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Lerkendal Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Rosenborg
37%
#Confidence
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Rosenborg host Kristiansund BK at Lerkendal Stadion in a crucial Eliteserien relegation battle, with both sides sitting in the bottom three and desperately needing points to avoid the drop.
Rosenborg have been one of the division's most troubled sides this season, winning just twice in eleven league matches and sitting 15th with only nine points. Their home record is marginally better — two wins, two draws, two losses — but the overall trajectory is deeply concerning. Kristiansund arrive one place and two points better off, but their away form is equally poor: one win from six road trips.
Both teams carry significant injury concerns. Rosenborg are missing multiple players including Slordal, Pereira, Svensson, and Selnaes, while Kristiansund have Opsahl, Tufekcic, Bruseth, and Ulvestad sidelined. The combined goals-per-game rate of just 1.82 signals a tight, low-scoring contest.
With the PPG differential negligible (-0.18 in Kristiansund's favour) and home advantage the primary differentiator, Rosenborg's Lerkendal factor gives them a slight edge. A draw is genuinely the most likely outcome given how evenly matched these struggling sides are, but we lean marginally towards a Rosenborg home win driven by crowd support and the desperation of a side staring at relegation.
Moderate
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Looking only at the last two years of competitive meetings, Rosenborg won 2-1 at home in May 2025, while Kristiansund...
Looking only at the last two years of competitive meetings, Rosenborg won 2-1 at home in May 2025, while Kristiansund claimed a 4-0 victory at home in December 2024, and the sides drew 1-1 at Lerkendal in May 2025. That gives one win each and one draw from three recent Eliteserien encounters, with both sides capable of big wins on home soil. No clear head-to-head dominance emerges — this fixture is genuinely unpredictable.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
3.3/10
Rosenborg's 2026 Eliteserien campaign has been a struggle. They have won just twice in eleven...
Rosenborg's 2026 Eliteserien campaign has been a struggle. They have won just twice in eleven league outings, with six defeats leaving them in the relegation zone on nine points. Their attacking output is worrying — averaging under a goal per game and failing to score in six matches. Defensively they concede 1.64 per game. The injury list compounds the problem, with four players currently sidelined. Home form offers a sliver of hope: two wins from six at Lerkendal, including a 2-0 victory over Lillestrom, suggests they can perform when the crowd is behind them.
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4.3/10
Kristiansund sit 14th with eleven points, marginally better than Rosenborg but still deep in relegation...
Kristiansund sit 14th with eleven points, marginally better than Rosenborg but still deep in relegation trouble. Their league form has been inconsistent — three wins against six defeats — and their away record is particularly poor: one win from six trips, conceding ten goals in those away games. They do score slightly more than Rosenborg (1.0 per game versus 0.82), but their defensive record away from home is alarming. Four players are also unavailable through injury. A friendly win over Brann last week provides some confidence, though pre-season results carry limited weight.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK - Match Analysis
Both teams are separated by just one league position and two points, with nearly identical points-per-game averages. Neither side has convincing form — Rosenborg have won twice in eleven league games, Kristiansund three times. Both carry four injury absentees. The PPG differential of just 0.18 means there is no statistical basis for strong confidence in either direction, making this one of the trickiest calls in the Eliteserien this round.
Under 2.5 Goals is the standout alternative market. Both teams average under one goal scored per game, and their combined rate of 1.82 goals per game strongly supports a low-scoring outcome. Rosenborg have failed to score in over half their league matches. Draw No Bet: Rosenborg is also worth considering for those who want home-side exposure without the draw risk, given Kristiansund's poor away record of one win from six trips.
Both clubs are fighting for Eliteserien survival. Rosenborg sit 15th — currently in the automatic relegation zone — while Kristiansund are 14th, just two points and one place above them. A Rosenborg win would pull them level with Kristiansund and potentially out of the bottom two. For Kristiansund, a win or draw would maintain their buffer. For a club of Rosenborg's historic stature, relegation would be a seismic moment.
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