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Rosenborg
Rosenborg9th in Eliteserien (6-3-7)
VS
Viking
Viking2nd in Eliteserien (13-1-2)

Rosenborg vs Viking

Friday, Aug 14, 2026 · --:--

Lerkendal Stadion

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AI Confidence: 42%
Rosenborg34%Draw 24%Viking42%

AI Predicted Winner

Viking

42%

#Confidence

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SportsbookRosenborgDrawViking✦ AI Pick
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AI Match Analysis

This Rosenborg vs Viking prediction centers on a huge form and quality gap masked by a near-even market price. Viking sit second with 40 points from 16 games, riding an outstanding run that includes just two league losses all season and a perfect home record. Rosenborg, ninth on 21 points, have been wildly inconsistent, alternating wins and losses all campaign.

Rosenborg did beat Lillestrom 2-0 away in their last outing and smashed Fredrikstad 4-0 before that, showing they can be dangerous at their best. But a 5-0 friendly hammering by Manchester United and a home draw against Bodo/Glimt highlight the defensive fragility that's cost them points regularly this season.

Viking's attack is the story here, averaging 2.44 goals per game with only 0.94 conceded, a defense-to-attack ratio few Eliteserien sides can match. They also beat Rosenborg 3-0 in their most recent meeting back in May. Some fatigue risk exists with Champions League playoff duties against Dinamo Zagreb looming days later, which could affect squad rotation.

Given the points-per-game gap of over a full point and Viking's superior away record, the visitors should edge this contest, though Rosenborg's home comforts and recent scoring form keep a draw firmly in play. Expect goals at both ends given the attacking tendencies on show.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Rosenborg6-3-737.5%
Viking13-1-281.3%
Goals Scored
Rosenborg23
Viking39
Goals Conceded
Rosenborg21
Viking15
Goal Difference
Rosenborg+2
Viking+24

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Rosenborg (3)Draws (1)Viking (6)
May 1, 26
(H)Viking3 - 0Rosenborg(A)
H
Aug 31, 25
(H)Viking2 - 1Rosenborg(A)
H
Jun 28, 25
(H)Rosenborg1 - 1Viking(A)
D
Mar 16, 25
(H)Viking3 - 2Rosenborg(A)
H
Aug 18, 24
(H)Rosenborg2 - 1Viking(A)
H
Jun 30, 24
(H)Viking4 - 2Rosenborg(A)
H
Mar 24, 24
(H)Viking5 - 0Rosenborg(A)
H
Dec 3, 23
(H)Viking1 - 5Rosenborg(A)
A
Apr 10, 23
(H)Rosenborg1 - 0Viking(A)
H
Mar 12, 23
(H)Viking2 - 0Rosenborg(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These sides met in May this year, with Viking winning 3-0 away at Rosenborg — part of a pattern where...

These sides met in May this year, with Viking winning 3-0 away at Rosenborg — part of a pattern where Viking have dominated recent encounters. Going back through 2024 and 2025, Viking have taken the away win in most meetings, including a 4-0 friendly rout and a 4-2 league victory. Rosenborg's only wins in this fixture over the past two years have come at home. The head-to-head strongly favors Viking, even accounting for home advantage swinging to Rosenborg this weekend.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted

Rosenborg

12 of 15 in Eliteserien

W
L
W
L
W
W
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
D
D

Form Rating

5.3/10

Rosenborg Form Analysis

Trending

Rosenborg have been streaky rather than consistent, alternating results across their last five outings including...

Rosenborg have been streaky rather than consistent, alternating results across their last five outings including a strong 2-0 away win at Lillestrom and a 4-0 demolition of Fredrikstad. However, a 3-2 home loss to Brann and a friendly thrashing by Manchester United expose real defensive gaps, conceding 21 goals in 16 league matches. Injuries to Fossum and Islamovic weaken the midfield, with Svensson also a doubt. Their home record of four wins from eight is respectable but far from dominant. Watch for their attacking output at Lerkendal, where they've scored freely this season, as their best route to points against a stronger opponent.

Viking

14 of 15 in Eliteserien

W
W
D
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

8.7/10

Viking Form Analysis

Analysis

Viking have been the form team of the league, winning 13 of 16 matches and...

Viking have been the form team of the league, winning 13 of 16 matches and losing just twice all season. Their away form is nearly as strong as their perfect home record, with six wins from nine on the road and a goal difference of plus-24 overall. They've scored 39 goals while conceding only 15, reflecting elite balance at both ends. Several squad members are questionable through injury, including Bell, Falchener, Haugen and Roseth, which could test squad depth given their upcoming Champions League playoff fixture against Dinamo Zagreb. Still, their attacking quality and consistency make them the team to beat in this matchup.

shieldRosenborg3

  • I. Fossum profile photo

    I. Fossum

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • J. Svensson profile photo

    J. Svensson

    Injury
    Questionable
  • D. Islamovic profile photo

    D. Islamovic

    Leg Injury
    Out
I. FossumRosenborg
J. SvenssonRosenborg
D. IslamovicRosenborg

shieldViking6

  • A. Baertelsen profile photo

    A. Baertelsen

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • K. Haugen profile photo

    K. Haugen

    Injury
    Questionable
  • V. Berisha profile photo

    V. Berisha

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • M. Roseth profile photo

    M. Roseth

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Bell profile photo

    J. Bell

    Leg Injury
    Questionable
A. BaertelsenViking
K. HaugenViking
V. BerishaViking
M. RosethViking
J. BellViking
H. FalchenerViking

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Rosenborg vs Viking - Match Analysis

Why is Viking favored despite playing away at Rosenborg?

Viking sit second in Eliteserien with a 1.19 points-per-game advantage over Rosenborg and a far superior goal difference of plus-24 compared to plus-2. Their away record includes six wins from nine matches, and they've won the recent head-to-head meetings comfortably, including a 3-0 win in May. Rosenborg's inconsistent form and defensive frailties further tilt the underlying numbers toward the visitors, even with home advantage factored in.

Why might Rosenborg cause an upset against Viking?

Rosenborg have shown they can score goals in bunches, netting four against Fredrikstad and winning 2-0 away at Lillestrom in their last two league outings. Playing at home, where they've picked up four wins from eight, gives them a platform. Viking also face a demanding schedule with Champions League playoff duties against Dinamo Zagreb just days later, which could affect squad freshness and rotation choices in this match.

What alternative bets should I consider for Rosenborg vs Viking?

Given the tight market price but clear statistical gap, Draw No Bet: Viking is a strong alternative that protects against a draw while still backing the higher-quality side. Over 2.5 Goals also appeals since both teams have shown attacking firepower this season, with a combined 3.88 goals per game. Both Teams to Score is another sensible option considering Rosenborg's tendency to concede and score in the same matches.

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