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Fredrikstad Stadion
Fredrikstad won
Fredrikstad and Start meet in what promises to be a tightly contested Eliteserien encounter on May 29th. Both teams have demonstrated remarkably similar form patterns this season, with their combined draw rate of 28.2% significantly above the league average, suggesting tactical approaches that often neutralize each other.
The statistical foundation points toward evenly matched sides, with Fredrikstad holding a slight edge at 46.8% win probability compared to Start's 22.0%. However, the 31.2% draw probability reflects the competitive balance between these teams, who have consistently produced cagey affairs when facing similar opposition this campaign.
Weather conditions appear ideal for football, with mild temperatures between 12-19°C and no precipitation expected to impact play. Key players like Fredriksen and Nuñez show standard seasonal performance levels with no injury concerns, meaning both squads should field their preferred lineups for this crucial fixture.
The betting market may favor a decisive result, but the underlying data suggests a stalemate represents strong value. With four separate draw indicators present in the analysis and both teams' tendency to adopt cautious approaches in evenly matched contests, the most likely outcome sees the points shared. This tactical chess match between two well-organized sides should produce a competitive but ultimately inconclusive result.
2026 Season
Last 8 head-to-head matchups
Limited recent head-to-head data is available between these teams in the Eliteserien, as both were promoted from lower divisions. Their...
Limited recent head-to-head data is available between these teams in the Eliteserien, as both were promoted from lower divisions. Their last meetings came in the 1. Division during 2022-2023, where Fredrikstad held a slight edge with two wins, one loss, and one draw in their four encounters. The most recent clash in September 2023 ended 2-2, while Fredrikstad won 3-1 at home in June 2023. These historical results suggest evenly matched sides, though both teams have evolved significantly since their promotion to Norway's top flight.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5/10
Fredrikstad's season has been inconsistent but shows recent stabilization with four points from their last...
Fredrikstad's season has been inconsistent but shows recent stabilization with four points from their last two matches. Their 1-1 draw at Sandefjord demonstrated resilience, while the 2-1 home victory over Ham-Kam highlighted their potential when playing at Fredrikstad Stadion. The team averages 1.3 goals scored per game but remains vulnerable defensively, conceding 1.9 goals per match. Key injuries to S. Kvile and S. Owusu weaken their squad depth, while J. Nunez and L. Owusu face fitness tests. Their home form of two wins from four games provides a platform for optimism, particularly against struggling opposition. The team's ability to find the net consistently gives them an edge in this relegation six-pointer.
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
2.3/10
Start's campaign has been a struggle from the outset, with just one victory in 11...
Start's campaign has been a struggle from the outset, with just one victory in 11 league matches painting a grim picture. Their recent 2-0 home win over Valerenga was a rare bright spot, but it came after heavy defeats to Bodo/Glimt and Viking. Away from home, Start have been particularly poor with no wins and five losses from six trips, scoring just six goals while conceding 19. Their defensive record of 2.36 goals conceded per game is among the worst in the division. Multiple injury concerns including J. Meyer, M. Nordal, K. Tonnesen, and J. Torkildsen further complicate their situation. The team's high draw rate of 36.4% suggests they often compete but struggle to secure victories when it matters most.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Fredrikstad vs Start - Match Analysis
Fredrikstad enjoys several key advantages that justify their 52.7% win probability. They sit 4 places higher in the table with a superior 0.46 points-per-game differential. Most importantly, Start have failed to win any of their six away matches this season, while Fredrikstad have won twice at home. The defensive statistics also favor the hosts - while both teams struggle defensively, Start's 2.36 goals conceded per game is significantly worse than Fredrikstad's 1.9. Home advantage in a relegation battle provides the decisive edge.
Draw No Bet on Fredrikstad offers excellent value at around 65% probability, protecting against Start's tendency to draw matches while backing the superior team. Both Teams to Score Yes is attractive given both sides' defensive vulnerabilities - they've combined for 2.39 goals per game this season. Over 2.5 Goals also merits consideration, as defensive frailties from both teams could produce a high-scoring affair. The Asian Handicap Fredrikstad -0.5 provides better odds than the straight win while still backing the hosts to avoid defeat.
This represents a crucial relegation six-pointer with massive implications for both clubs' survival hopes. Start desperately need points from their relegation zone position, sitting 9 points from safety with the season progressing. For Fredrikstad, victory would create breathing room above the drop zone and potentially launch a climb toward mid-table security. Defeat for either side could prove psychologically devastating, while a draw helps neither team significantly. The pressure will be immense, particularly on Start who face the prospect of an immediate return to the second tier if their form doesn't improve dramatically.
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