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Sarpsborg Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Viking
67%
#Confidence
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Sarpsborg 08 FF host league leaders Viking at Sarpsborg Stadion in what looks a highly one-sided Eliteserien contest. Viking arrive as the runaway table-toppers with 27 points from 10 games, averaging 2.7 points per game and scoring nearly three goals per match. Sarpsborg sit seventh, 13 points adrift, with a negative goal difference and a points-per-game differential of -1.43 firmly favouring the visitors.
Viking have won nine of their ten league fixtures, conceding just ten goals all season. Sarpsborg have shown some recent fight — winning three of their last five — but their home record of two wins from five offers little comfort against this calibre of opposition. A significant injury list, including multiple absentees from the last recorded fixture, further weakens the hosts.
The combined goals-per-game of 4.08 signals an open, high-scoring affair. Viking have failed to score in zero of their ten league games, while Sarpsborg have blanked three times. The gap in quality is stark, and Viking's away record of four wins from five underlines they travel well.
Viking are the clear prediction here. The Eliteserien's form team, with superior firepower and defensive solidity, should have too much for a Sarpsborg side still finding consistency. An away win, likely with goals at both ends, is the most probable outcome.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Limiting the head-to-head to the last two years, there is one competitive meeting on record: a 3-3 draw at Sarpsborg...
Limiting the head-to-head to the last two years, there is one competitive meeting on record: a 3-3 draw at Sarpsborg in September 2025. A pre-season friendly in March 2026 saw Viking win 2-0 at home. The competitive sample is too small to draw firm conclusions, but the broader historical pattern across recent seasons heavily favours Viking, who have won the majority of Eliteserien encounters between these sides. No strong home advantage for Sarpsborg is evident from recent meetings.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4.7/10
Sarpsborg have shown encouraging signs across their last three league outings, winning back-to-back against Molde...
Sarpsborg have shown encouraging signs across their last three league outings, winning back-to-back against Molde and Brann before this fixture. However, those results follow a difficult mid-season run that included heavy defeats and a stretch of five losses in seven games. Their home record — two wins, two draws, one loss from five — is modest. Defensively they concede 1.45 goals per game, and multiple injury absentees including Carstensen, Berget, Rosted, and Opoku thin the squad considerably. Consistency remains the core problem.
10 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
8.3/10
Viking are the form team in Norwegian football right now. Nine wins from ten Eliteserien...
Viking are the form team in Norwegian football right now. Nine wins from ten Eliteserien games, a goal difference of +19, and an average of 2.9 goals scored per match paint the picture of a dominant side. They have not failed to score in a single league game this season. Away from home they have won four of five, conceding just four goals on the road. Some injury concerns exist — Berisha, Roseth, and Haugen are listed as missing — but the squad depth at the league leaders has absorbed these absences without any drop in performance.
2026 Season
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking - Match Analysis
Viking are the Eliteserien's dominant force in 2026, winning nine of ten league games and averaging 2.9 goals per match. The points-per-game gap between the sides is 1.43 — one of the largest differentials you will find in this division. Sarpsborg are dealing with multiple injuries, their home form is unconvincing, and they concede nearly 1.5 goals per game. Every key metric points to a comfortable Viking victory.
Over 2.5 Goals is the most reliable alternative, supported by a combined 4.08 goals per game between these sides and Viking's perfect scoring record across all ten league games. Over 3.5 Goals is also worth considering given the quality gap. Viking to win both halves is another option if you want to reflect their dominance across 90 minutes. Avoid backing a draw — the combined draw rate of just 9.1% makes it a very low-probability outcome.
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It is unlikely. Sarpsborg's recent back-to-back wins show they are capable of competing, but those came against mid-table opposition. Viking are a different proposition entirely — the best team in Norway right now with a watertight defence and relentless attack. The injury absences of multiple key players compound the challenge. Sarpsborg's best realistic hope is to score and make it competitive, but stopping Viking from winning looks beyond them at this stage.
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