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Molde
Molde4th in Eliteserien (11-3-7)
VS
Start
Start16th in Eliteserien (4-4-14)

Molde vs Start

Sunday, Oct 18, 2026 · --:--

Aker Stadion

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AI Confidence: 71%
Molde71%Draw 15%Start14%

AI Predicted Winner

Molde

71%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

Molde vs Start prediction: this Eliteserien clash at Aker Stadion pits a top-four side chasing European qualification against a team already staring at relegation to OBOS-ligaen. Molde sit fourth with 36 points, unbeaten at home in five of their last six, and have scored freely all season averaging 2.1 goals per game.

Start sit bottom of the table on 16 points, conceding 2.1 goals per game and winning away just once all season. Their form includes heavy defeats to sides well below Molde's level, and a patched-up squad missing several key defensive pieces only adds to their troubles on the road.

Molde's own injury list is lengthy, but depth clearly hasn't stopped recent scoring form, including a 5-1 away win over Ham-Kam and a 4-3 thriller at Valerenga. Start, by contrast, have managed just one clean sheet on the road and have been blown away by mid-table opposition repeatedly this term.

Expect goals and home control. With a 12-place table gap, a near one-point-per-game advantage, and Start's dismal away record, Molde should win comfortably. The pick here is a home win with goals, backed by Molde's attacking consistency and Start's defensive fragility in away matches this season.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Molde11-3-752.4%
Start4-4-1319.0%
Goals Scored
Molde44
Start22
Goals Conceded
Molde32
Start44
Goal Difference
Molde+12
Start-22

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Molde (4)Draws (3)Start (0)
Apr 19, 26
(H)Start1 - 1Molde(A)
D
Aug 5, 20
(H)Molde5 - 0Start(A)
H
Jun 24, 20
(H)Start2 - 3Molde(A)
A
Oct 29, 18
(H)Start1 - 3Molde(A)
A
May 27, 18
(H)Molde3 - 1Start(A)
H
Jul 17, 16
(H)Molde2 - 2Start(A)
D
Apr 10, 16
(H)Start1 - 1Molde(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The two sides met just once in the last two years, a 1-1 draw in Kristiansand back in April 2026....

The two sides met just once in the last two years, a 1-1 draw in Kristiansand back in April 2026. That result offers little guidance given how much both teams' form has diverged since — Molde pushing for Europe, Start fighting relegation. Historical meetings favor Molde heavily, including a 5-0 home win, though those predate the current squads. With only one head-to-head data point in the relevant window, current form and table position carry far more weight than history here.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted

Molde

11 of 15 in Eliteserien

W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
D
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Molde Form Analysis

Trending

Molde have won four of their last five matches, including a 2-1 away win over...

Molde have won four of their last five matches, including a 2-1 away win over Lillestrom and emphatic victories over Ham-Kam and Valerenga. Their attack has been the standout feature, scoring 44 goals in 21 league games at over two per match, though the defense has occasionally been leaky, conceding 32. Several first-team players are missing through injury, including Kikkenborg and Hestad, but the squad has shown enough depth to keep winning regardless. At home, Molde have lost just three of eleven league games this season, a strong platform against a struggling opponent.

Start

10 of 15 in Eliteserien

L
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Start Form Analysis

Analysis

Start have lost thirteen of their 21 league matches and sit bottom of Eliteserien with...

Start have lost thirteen of their 21 league matches and sit bottom of Eliteserien with just 16 points, already facing relegation to OBOS-ligaen. Their away form is particularly alarming — just one win in eleven league trips, conceding heavily along the way. Multiple squad players are sidelined through injury, further weakening an already fragile backline that has shipped 44 goals this season. Recent form shows flashes of fight, including cup wins, but league results against stronger sides have been consistently poor, making this trip to in-form Molde a tough ask.

shieldMolde6

  • E. Hestad profile photo

    E. Hestad

    Leg Injury
    Out
  • V. Hoff profile photo

    V. Hoff

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • H. Stenevik profile photo

    H. Stenevik

    Injury
    Out
  • M. Kikkenborg profile photo

    M. Kikkenborg

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • S. Hansen profile photo

    S. Hansen

    Injury
    Out
E. HestadMolde
V. HoffMolde
H. StenevikMolde
M. KikkenborgMolde
S. HansenMolde
S. DiopMolde

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldStart7

  • F. Manojlovic profile photo

    F. Manojlovic

    Hand Injury
    Out
  • K. Tonnesen profile photo

    K. Tonnesen

    Leg Injury
    Out
  • S. Mvoue profile photo

    S. Mvoue

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • J. Husebo profile photo

    J. Husebo

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • O. Toure profile photo

    O. Toure

    Red Card
    Out
F. ManojlovicStart
K. TonnesenStart
S. MvoueStart
J. HuseboStart
O. ToureStart
N. KoutsakosStart
F. LienStart

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Molde vs Start - Match Analysis

Why is Molde strongly favored against Start?

Molde sit fourth in Eliteserien chasing European qualification, while Start are rock-bottom and already facing relegation. The 12-place gap and near one-point-per-game difference reflect a genuine class gap. Molde's attack has been excellent, and Start have won only once away from home all season, conceding heavily in the process. Home advantage at Aker Stadion adds further weight to Molde's favorite status in this matchup.

What alternative bets should I consider for Molde vs Start?

Beyond the straight win, Molde -1 Asian Handicap offers value given their scoring output and Start's leaky away defense. Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing with a combined goals-per-game signal above three this season. For safer coverage, Draw No Bet: Molde protects against an unexpected shock result while still capturing most of the anticipated value from this one-sided matchup.

What are the stakes of this game for both teams?

Molde are fighting for a Conference League qualification spot and need continued wins to stay in that race. Start, meanwhile, are already bound for the OBOS-ligaen relegation zone, with little left to play for beyond pride and salvaging some form before the drop. This contrast in motivation, combined with the quality gap, makes Molde's home advantage even more significant heading into this fixture.

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