injury crisis further tilting the odds toward Osasuna.




















