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Fredrikstad Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Lillestrom
50%
#Confidence
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Fredrikstad host Lillestrom at Fredrikstad Stadion in an Eliteserien clash that pits a struggling mid-table side against one of the division's more consistent performers this season.
Lillestrom sit fourth in the table with 19 points and a points-per-game of 1.73, while Fredrikstad languish in tenth with just 14 points and a 1.27 PPG. The six-place gap and 0.46 PPG differential firmly favour the visitors, and Lillestrom's defensive record — conceding just one goal per game compared to Fredrikstad's 1.82 — underlines the quality difference.
Fredrikstad carry a significant injury burden, with four players sidelined including S. Kvile (knee), S. Owusu (muscle), J. Nunez (leg), and L. Owusu (injury). Lillestrom also have absentees but both sides have had adequate rest heading into this fixture.
Despite home advantage, Fredrikstad's defensive fragility and Lillestrom's superior league standing make the away side the logical pick. The combined goals-per-game of 2.91 suggests an open, attacking contest. Lillestrom to win away from home is the primary prediction, backed by clear quality and form differentials.
Moderate
Last 7 head-to-head matchups
Looking only at meetings within the last two years, the head-to-head record shows two draws — a 2-2 friendly in...
Looking only at meetings within the last two years, the head-to-head record shows two draws — a 2-2 friendly in January 2026 and a 1-1 NM Cupen tie in May 2025 — plus a Fredrikstad friendly win in March 2025. The sole competitive Eliteserien meeting in this window came in October 2024, when Fredrikstad won 2-1 at home. No clear pattern emerges from recent H2H, making current form and league standing the more reliable guide.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5/10
Fredrikstad have been inconsistent throughout the season, winning four and losing five of eleven Eliteserien...
Fredrikstad have been inconsistent throughout the season, winning four and losing five of eleven Eliteserien matches. Their most recent competitive results show back-to-back wins over Start and Ham-Kam in May, but they have not kept a single clean sheet all season, conceding 1.82 goals per game. Away from home they have been particularly poor, winning just once in six attempts. Four players are currently injured, adding further depth concerns. Fredrikstad's home record is marginally better — three wins from five — but their defensive vulnerability remains a persistent problem.
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4.3/10
Lillestrom have been one of the more reliable sides in the Eliteserien this season, accumulating...
Lillestrom have been one of the more reliable sides in the Eliteserien this season, accumulating 19 points from 11 matches and sitting fourth in the table. Their defensive record stands out — four clean sheets and just 1.0 goals conceded per game — though their recent competitive form has dipped, losing three of their last four Eliteserien outings including defeats to Ham-Kam, Kristiansund, and Rosenborg. Pre-season friendlies also ended in defeats. E. Kitolano is out with a broken leg, while suspension concerns exist for Garnas and Woxen. Despite the dip, their overall quality remains superior to Fredrikstad.
2026 Season
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom - Match Analysis
Lillestrom's quality advantage is substantial. They sit six places above Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien table with a points-per-game of 1.73 versus 1.27 for the hosts. Crucially, Lillestrom concede just one goal per game compared to Fredrikstad's 1.82, and the hosts have failed to keep a single clean sheet all season. Add four Fredrikstad injury absentees and the away side's superior squad depth, and the case for Lillestrom is clear despite the home-ground factor.
Two markets stand out. Draw No Bet: Lillestrom removes the draw risk while maintaining the away-win return — a sensible hedge given Lillestrom's recent form wobble. Over 2.5 Goals is equally compelling: Fredrikstad have conceded 20 goals in 11 matches and kept no clean sheets, while the combined goals-per-game of 2.91 points to an open game. Both markets offer better risk-adjusted value than a straight Lillestrom win at potentially short odds.
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It is a significant concern. Four players are currently sidelined — S. Kvile (knee), S. Owusu (muscle), J. Nunez (leg), and L. Owusu (injury) — reducing the squad's depth and attacking options. Fredrikstad already score just 1.36 goals per game, and losing multiple attacking contributors makes it harder to threaten a Lillestrom defence that has kept four clean sheets this season. The injury list compounds an already difficult home fixture.
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