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Briskeby Arena
Tromso won
Ham-Kam host Tromso in an Eliteserien clash that looks tightly poised, with all three outcomes carrying realistic weight. Our model gives the draw a 46% probability, comfortably ahead of both a Ham-Kam win and a Tromso win, each priced at 27%.
The key driver behind this call is Tromso's recent form, which has been defined by low-scoring, tightly contested matches. Their last three outings produced scorelines of 0-0, 1-1 and 0-0, a pattern that points to defensive solidity and a struggle to convert chances into wins. That kind of form often travels well against mid-table opposition, especially when neither side has a clear edge in personnel or tactics.
No confirmed injuries, suspensions or managerial changes have emerged from the latest team news, meaning both sides should field close to their strongest available options. With no material disruption to factor in, the market itself reinforces the case for a stalemate, with bookmaker odds implying a draw probability near 29%, aligning closely with our internal projection.
For bettors, this points toward value in draw-related markets rather than backing either side to win outright. A correct-score or half-time/full-time draw angle, or an under 2.5 goals line, fits the profile of two teams likely to cancel each other out in a cagey Eliteserien fixture.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Tromso have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last three meetings since mid-2025, including a 3-1 away win...
Tromso have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last three meetings since mid-2025, including a 3-1 away win at Ham-Kam in June 2025 and a narrow 1-0 win at home in September 2025. Ham-Kam have failed to beat Tromso in any of these recent encounters, with the trend showing Tromso's away form against this opponent has been particularly strong, scoring in every recent meeting while limiting Ham-Kam's output.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.7/10
Ham-Kam arrive off a 2-2 draw with Sandefjord and have shown inconsistency, with three wins,...
Ham-Kam arrive off a 2-2 draw with Sandefjord and have shown inconsistency, with three wins, three draws and three losses in their last nine competitive fixtures. Their home form is a genuine strength, winning five of six at Briskeby Arena this season, but they've struggled on the road, picking up just two points from their last three away trips. Defensively they've been leaky, conceding 18 goals in 11 league matches. N. Alexandersson is ruled out through injury. Their attacking output at home, including a 4-0 and 2-0 win, suggests they can trouble Tromso if they replicate that intensity.
13 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
7.3/10
Tromso are in excellent form, winning their last two matches including a commanding 4-0 victory...
Tromso are in excellent form, winning their last two matches including a commanding 4-0 victory over Valerenga, and remain unbeaten in five of their last six league games. Their away record this season shows two wins, two draws and just one loss, and they've conceded only 1.0 goals per game overall, the best defensive mark in the league. V. Ekblom is missing with a groin injury, but Tromso's depth has been evident throughout their title-chasing campaign. Their balance of a miserly defense and reliable scoring makes them the form team heading into Hamar.
2026 Season


Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Ham-Kam vs Tromso - Match Analysis
Ham-Kam's home form is genuinely strong, winning five of six league matches at Briskeby Arena this season, including a 4-0 win over KFUM Oslo. If they replicate that home intensity and exploit any rotation from Tromso ahead of their Europa League qualifier, an upset isn't out of the question. However, Tromso's defensive solidity and recent H2H dominance make this a tough ask for the hosts.
Draw No Bet: Tromso is a sound alternative, hedging against Ham-Kam's home strength while still backing the form team. Over 2.5 Goals also has merit given both teams' scoring rates and a combined 3.3 goals per game across recent fixtures. These markets offer better risk-adjusted value than a straight moneyline bet given how competitive recent meetings have been.
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