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Start
Start16th in Eliteserien (4-4-13)
VS
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam13th in Eliteserien (6-5-10)

Start vs Ham-Kam

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026 · --:--

Unknown

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AI Confidence: 29%
Start44%Draw 29%Ham-Kam27%

AI Predicted Winner

Draw

29%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

This Eliteserien relegation six-pointer in Kristiansand pits bottom-placed Start against 13th-ranked Ham-Kam, with both clubs desperate for points as the OBOS-ligaen drop zone looms. Start sit rock bottom on 16 points from 21 games, shipping 44 goals and winning just four times all season, though their home record (three wins, three draws, four losses) is far less grim than their away form.

Ham-Kam arrive with slightly more stability at 23 points, but their own away form is dismal: one win in eleven on the road, conceding 25 goals in away fixtures. Both sides have shipped goals at an identical 2.1 per game clip, pointing toward an open, error-prone contest.

Start's recent run includes a friendly win over Brann and a credible home victory over the same opponent in the league, hinting at fleeting home-soil competence despite four long-term injury absences. Ham-Kam's form has been erratic, alternating heavy defeats with scrappy draws and occasional wins over weaker opposition.

Bookmakers make Start narrow favorites at home, reflecting their stronger home splits versus Ham-Kam's travel struggles. Given the combined goals rate near 2.4 per game and both defenses porous, expect goals at both ends. Start's superior home record edges this contest their way, but the draw remains a live outcome given how tight this relegation battle is on quality.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Start4-4-1319.0%
Ham-Kam6-5-1028.6%
Goals Scored
Start22
Ham-Kam29
Goals Conceded
Start44
Ham-Kam44
Goal Difference
Start-22
Ham-Kam-15

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Start (3)Ham-Kam (4)
Apr 26, 26
(H)Ham-Kam2 - 1Start(A)
H
Feb 20, 23
(H)Start2 - 1Ham-Kam(A)
H
Feb 20, 23
(H)Ham-Kam1 - 2Start(A)
A
Aug 29, 21
(H)Ham-Kam3 - 2Start(A)
H
Jul 5, 21
(H)Start1 - 4Ham-Kam(A)
A
Sep 22, 19
(H)Ham-Kam4 - 0Start(A)
H
Jul 21, 19
(H)Start4 - 1Ham-Kam(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The only meeting within the last two years came in April 2026, when Ham-Kam won 2-1 away at home soil...

The only meeting within the last two years came in April 2026, when Ham-Kam won 2-1 away at home soil against Start in Eliteserien play. That result suggests Ham-Kam can trouble Start even on the road, despite their poor overall away record this season. With just one qualifying head-to-head fixture in the window, there's insufficient recent sample to draw a strong pattern beyond that single away win for the visitors.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted

Start

11 of 15 in Eliteserien

W
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Start Form Analysis

Trending

Start are rock bottom with just four wins from 21 games and a league-worst minus-22...

Start are rock bottom with just four wins from 21 games and a league-worst minus-22 goal difference, conceding 44 goals this season. Their recent form has been patchy — a league win over Brann and a cup victory sandwiched between heavier defeats to Sandefjord and Aalesund. Home form is comparatively stronger at three wins, three draws, four losses, offering some hope. Four long-term injury absences, including K. Tonnesen and F. Lien, weaken an already thin squad. Clean sheets remain rare, with only two all season, so goals conceded look nearly certain again here.

Ham-Kam

11 of 15 in Eliteserien

L
W
L
L
D
W
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
D

Form Rating

4/10

Ham-Kam Form Analysis

Analysis

Ham-Kam sit three places and seven points above Start but their away form is nearly...

Ham-Kam sit three places and seven points above Start but their away form is nearly as poor, with just one win in eleven road trips and 25 goals conceded away from home. Recent results have been volatile — a heavy 5-1 loss to Molde and a 4-0 defeat at Rosenborg contrast with cup wins over weaker sides. They've scored in most matches, averaging 1.38 goals per game, slightly ahead of Start's output. A. Trondsen remains a fitness concern. Their defensive record on the road is a major vulnerability against a Start side that, while weak overall, has shown occasional home bite.

shieldStart4

  • F. Manojlovic profile photo

    F. Manojlovic

    Hand Injury
    Out
  • K. Tonnesen profile photo

    K. Tonnesen

    Leg Injury
    Out
  • J. Husebo profile photo

    J. Husebo

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • F. Lien profile photo

    F. Lien

    Foot Injury
    Out
F. ManojlovicStart
K. TonnesenStart
J. HuseboStart
F. LienStart

shieldHam-Kam1

  • A. Trondsen profile photo

    A. Trondsen

    Injury
    Out
A. TrondsenHam-Kam

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Start vs Ham-Kam - Match Analysis

Why are Start favored at home despite sitting bottom of Eliteserien?

Start's overall season has been poor, but their home record specifically (three wins, three draws, four losses) is far stronger than their away form. Ham-Kam, despite being higher in the table, have managed just one win in eleven away matches this season. Bookmakers are pricing in this venue-specific split rather than overall league position, making Start modest favorites in Kristiansand.

Why might Ham-Kam cause an upset against Start?

Ham-Kam hold the psychological edge from their April 2026 head-to-head win and sit three places above Start in the table with a better points-per-game rate. If their attack clicks — they've scored freely in cup matches recently — they could exploit a Start defense that has posted only two clean sheets all season and is missing four key players through injury.

What alternative bets work best for Start vs Ham-Kam?

Over 2.5 Goals looks like strong value given both sides concede at 2.1 goals per game and have struggled defensively all season. For risk-averse bettors backing the home side, Draw No Bet: Start provides insurance against a draw while still capturing the home-form advantage that underpins the main prediction.

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Close Match

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AI: Viking62%
Strong Pick

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK

Sat, Oct 10, 02:00 PM

AI: Bodo/Glimt80%
High Value

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord

Sat, Oct 10, 04:00 PM

AI: Rosenborg58%