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Mallorca
Mallorca18th in La Liga (6-6-13)
VS
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad10th in La Liga (8-8-9)

Mallorca vs Real Sociedad

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 · --:--

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Final
Mallorca
0–1
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Mallorca vs Real Sociedad prediction centers on a closely contested La Liga preview where the visitors hold a slight edge. Real Sociedad sits 10th with 32 points, eight places above relegation-threatened Mallorca (18th, 24 points). The bookmaker consensus favors the away side at 38.7% probability versus Mallorca's 31.6%, reflecting the quality gap. Mallorca's home form provides some hope with five wins from twelve matches, but their overall campaign has been disappointing with just six victories in 25 games. Real Sociedad arrives with better attacking output (1.48 goals per game vs 1.16) and recent momentum from a thrilling 3-3 draw with Oviedo. Key injuries impact both sides - Mallorca miss striker T. Asano while Real Sociedad lack creative midfielder T. Kubo. The visitors' superior league position and marginally better form make them slight favorites, though Mallorca's desperation for points creates an unpredictable dynamic. Our expert picks suggest this could be decided by fine margins, making it an ideal match for football tips today.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Mallorca (3)Draws (2)Real Sociedad (5)
Sep 24, 25
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca(A)
H
Apr 12, 25
(H)Real Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca(A)
A
Sep 17, 24
(H)Mallorca1 - 0Real Sociedad(A)
H
Feb 27, 24
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 1Mallorca(A)
A
Feb 18, 24
(H)Mallorca1 - 2Real Sociedad(A)
A
Feb 6, 24
(H)Mallorca0 - 0Real Sociedad(A)
D
Oct 21, 23
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca(A)
H
Mar 12, 23
(H)Mallorca1 - 1Real Sociedad(A)
D
Jan 17, 23
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca(A)
H
Oct 19, 22
(H)Real Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Real Sociedad with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five meetings since...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Real Sociedad with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five meetings since 2024. The Basque side won 1-0 at home in September 2025 and secured a memorable 2-1 victory at Son Moix in February 2024. However, Mallorca showed they can compete, winning 2-0 away in April 2025 and claiming a dramatic Copa del Rey semi-final victory on penalties in 2024. The pattern suggests tight contests with low-scoring affairs being common.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Mallorca

13 of 15 in La Liga

L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
D
W
D
L

Form Rating

3.7/10

Mallorca Form Analysis

Trending

Mallorca's season has been a struggle with just six wins from 25 matches, leaving them...

Mallorca's season has been a struggle with just six wins from 25 matches, leaving them in the relegation zone. Their home record offers slight encouragement with five victories from twelve games at Son Moix, including recent wins against Sevilla (4-1) and Athletic Club (3-2). However, they've lost their last two home league matches, conceding five goals. The islanders average just 1.16 goals per game while shipping 1.64, highlighting both attacking struggles and defensive frailties. Key striker T. Asano remains sidelined with a muscle injury, limiting their already modest goal threat. Recent form shows one win in their last five league matches.

Real Sociedad

11 of 15 in La Liga

D
L
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
D
W
L
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Real Sociedad Form Analysis

Analysis

Real Sociedad occupies 10th position with a modest 32 points from 25 games, reflecting an...

Real Sociedad occupies 10th position with a modest 32 points from 25 games, reflecting an inconsistent campaign. Their away form has been particularly poor with just two wins from twelve road trips, though they've drawn five times showing resilience. The Basque side averages 1.48 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game, indicating balanced but unspectacular performances. Recent form includes a dramatic 3-3 home draw with Oviedo and a heavy 4-1 defeat at Real Madrid. Creative midfielder T. Kubo's hamstring injury is a significant blow to their attacking threat. They've shown cup form with Copa del Rey progression, suggesting quality remains despite league struggles.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Mallorca6-6-1324.0%
Real Sociedad8-8-932.0%
Goals Scored
Mallorca29
Real Sociedad37
Goals Conceded
Mallorca41
Real Sociedad38

shieldMallorca3

  • T. Asano profile photo

    T. Asano

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • M. Kumbulla profile photo

    M. Kumbulla

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Salas profile photo

    J. Salas

    Knee Injury
    Out
T. AsanoMallorca
M. KumbullaMallorca
J. SalasMallorca

shieldReal Sociedad4

  • A. Odriozola profile photo

    A. Odriozola

    Injury
    Out
  • T. Kubo profile photo

    T. Kubo

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • B. Mendez profile photo

    B. Mendez

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • I. Ruperez profile photo

    I. Ruperez

    Knee Injury
    Out
A. OdriozolaReal Sociedad
T. KuboReal Sociedad
B. MendezReal Sociedad
I. RuperezReal Sociedad

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Mallorca-12
Real Sociedad-1

Mallorca vs Real Sociedad - Match Analysis

Why is Real Sociedad favored despite their poor away form?

Real Sociedad's favoritism stems from their superior league position (10th vs 18th) and better overall quality despite poor away form. They sit eight places above Mallorca with a significantly better points per game average (1.28 vs 0.96). The bookmaker consensus reflects this quality gap, with the visitors' 38.7% implied probability based on their stronger squad depth and recent head-to-head dominance over the struggling islanders.

What alternative bets should I consider for Mallorca vs Real Sociedad?

Draw No Bet on Real Sociedad offers excellent value given the high draw probability (29.7%) while backing the superior team. Under 2.5 Goals presents strong appeal with both teams averaging just 2.64 combined goals per game and key attacking players injured. Both Teams to Score No could also provide value given Mallorca's attacking struggles (1.16 goals per game) and their recent failure to score in several matches.

How crucial is this match for Mallorca's relegation battle?

This fixture is absolutely vital for Mallorca's survival hopes as they sit in 18th place, just one point behind 17th-placed Elche. Every point matters in their relegation fight, and home matches against mid-table opposition like Real Sociedad represent crucial opportunities. A defeat would increase pressure significantly with tougher fixtures ahead, while victory could provide the momentum needed to climb out of the bottom three and build confidence for their survival campaign.

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