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Levante
Levante19th in La Liga (5-6-15)
VS
Girona
Girona14th in La Liga (7-9-10)

Levante vs Girona

Saturday, Mar 7, 2026 · --:--

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Final
Levante
1–1
Girona

Draw

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Levante vs Girona prediction centers on a crucial relegation battle at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. This La Liga preview highlights two struggling sides separated by just five league positions, with Girona (14th, 30 points) holding a narrow advantage over relegation-threatened Levante (19th, 21 points). The bookmaker consensus favors Girona at 37.9% probability despite playing away, reflecting Levante's dire home form with just two wins in 13 matches. Both teams enter this fixture desperately needing points - Levante to escape the relegation zone and Girona to create breathing room from the drop. Recent form slightly favors the visitors, who managed a stunning 2-1 victory over Barcelona in February, while Levante's only recent bright spot was a 2-0 home win against Alaves. With both sides averaging just over one goal per game and conceding heavily, this encounter promises to be cagey. Our expert picks suggest backing Girona's superior away record (three wins vs Levante's two home wins) and better overall quality. These free tips identify value in the visitors' resilience and Levante's ongoing struggles at their Valencia venue.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Levante (3)Draws (2)Girona (2)
Sep 20, 25
(H)Girona0 - 4Levante(A)
A
May 12, 19
(H)Girona1 - 2Levante(A)
A
Jan 4, 19
(H)Levante2 - 2Girona(A)
D
Mar 31, 18
(H)Girona1 - 1Levante(A)
D
Nov 5, 17
(H)Levante1 - 2Girona(A)
A
May 13, 17
(H)Levante2 - 1Girona(A)
H
Dec 4, 16
(H)Girona2 - 1Levante(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Levante, though the sample size from the last two years is limited to their early-season...

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Levante, though the sample size from the last two years is limited to their early-season meeting in September 2025. In that fixture, Levante dominated with a comprehensive 4-0 victory at Girona's home ground, showcasing their potential when firing on all cylinders. However, this result came during a different phase of both teams' seasons, and current form suggests a much closer contest. The historical pattern shows competitive matches between these sides, with previous meetings often producing goals and narrow margins.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Levante

13 of 15 in La Liga

W
L
L
L
L
D
W
L
D
W
D
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

3.7/10

Levante Form Analysis

Trending

Levante's season has been a relegation nightmare, managing just five wins from 26 matches and...

Levante's season has been a relegation nightmare, managing just five wins from 26 matches and sitting precariously in 19th place. Their home form at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia tells a particularly grim story - only two victories in 13 attempts, with seven defeats. The team's attacking output remains concerning at 1.08 goals per game, while defensively they've been porous, conceding 1.69 per match. Recent results show glimpses of hope with a 2-0 victory over Alaves, but this was sandwiched between heavy defeats to Barcelona (0-3) and Valencia (0-2). Key injuries to C. Alvarez, R. Brugue, and P. Martinez have depleted their squad depth. With seven days' rest, fatigue shouldn't be a factor, but the psychological pressure of fighting relegation weighs heavily on every performance.

Girona

14 of 15 in La Liga

L
D
W
D
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
D
D

Form Rating

5/10

Girona Form Analysis

Analysis

Girona's campaign has been inconsistent but shows more promise than their hosts, sitting in 14th...

Girona's campaign has been inconsistent but shows more promise than their hosts, sitting in 14th with 30 points from 26 games. Their away record of three wins, five draws, and five defeats demonstrates resilience on the road, crucial for this fixture. The Catalans have struggled for goals (1.04 per game) but their recent 2-1 shock victory over Barcelona proved their capability against superior opposition. However, they've been defensively fragile, conceding 1.62 goals per match. Key absences include striker C. Stuani (muscle injury), goalkeeper M. ter Stegen (hamstring), and midfielder D. van de Beek (Achilles), significantly weakening their squad. Their recent 1-2 home defeat to Celta Vigo highlighted ongoing vulnerabilities, but five days' rest should ensure physical readiness for this crucial encounter.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Levante5-6-1519.2%
Girona7-9-1026.9%
Goals Scored
Levante28
Girona27
Goals Conceded
Levante44
Girona42

shieldLevante4

  • U. Elgezabal profile photo

    U. Elgezabal

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • R. Brugue profile photo

    R. Brugue

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • P. Martinez profile photo

    P. Martinez

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • C. Alvarez profile photo

    C. Alvarez

    Injury
    Out
U. ElgezabalLevante
R. BrugueLevante
P. MartinezLevante
C. AlvarezLevante

shieldGirona8

  • M. ter Stegen profile photo

    M. ter Stegen

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • D. van de Beek profile photo

    D. van de Beek

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • B. Gil profile photo

    B. Gil

    Injury
    Questionable
  • C. Stuani profile photo

    C. Stuani

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • Juan Carlos profile photo

    Juan Carlos

    Knee Injury
    Out
M. ter StegenGirona
D. van de BeekGirona
B. GilGirona
C. StuaniGirona
Juan CarlosGirona
PortuGirona
A. MorenoGirona
R. ArteroGirona

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Levante-16
Girona-15

Levante vs Girona - Match Analysis

Why is Girona favored despite playing away from home?

Girona's superior league position (14th vs 19th) and significantly better points-per-game record (1.15 vs 0.81) outweigh the home advantage. Levante's dismal home form - just two wins in 13 matches at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia - has essentially neutralized their venue benefit. The bookmakers recognize that Girona, despite their own struggles, possess better squad quality and tactical organization than their relegation-battling hosts.

What alternative bets should I consider for Levante vs Girona?

Draw No Bet on Girona offers excellent value at around 65% confidence, protecting against their inconsistencies while maintaining upside. Under 2.5 Goals appeals strongly given both teams' low-scoring records (combined 2.12 goals per game). The Both Teams to Score 'No' market also presents value, considering Levante's frequent goal-scoring failures at home and Girona's defensive-minded away approach.

How do the injury lists affect this relegation battle?

Both teams face significant absences that could prove decisive. Levante miss key players C. Alvarez, R. Brugue, and P. Martinez, further weakening their already limited attacking options. Girona's losses are more severe - striker C. Stuani, goalkeeper M. ter Stegen, and midfielder D. van de Beek represent crucial personnel. However, Girona's superior squad depth means they're better equipped to cope with these setbacks than their relegation-threatened opponents.

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