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Levante
Levante19th in La Liga (7-8-16)
VS
Sevilla
Sevilla16th in La Liga (9-7-15)

Levante vs Sevilla

Thursday, Apr 23, 2026 · --:--

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Final
Levante
2–0
Sevilla

Levante won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Levante host Sevilla at Ciutat de Valencia in what promises to be a tightly contested La Liga encounter. Both teams have shown remarkably similar defensive vulnerabilities this season, each conceding exactly 29 goals, which sets up an intriguing tactical battle between two evenly matched sides.

The underlying performance metrics reveal fascinating insights into this fixture. Sevilla's xG difference of -11.2 compared to Levante's -9.1 suggests the visitors have marginally better underlying numbers, yet both teams have struggled to convert chances while remaining defensively fragile throughout the campaign.

Current league positioning doesn't tell the full story here, as the advanced data indicates these teams are performing at comparable levels. With mild weather conditions expected around 20-25°C, tactical plans should remain unchanged, allowing both managers to field their preferred systems without environmental disruption.

The statistical evidence points toward a closely fought contest where neither side holds a decisive advantage. Given the identical defensive records and similar underlying metrics, this fixture has all the hallmarks of a game where fine margins will determine the outcome, making the draw an attractive proposition for those analyzing the deeper numbers behind these two La Liga competitors.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Levante (1)Draws (1)Sevilla (8)
Jan 4, 26
(H)Sevilla0 - 3Levante(A)
A
Apr 21, 22
(H)Levante2 - 3Sevilla(A)
A
Oct 24, 21
(H)Sevilla5 - 3Levante(A)
H
Apr 21, 21
(H)Levante0 - 1Sevilla(A)
A
Oct 1, 20
(H)Sevilla1 - 0Levante(A)
H
Jun 15, 20
(H)Levante1 - 1Sevilla(A)
D
Jan 21, 20
(H)Sevilla3 - 1Levante(A)
H
Oct 20, 19
(H)Sevilla1 - 0Levante(A)
H
Jan 26, 19
(H)Sevilla5 - 0Levante(A)
H
Sep 23, 18
(H)Levante2 - 6Sevilla(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters strongly favor Levante, with their stunning 3-0 victory at Sevilla's home ground in January 2026 being the...

Recent head-to-head encounters strongly favor Levante, with their stunning 3-0 victory at Sevilla's home ground in January 2026 being the standout result. That comprehensive win demonstrated Levante's ability to trouble Sevilla, particularly away from home. The reverse fixture earlier this season saw Sevilla edge a thriller 3-2 at Levante's ground, suggesting these teams produce entertaining, goal-heavy encounters when they meet. Levante's psychological advantage from that recent dominant performance could prove crucial in this relegation battle.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Levante

15 of 15 in La Liga

W
L
W
D
D
W
L
L
L
L
D
W
L
D
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Levante Form Analysis

Trending

Levante enters this match showing signs of life in their relegation fight, having secured a...

Levante enters this match showing signs of life in their relegation fight, having secured a vital 1-0 victory over Getafe in their last home outing. Their recent form shows three wins in their last six matches, including impressive victories over fellow strugglers Elche (3-2) and Alaves (2-0) at home. However, defensive frailties remain evident, conceding 1.61 goals per game this season. At home, they've managed four wins from 16 matches, with their attacking output slightly better on familiar turf. The return of key players from injury could boost their survival hopes, though R. Brugue's continued absence limits their attacking options. Their desperation for points in this relegation battle should provide extra motivation.

Sevilla

15 of 15 in La Liga

W
L
L
L
D
D
W
D
D
L
W
D
L
L
L

Form Rating

3.7/10

Sevilla Form Analysis

Analysis

Sevilla's away form has been inconsistent, managing just four wins from 15 road trips this...

Sevilla's away form has been inconsistent, managing just four wins from 15 road trips this season. Their recent travels have yielded mixed results, including a disappointing 1-0 defeat to bottom-placed Oviedo, highlighting their struggles against lower-table opposition. However, they showed character with a 2-1 home victory over Atletico Madrid in their last match, suggesting they can raise their game against quality opponents. Defensively vulnerable on the road, conceding 1.87 goals per away game, Sevilla's main concern is their inability to consistently perform away from the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. The absence of experienced defender C. Azpilicueta and Marcao could further expose their defensive weaknesses in this crucial fixture.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Levante7-8-1622.6%
Sevilla9-7-1529.0%
Goals Scored
Levante35
Sevilla39
Goals Conceded
Levante50
Sevilla51

shieldLevante2

  • U. Elgezabal profile photo

    U. Elgezabal

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • R. Brugue profile photo

    R. Brugue

    Knee Injury
    Out
U. ElgezabalLevante
R. BrugueLevante

shieldSevilla2

  • Marcao profile photo

    Marcao

    Wrist Injury
    Out
  • C. Azpilicueta profile photo

    C. Azpilicueta

    Injury
    Out
MarcaoSevilla
C. AzpilicuetaSevilla

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

Moderate

Goal Difference
Levante-15
Sevilla-12

Levante vs Sevilla - Match Analysis

Why is Levante favored despite being lower in the table than Sevilla?

Levante's home advantage combined with their desperate need for points creates a powerful motivation factor. Their recent 3-0 victory over Sevilla earlier this season demonstrates their ability to dominate this opponent. Playing at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, where relegation-threatened teams often find extra energy, Levante's survival instincts should give them an edge over a Sevilla side that has struggled away from home all season.

What alternative bets should I consider for Levante vs Sevilla?

Draw No Bet on Levante offers excellent value, combining their home advantage with insurance against a stalemate. Under 2.5 Goals is highly recommended given both teams' defensive approach in crucial matches and their combined average of just 2.39 goals per game. Both Teams to Score 'No' also presents value, as relegation battles often see teams prioritize clean sheets over attacking ambition.

How do the recent injuries affect this relegation battle?

Levante's loss of R. Brugue reduces their attacking threat, but their recent home victories suggest they can cope. More significantly, Sevilla's defensive injuries to C. Azpilicueta and Marcao weaken their already poor away defensive record. These absences could prove decisive in a match where defensive solidity often determines the outcome, giving Levante additional opportunities to exploit Sevilla's vulnerable backline.

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