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Lerkendal Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Viking
42%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Rosenborg | Draw | Viking✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
PinnacleBest Odds | |||
Dafabet | |||
1xBet | |||
| Best Odds |
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This Rosenborg vs Viking prediction centers on a huge form and quality gap masked by a near-even market price. Viking sit second with 40 points from 16 games, riding an outstanding run that includes just two league losses all season and a perfect home record. Rosenborg, ninth on 21 points, have been wildly inconsistent, alternating wins and losses all campaign.
Rosenborg did beat Lillestrom 2-0 away in their last outing and smashed Fredrikstad 4-0 before that, showing they can be dangerous at their best. But a 5-0 friendly hammering by Manchester United and a home draw against Bodo/Glimt highlight the defensive fragility that's cost them points regularly this season.
Viking's attack is the story here, averaging 2.44 goals per game with only 0.94 conceded, a defense-to-attack ratio few Eliteserien sides can match. They also beat Rosenborg 3-0 in their most recent meeting back in May. Some fatigue risk exists with Champions League playoff duties against Dinamo Zagreb looming days later, which could affect squad rotation.
Given the points-per-game gap of over a full point and Viking's superior away record, the visitors should edge this contest, though Rosenborg's home comforts and recent scoring form keep a draw firmly in play. Expect goals at both ends given the attacking tendencies on show.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides met in May this year, with Viking winning 3-0 away at Rosenborg — part of a pattern where...
These sides met in May this year, with Viking winning 3-0 away at Rosenborg — part of a pattern where Viking have dominated recent encounters. Going back through 2024 and 2025, Viking have taken the away win in most meetings, including a 4-0 friendly rout and a 4-2 league victory. Rosenborg's only wins in this fixture over the past two years have come at home. The head-to-head strongly favors Viking, even accounting for home advantage swinging to Rosenborg this weekend.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.3/10
Rosenborg have been streaky rather than consistent, alternating results across their last five outings including...
Rosenborg have been streaky rather than consistent, alternating results across their last five outings including a strong 2-0 away win at Lillestrom and a 4-0 demolition of Fredrikstad. However, a 3-2 home loss to Brann and a friendly thrashing by Manchester United expose real defensive gaps, conceding 21 goals in 16 league matches. Injuries to Fossum and Islamovic weaken the midfield, with Svensson also a doubt. Their home record of four wins from eight is respectable but far from dominant. Watch for their attacking output at Lerkendal, where they've scored freely this season, as their best route to points against a stronger opponent.
14 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
8.7/10
Viking have been the form team of the league, winning 13 of 16 matches and...
Viking have been the form team of the league, winning 13 of 16 matches and losing just twice all season. Their away form is nearly as strong as their perfect home record, with six wins from nine on the road and a goal difference of plus-24 overall. They've scored 39 goals while conceding only 15, reflecting elite balance at both ends. Several squad members are questionable through injury, including Bell, Falchener, Haugen and Roseth, which could test squad depth given their upcoming Champions League playoff fixture against Dinamo Zagreb. Still, their attacking quality and consistency make them the team to beat in this matchup.








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Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Rosenborg vs Viking - Match Analysis
Viking sit second in Eliteserien with a 1.19 points-per-game advantage over Rosenborg and a far superior goal difference of plus-24 compared to plus-2. Their away record includes six wins from nine matches, and they've won the recent head-to-head meetings comfortably, including a 3-0 win in May. Rosenborg's inconsistent form and defensive frailties further tilt the underlying numbers toward the visitors, even with home advantage factored in.
Rosenborg have shown they can score goals in bunches, netting four against Fredrikstad and winning 2-0 away at Lillestrom in their last two league outings. Playing at home, where they've picked up four wins from eight, gives them a platform. Viking also face a demanding schedule with Champions League playoff duties against Dinamo Zagreb just days later, which could affect squad freshness and rotation choices in this match.
Given the tight market price but clear statistical gap, Draw No Bet: Viking is a strong alternative that protects against a draw while still backing the higher-quality side. Over 2.5 Goals also appeals since both teams have shown attacking firepower this season, with a combined 3.88 goals per game. Both Teams to Score is another sensible option considering Rosenborg's tendency to concede and score in the same matches.
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