Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Alaves55%vs 43%+12%
- Draw25%vs 33%-8%
- Getafe20%vs 25%-5%
Analysis
Our AI model favors Alaves based on superior home form and current momentum. The probability analysis shows Alaves' recent upturn coinciding with Getafe's decline, particularly away from home. Getafe's woeful road record of two wins from eleven matches contrasts starkly with Alaves' solid home foundation. The injury to Getafe's leading scorer B. Mayoral significantly impacts their already limited attacking threat. Expected value calculations favor the home win given the form differential and venue advantage.





















