Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Athletic Club30%vs 44%-14%
- Draw25%vs 31%-6%
- Real Sociedad45%vs 26%+19%
Analysis
Our AI model identifies Real Sociedad as strong favorites based on multiple factors converging in their favor. Probability analysis shows Athletic's injury crisis significantly impacts their chances, removing 40% of their usual attacking threat. Real Sociedad's recent form trajectory suggests they're peaking at the right time, while Athletic's defensive vulnerabilities have been consistently exposed. The visitors' superior rest advantage and better squad depth provide additional edges in this demanding fixture.























