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Sarpsborg Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Sarpsborg 08 FF
39%
#Confidence
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This Eliteserien clash sees Sarpsborg 08 FF host Ham-Kam at Sarpsborg Stadion in a tight mid-table battle, with just one place and a single point separating the two sides. Sarpsborg sit eighth on 18 points, Ham-Kam seventh with the same tally but a superior points-per-game rate.
Sarpsborg have been resurgent at home, winning three of their last six there, including a recent 1-0 defeat of league leaders Viking. Their overall form is mixed, though, with five losses in thirteen games and a modest goal-scoring return of 1.08 per game.
Ham-Kam arrive off a heavy 4-1 defeat to Tromso and have struggled on the road, picking up zero away wins from five league trips this season, though they've drawn three of them. Their attack is livelier than Sarpsborg's, averaging 1.67 goals per game, but their defense has leaked 22 goals in twelve matches.
Head-to-head meetings since 2025 have generally favored the home side in this fixture, and Sarpsborg's stronger home form combined with Ham-Kam's away struggles gives the hosts a narrow edge. With both defenses shaky and both attacks capable, expect goals at both ends. Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam prediction: a slight home win, though a draw remains a live possibility given how evenly matched these teams are on paper.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
Moderate
2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Since the start of 2025, Sarpsborg have dominated this fixture, winning three of four meetings including a 4-0 home rout...
Since the start of 2025, Sarpsborg have dominated this fixture, winning three of four meetings including a 4-0 home rout and a 2-1 friendly win, with only a 3-1 Ham-Kam away victory breaking the pattern. Their most recent competitive meeting saw Ham-Kam win 3-1 on home turf in August 2025. A March 2026 friendly ended 2-2. Overall, Sarpsborg's recent record against Ham-Kam is strong, particularly at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4.3/10
Sarpsborg have been inconsistent overall but show clear improvement at home, winning three of six...
Sarpsborg have been inconsistent overall but show clear improvement at home, winning three of six there with only one defeat. Their recent form includes a goalless draw with Kristiansund and a valuable 1-0 win over league-leading Viking, suggesting defensive solidity is returning after a rough patch in April and May. They've scored just 1.08 goals per game, however, and have failed to score in four of thirteen matches. Injuries to Carstensen and Rosted weaken their options, but low fatigue risk after eight days' rest works in their favor. Watch for a tighter, low-scoring approach from the hosts given their improved home defensive record.
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.7/10
Ham-Kam have scored in every league match this season, reflecting a genuinely potent attack averaging...
Ham-Kam have scored in every league match this season, reflecting a genuinely potent attack averaging 1.67 goals per game, but their defense has been porous, conceding 1.83 per game. Their away form is a concern — no wins in five league road trips, with three draws and two losses, including a heavy 4-1 defeat to Tromso in their last outing. They're dealing with an injury to Alexandersson and face a slightly congested schedule with three fixtures in fourteen days. Their attacking output makes them dangerous on the counter, but the inability to win away all season is a significant red flag heading into Sarpsborg.



Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam - Match Analysis
Sarpsborg hold home advantage and a better recent home record, including a win over league leaders Viking, but Ham-Kam actually have a marginally higher points-per-game rate and a more potent attack averaging 1.67 goals per game. The teams are separated by just one league position, making this a genuinely close contest rather than a clear-cut favorite scenario.
Over 2.5 Goals looks appealing given both teams' leaky defenses and a combined 2.75 goals per game average this season. Draw No Bet: Sarpsborg is another sensible option for those wanting exposure to the home form advantage without the risk of losing on a draw, which remains a real possibility at around 24% combined draw rate.
Sarpsborg's recent home form, including a win over Viking and a clean sheet draw with Kristiansund, suggests improving defensive stability. Ham-Kam, meanwhile, just suffered a 4-1 away defeat to Tromso and haven't won on the road all season. This recent trajectory supports Sarpsborg's slight edge, even though Ham-Kam's attack remains consistently productive.
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