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Estadio Municipal de Riazor
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AI Predicted Winner
Deportivo La Coruna
38%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Deportivo La Coruna✦ AI Pick | Draw | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla prediction: this La Liga clash at Riazor pits a newly-promoted side punching above its weight against a Sevilla team still finding consistency after their return to European football. Deportivo sit fifth with 8 points from four games, unbeaten so far after wins over Villarreal and Valencia sandwiched around two draws.
Sevilla arrive sixth on 7 points, having beaten Athletic Club and Rayo Vallecano but suffering a heavy loss to Atletico Madrid before drawing at Espanyol last time out. Both sides average high goal counts per game, with the combined goals per game sitting at 3.75, suggesting an open, attacking contest at Riazor.
Injuries bite both camps — Deportivo without Carrillo and Altimira, Sevilla missing Marcao and Vargas at the back — which could open space in behind for both attacks. Bookmakers make Deportivo narrow favorites at 38% versus Sevilla's 31.6%, with a healthy 30.4% draw probability reflecting how tightly matched these sides are on paper.
Given the home advantage, Deportivo's unbeaten start, and Sevilla's leakier defense on the road, we lean toward a narrow home win, though the draw remains a live outcome given how close the underlying numbers are between these two mid-table rivals.
Moderate
Moderate
Unfavorable
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The most recent meeting between these sides came in April 2018, a goalless draw at Riazor — but that result...
The most recent meeting between these sides came in April 2018, a goalless draw at Riazor — but that result falls outside our two-year reference window, meaning there is no head-to-head record between these teams from the last two years. Both clubs have undergone significant squad turnover since their last meetings, so historical trends carry little weight here. This clash should be judged almost entirely on current form and underlying statistical signals rather than past encounters.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted
4 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
7/10
Deportivo La Coruna are unbeaten through four league games, winning two and drawing two, sitting...
Deportivo La Coruna are unbeaten through four league games, winning two and drawing two, sitting fifth with a plus-3 goal difference. Away wins over Villarreal and Valencia at home showcase an attacking side scoring two goals per game on average, though they've conceded five times already, hinting at defensive vulnerability. The 3-2 win at Villarreal was particularly encouraging, showing resilience under pressure. Missing Carrillo and Altimira for this game is a concern, but the squad depth built during their promotion campaign gives confidence. Watch for their front-line movement exploiting space in behind Sevilla's makeshift backline.
8 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
6.3/10
Sevilla have won two, drawn one, and lost one from four league games, sitting just...
Sevilla have won two, drawn one, and lost one from four league games, sitting just one point and one place behind Deportivo. A 3-1 win at Athletic Club was a season highlight, but the 3-1 home defeat to Atletico Madrid exposed defensive frailties that persist with Marcao and Vargas both sidelined. Their away form has actually been solid — one win, one draw, no losses — but scoring goals per game (1.75) trails Deportivo's output. A draw at Espanyol last time out suggests a team searching for greater attacking fluency heading into this fixture.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla - Match Analysis
Deportivo hold a narrow edge due to home advantage and a slightly better points-per-game record, but Sevilla's away form has actually been strong with one win and one draw from two road games. Both teams have similar goal-scoring output and shared defensive frailties, which explains why bookmakers price this match so tightly at 38% versus 31.6% in Sevilla's favor.
Over 2.5 Goals looks like strong value given both sides are conceding regularly and combining for 3.75 goals per game this season. Draw No Bet: Deportivo offers a safer route to backing the home side without losing your stake if the match ends level, given the healthy 30.4% draw probability priced into this fixture.
Deportivo are missing Carrillo and Altimira, while Sevilla are without Marcao and Vargas — both significant absences in defensive areas. With both backlines weakened, this supports the case for goals at both ends rather than a tight, low-scoring affair, reinforcing the appeal of over-goals and BTTS markets for this fixture.
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